Agree. berriesandcream, you do have a chance at UCSF. The main point is, you have a small chance everywhere, but for us CA people this is no high-probability school unless you just have a killer app. The key is to apply to enough places so that your total chance of getting in to one of them is high. If you have a 10% chance of getting into any one school and you apply to only 15 schools you'll have a 79.4% chance of getting in to a least one of them; apply to 30 schools, it's 95.8%. Just don't apply to five or so Cali schools and expect to get in. Low probability.
You can use the MSAR to find what schools accept OOS students. I went for schools that have >25% of their incoming class from OOS. I'm not sure how true this is, but you can calculate your
LizzyM score, which is GPA*10 + MCAT, and compare that to the average of the schools. If you get a 33 MCAT, yours will be 69. UC Irvine's is 69, UCLA's is 72, UCSD is 74, Virginia Commonwealth (which accepts OOS) is 67. My school selection was about 1/3 above my score, 1/3 around my score, and 1/3 below my score.
My spread of interviews has been from #18 to unranked (per the US News and World Report) with rejections and acceptances throughout that range. There is just no great way to know where you're going to land until you give it a try. Good luck.