1. I plan to be self insured (as far as life insurance goes) sometime in my mid 50s.
2. $8 million medical liability policy. $5 million umbrella liability policy. Well funded 529 plans.
3. My investment portfolio is a 60/40 mix of stock/bonds. Heavy tilt to small, value, international. Taxable accounts are DFA and Vanguard tax managed funds and a few ETFs. Like everyone else I have taken my lumps. Been rebalancing and tax loss harvesting all the way down.
Still waiting for YOU to respond to the following:
1. "Cash value policies only work over the VERY long term (more like 20 years) I just don't think that you are adequately compensated for tying up your money that long (liquidity premium) Why don't you tell us how long the average person who takes out a whole life policy ACTUALLY winds up keeping the policy in force and actually earns on their returns? Why don't you tell us what actual cash surrendur values are after 1 year, 3 years or 5 years, in case you change your mind?"
2. How about policies being written NOW in the current interest rate environment? I am willing to bet that the guaranteed minimum return is a a lot lower. How have the Variable Life or Variable Universal life policies done over "the last 10 years?" What are the guaranteed minimum returns like on those?
I dont think that I answered your bolded questions. First of all anyone who knows anything about cash value life insurance will tell you that if you buy this policy and cash it in within five years, you will have made a very very poor investment (you will see this on the illustration that I am attaching below). Also roughly 10-20% of customers do allow their whole life policies to lapse in the first five years. Again, this is the reason why those with limited means should not be involved in this situation. No one in a high income bracket is going to allow their policy to lapse or miss paying their premiums.
Lets look at an illustration. Keep in mind that all illustrations use projected numbers. In the cash value column I am including all commissions associated with the policy. I am using New York Life which is a very good company. In the invest the difference column I am assuming a rate of return of 4.6% (this does not include taxes). Keep in mind that the market has given an average return of 0.5% over the last ten years. The whole life policy is a $100000 policy as is the term policy.
Yr 1 Whole life premium $1178 Cash value 0
Term premium $137 Invested value $1089
Yr 3 Whole life premium $1178 Cash value $857 (return -19%)
Term premium $138 Invested value $3414
Yr 5 Whole life premium $1178 Cash value $3738 (return 12%)
Term premium $143 Invested value $5950
Yr 10 Whole life premium $1178 Cash value $11569 (return 7%)
Term premium $152 Invested value $13337
Yr 15 Whole life premium $1178 Cash value $20818 (return 6%)
Term premium $194 Invested value $22457
Yr 20 Whole life premium $0 Cash value $28363 (return 6%)
Term premium $217 Invested value $28363
Of note whole life premiums will stop at year 17. At year 20 both average annual returns are at 4.6%.
I think that this is an interesting illustration. I heavily weighed these projections to favor the investing group. Every commission and fee is already taken out of the cash value group's projections. I did not remove any administrative fees or any tax from the investing group (both of which would occur in the real world). Also at the end of the twenty year period the cash value group still has a life insurance policy and the investing group does not. The cash value group also has money in an asset protected vehicle and the investing group does not. If you use these projections and use the rate of return over the last 10 years from investments, then the investment group definitely comes up with the short end of the stick. The annual return in the cash value group are -10.7% at 5 yrs, 2 percent at 10 years, 3.7 percent at 15 years, and 4.6 % at 20 years.
Obviously this isnt for everyone but it does have a place in asset protection and wealth management in the wealthy.