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For anyone considering ortho in the future.
I think we will see new grads with $1.5M in student loans in our lifetime... thanks to tuition going up every year and compounding interest. Probably in 15 years for sure.Because it’s probably more sensationalist. If it were a periodontist or endodontist the general public wouldn’t understand as readily as an orthodontist I suppose.
I am saddened by the thousands of general dentists that decided not to specialize in their specialty of choice because they found the return on investment or risk not worth it. Only the rich will be able to specialize soon.
So that debt level is sustainable by that new grad in your opinion?Why o why does it always have to be an orthodontist. At least the orthodontist is working 6 days a week and started his own practice.
You can tell by his voice during the interview - that he feels the weight of the situation he got himself in. I mean - to be on that show, you have to be somewhat lost to know your options with that kind of debt.LOL! Dentistry is a complete sh**show these days. Over $5000 per month in INTEREST. We have a great problem in this country and this young orthodontist is the poster child of a broken system.
Only the rich will be able to specialize soon.
If you think about it, schools have been raising their tuition 3-4% (at the low end) every year for the past 15 years. So if the are people graduating today with $1M in student loans, all it takes is another 9-10 more years with 3-4% tuition increases (and compounding interest) from that $1M to get to $1.5M. So I predict some junior undergrad student today who wants to attend dental school and specialize after - a total of 9 years, could come out with $1.5M debt. $1M debt was unimaginable 9 years ago, but here we are talking about few people who did. The cost of attendance and the compounding interest both balloon faster together at higher debt levels.Definitely not for sure. I have the hope future students are close enough to reality to understand 1.5 million in debt To become a specialist is poor judgment.
Surprisingly - most people would agree with you, but there are powerful special interest groups that have lobbied for this problem to persist with the government’s support. It’s the same reason why our current government has passed permanent tax cuts for corporations, but everyone else gets tax cuts for few years. All we can do is watch the student loans crisis get much worse every year until we see the bubble burst.It's amazing this system is allowed to be in place. No education should cost 1 million dollars, not even half a million dollars. My heart goes out to those suffering from this. The education bubble has to burst eventually.
Here in CA (and in many other states), there is no separate specialty license for orthodontist. I have the same dental license that the GPs have. So I can extract teeth and do fillings if I want to. I know in certain states (ie Kentucky), there is a specialty license and you can’t go back to practicing general dentistry if you are a specialist.Board certified orthodontists can work as general dentists? I thought specialists renounced the privilege of practicing as a general dentist when becoming board certified in any specialty.
Actually, it would still be bad. That additional $100-150k income would be pre-tax income. So it would be closer to $60-100k for post-tax (additional $5-8k a month). That would not put a lot of dent to his $1M debt - which as he said needs $5-6k a month in interest alone. That’s a lot of fire to put out... not to mention his new office debt, if he has a mortgage, auto loans, credit card debts, and the cost of his lifestyle. You could probably get around $1M debt with $400k a year income, but I would guess 90% of your peers would not - because of their personal finances would not be as strict as yours. Ultimately, stagnant Ortho service fees will never keep up with the rising tuition (and compounding interest). Student loans almost doubled the past 10 years, while ortho fees pretty much stayed the same - and that trend will continue every year for the foreseeable future. That’s the bottom line.Imagine if this new grad ortho can bring home an additional $100-150k/year ($350-400k/year total income), paying back his $1mil student loan shouldn’t be too bad.
I think we will see new grads with $1.5M in student loans in our lifetime... thanks to tuition going up every year and compounding interest. Probably in 15 years for sure.
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I honestly wish that anyone, regardless of how big or small the amount of college loans they're taking out is, took to heart what to me was the most important bit of advice that Dave Ramsey gave in that clip, and that was when he talked about living like "your a poor college student" until that debt has been taken care of.
Ultimately, stagnant Ortho service fees will never keep up with the rising tuition (and compounding interest). Student loans almost doubled the past 10 years, while ortho fees pretty much stayed the same - and that trend will continue every year for the foreseeable future. That’s the bottom line.
