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I attached it. After reanalysis, it looks like just going by the chart having >4 interviews is >60% chance for “independent applicants”. Which doesn’t sound amazing. But keep in mind the average matched IMG last year had about 7 ranks. Considering all the hoarding going on, we second class citizens (I’m a DO) are really feeling the squeeze this year and all of us have less interviews than we would have last year. An upperclassman at my school was super surprised that I didn’t have at least double the offers I got. So yeah our rank lists don’t get to be as long this year, but that also means programs are just going to plummet down their lists.Are these statistics the same for US-MDs, DOs, IMGs? Or US grads only?
So when you consider that, OP is probably more or less on target for the number needed to be safe. Of course I’m just some dude on the internet making his best guess using data from last year and applying it to an atypical year. I’m certainly open to any challenges to this interpretation but I think this is the best way to look at this.