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I do remember, about 5 years ago when I was much more actively involved in the world of dental politics than I am currently, there was a resident, who was in her 1st year of the perio program at Harvard, who was telling those of us in attendance at our ADA District Caucus meeting, the situation her and her fiancee were in (her fiancee was a 4th year student still at that point). They both went to USC for their dental school, she was doing the perio program at Harvard, he had been accepted into the OMFS program there. When they finished up their residencies, they were going to have roughly 1.2 million in loan debt. The room our caucus was being held in went silent.
At what debt number would pursuing a career in orthodontics not be worth it and fewer applicants would keep applying? As far as I know, ortho programs now are still receiving increasing number of applications each year even with increasing tuition.I suggested this before that everything is cyclical. Supply and demand. At some point (maybe now) in the near future ..... PAYING large sums of money to be an orthodontist will not be worth it. Fewer students wanting to go into ortho means: fewer ortho "for profit" schools and ultimately fewer dentists wanting to be orthodontists. Fewer orthodontists .... less saturation.
So basically - almost 90% of pre-dents applying this cycle should consider another profession because their student loans will be over $200k? And almost all ortho applicants already have over $300k in students loans.For me, that number is 200k debt for a dentist and 300k for ortho. Higher than that you're better off in another field.
I don’t expect this trend (the decrease in the number of applications) to happen in the near future either. Ortho income and job availability started to decline in 2007-2008, during the housing bubble years. Now, 11-12 years later, most ortho programs continue to raise their tuitions and they don't have any problem filling all the spots with highly qualified candidates. In fact, today ortho applicants have much better academic stats than the past candidates (like me), who applied 15-20 years ago. As soon as there were opening spots on the match day, they all got filled right away. Many expensive 2-year programs like NYU and Tufts increased the training length to 3 years (to make more money) and yet, they have had no problem finding the top ranked dental students to fill the spots. Being rich and willing to pay big bucks for an orthodontic residency are not enough (unless you are the son or daughter of a rich famous orthodontist). One has to have good academic stats as well.I cant see ortho applications decreasing to the point that ortho programs have to shut down and the number of orthos decreases any time soon. The same with dental school applicants - there will always be those who have no information about the profession thinking it's a once in a lifetime opportunity. Firstly there would be a phase where the competitiveness decreases to a point where applicants dont have to be very impressive to get a spot - and suddenly a bunch of average students have the opportunity to become a dentist or orthodontist? They will jump at it. Programs wont close down.
You also owed a lot in student loan and you have done very well as a general dentist….much better than me…..and I graduated many years before you. I know the amount of student loan you owed was less than $500k. But do you think you, yourself, could still make as much as what you make now if you were today new grad with 500k debt?I wonder how many of today’s new grads with $500k+ debt would recommend dental school to a pre-dent? I certainly wouldn’t at any number with 5 or higher in front of it.
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I read somewhere/heard from actual residents that somewhere between 40-50% of ortho and Endo program residents got in through connections, and much less to do with their academic performance. I personally know an Endo resident who was close to the bottom of his class and got into residency through a connection.Being rich and willing to pay big bucks for an orthodontic residency are not enough (unless you are the son or daughter of a rich famous orthodontist). One has to have good academic stats as well.
I graduated 9 years ago. I owed $280k (I could have owed closer to $200k - but that’s another story). I was very very very lucky over the years to move quickly from associateship and make financial decisions that helped me own practices and other investments. Because psychologically, $280k was a small number in my mind at the time (and it still is to others in today’s view of student loans). If I had $500k+ in student loans today, I would not be as in a hurry as I was 9 years ago - psychologically, my decision making process in investing more in myself through more debt (through practices and real estate) would be more conservative for sure. Maybe I would build smaller size dental offices, or at a different part of town/city, or whatever the $500k+ student loans (with just a diploma in my hand) pressure have guided me into from day 1. The “9 years later” version of me would “not do it the same way”, the “new grad” version of me had more energy and ambition and may have done it regardless of the higher debt. But I personally wouldn’t advise anyone applying to $500k+ in student loans programs to consider dentistry. The world has changed and the labor market today has more opportunities of making a good living with good income - without big non-bankruptable debt/student loans.You also owed a lot in student loan and you have done very well as a general dentist….much better than me…..and I graduated many years before you. I know the amount of student loan you owed was less than $500k. But do you think you, yourself, could still make as much as what you make now if you were today new grad with 500k debt?
I read somewhere/heard from actual residents that somewhere between 40-50% of ortho and Endo program residents got in through connections, and much less to do with their academic performance. I personally know an Endo resident who was close to the bottom of his class and got into residency through a connection.
Also, lot of dental school and residency faculties help their kids get into residency programs at the schools they teach - and those kids will always have better odds of getting into those programs than many stronger applicants that no one from the school heard of. So many seats in ortho and Endo programs are called “legacy seats” - and even alumni who donated a lot of money to the school or foreign countries who send a lot of their foreign dentists to some private schools qualify for those seats. So ortho is getting more competitive for those reasons more than just academic stats, because the legacy seats candidates have strong financial backing (or the cost is less of a factor than getting in through someone they know) - which encourages the ortho residency programs to keep raising the tuition every year because half the class/legacy candidates will pay at all cost, and the rest are plenty of highly competitive candidates fighting for those seats. Even if more ortho schools open, they too will charge high tuitions like the rest and fill their classes the same way. Yet, ortho in the real world is still hard work and no guarantees that any orthodontist will be financially making bank (unless their parents were already well established orthodontists - the legacy route).
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An ortho certificate is just a piece of paper like any other college degrees out there. It doesn't guarantee anything. Every field (including highly paid specialties like OS, endo, dermatology, GI, orthopedic surgery etc) requires hard work. Jobs don't come to you. You have to actually make a lot of efforts to find them. The GPs don't just send the patients to you when they see your office sign; you have to come to their offices and beg. If you say no to working on the weekends, no to treating medicaid and HMO patients, no to treating low income patients, no to doing in-house ortho at a GP office, no to working for a corp office that has a bossy office manager, no to a job that pays you the same as a GP etc......then your job option will be very limited....then good luck with paying back the $1million loan. Just because you spend 10+ years in school doesn't mean you are entitled to a job.Yet, ortho in the real world is still hard work and no guarantees that any orthodontist will be financially making bank (unless their parents were already well established orthodontists - the legacy route).
There might be a gender factor/twist to all these high debt. About 60% of all student loans in this country are carried by females. For the first time, we now have more females in dental school than their male counterparts. So we will have more female dentists in debt than male dentists in the future. The average female dentist works less hours due to family obligations - which means they will on average earn less than male dentists while having more debt. This will have all kinds of ramifications on the profession in the long run - more and more dentists will be in huge debt and working less. I’m not blaming female dentists at all, but it’s a trend and it will definitely be an economic factor for the profession in the future.A lot of them apply to ortho school not knowing this. And then if they get accepted it's tough to turn down because it's so competitive and all the older orthos made millions.
Well, here is what he actually said to Dave Ramsey.It may work out for him in the long run, but it will be quite a burden hanging over this guy's head for a long time. That can put a lot of stress on a person, on a marriage, etc. It's a lot of delayed gratification to begin with, going to college, then dental school, and ultimately ortho residency, studying hard the whole time.
Are you enjoying reading about the student loans crisis? lolThis is starting to sound like the pharmacy board lol.
So it sounds like your ortho fees and almost every ortho provider fees will not increase in the future, or possibly go down due to saturation/competition and DYI ortho. So what’s the point getting into ortho with $700k-1.2M debt today (probably $900k-$1.5M in 10 years) if fees and student loans are going at different directions at a 5% rate every year?I have not raised the ortho fees since I started my very first office 13 years ago….gotta keep the same low fees to attract more new patients. The corp office that I work for has not raised my daily pay since 2007….my bonuses are shrinking….
I don't know if other orthodontists raise their fees or not. I choose not to because of all the reasons I listed above....the operating cost of running my offices is lower (brackets and wires are getting cheaper and all the debts were paid off) than when I first started. I want the new patients to be happy with our fees and services. In order to maintain the same constant income flow that I currentlly enjoy, I need new patients to come in to replace the ones who are done with their tx.So it sounds like your ortho fees and almost every ortho provider fees will not increase in the future, or possibly go down due to saturation/competition and DYI ortho. So what’s the point getting into ortho with $700k-1.2M debt today (probably $900k-$1.5M in 10 years) if fees and student loans are going at different directions at a 5% rate every year?
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That’s not true. A busy and established General dentist office would be a better gig to work past retirement age. General dentists in my state can have upto 4 dental hygienists and (soon) dental therapists. So that would be a completely hands free practice and you would only have to be there if you have “new patients” or “emergencies” (under the current law ) - but that too will change in the future.Working as an orthodontist 6 days/week is 100x easier than working 3-4 days/week as a general dentist. Orthodontists can work for a long time and they will continue to earn 6-figure incomes while most of the general dentists at their age have to quit due to hand and back problems. If God allows me to live past my retirement age, I will continue do ortho. It'd be boring for me to stay home doing nothing 7 days/week, 365 days/year. It's hard to quit this fun job completely.
Unfortunately, the conveyor belt to ortho residency is still in high gear and very expensive.Ortho is dying. The golden days are over. They struggle to make any money. Anyone reading this, don't go into ortho - not because it's a dying field, but because I want to get in next cycle.
I can’t believe that some programs take 15+ residents a year. That alone should give ortho aspirants pause.Unfortunately, the conveyor belt to ortho residency is still in high gear and very expensive.
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If it’s so simple to make money, then why do most old dentists sell their practices and retire? Most old dentists sell their practices because they no longer produce the same as when they were younger. You can’t really be “hand-free” if you want your office to continue to attract more new patients. Patients come to your office because of your reputation and your good work. In order to maintain the success of your business, you have to be actively involved in running your practice and be good at performing difficult procedures. Since you have the experience in hiring associates, I pretty am sure you know that most associate dentists don’t care about your practice the way that you do. The associate dentists only want to do minimum work, refer difficult high risk cases to specialists, go home early, and get paid ontime. When you start letting your office managers, associate dentists, and hygienists run your office, your office will soon be just like most corp offices…..poor customer services, long wait time, lots of re-dos, and lots of patient complaints etc.That’s not true. A busy and established General dentist office would be a better gig to work past retirement age. General dentists in my state can have upto 4 dental hygienists and (soon) dental therapists. So that would be a completely hands free practice and you would only have to be there if you have “new patients” or “emergencies” (under the current law ) - but that too will change in the future.
If it’s too easy for general dentists to open 2-3 offices to make a ton of money, then why do very few of them have multiple successful offices? Many of them cannot even run one office successfully. If it’s too easy to make $$$ as a general dentists, then why do many of them want to go back to school to specialize?You still haven’t answered the question - why would anyone go into ortho today and be in position to be in big debt - when you can use that same money to open 2-3 general dentist offices, and still use that money in the practices to depreciate against your income taxes? Any high school student with ortho future goals today is looking $1M+ debt in 10-15 years. What is the financial rationale to support such decision? I’m not talking about your low overhead and permanent low fixed fees - I’m talking about the average future orthodontist. Think the year 2030 average ortho grad with about $1M+ in student loans (and didn’t have rich parents or rare scholarships).
Associate dentists who are paid by a % of what they produce do not and cannot afford to do minimum work. It is true they don’t work as hard as the owner (I wouldn’t if I was the associate) - but the owner should have that expectation when hiring an associate. Like anything else, if you provide the right perks/incentives, environment, staff and schedule to the associate, something better than other associate jobs out there, they will not leave under normal circumstances. Ofcourse an associate can still leave if their spouse, family or other non-financial personal obligations pulls them somewhere else.Since you have the experience in hiring associates, I pretty am sure you know that most associate dentists don’t care about your practice the way that you do. The associate dentists only want to do minimum work, refer difficult high risk cases to specialists, go home early, and get paid ontime. When you start letting your office managers, associate dentists, and hygienists run your office, your office will soon be just like most corp offices…..poor customer services, long wait time, lots of re-dos, and lots of patient complaints etc.
If it’s too easy for general dentists to open 2-3 offices to make a ton of money, then why do very few of them have multiple successful offices? Many of them cannot even run one office successfully. If it’s too easy to make $$$ as a general dentists, then why do many of them want to go back to school to specialize?
Like I said before, one should not have to borrow any loan for the undergrad education. If he/she is too poor, the government will give him/her grant money or he/she can always get a P/T job….if he/she doesn’t want to get a P/T job, then I don’t think he/she is a responsible person…and he/she will likely fail in the future. One doesn’t need to get his undergrad education at Stanford and Harvard in order to get accepted to a good cheap dental school. Most cheap local state universities are good enough.