True. But have you considered to evaluate ortho beyond residency? I know most dental students and residents are super focused on keeping their debt down and graduate on time. However, I suspect one should also view any field within the scope of it’s market beyond assumptions. Has ortho fees gone up last 20 years at the same rate as inflation or outperformed the rise in expenses (payroll, overhead, etc) and other interventions? No. I don’t mean to sway you from your decision to get into ortho. But considering stagnant insurance fees, the odds of future higher payroll and payroll tax, and other cost you may not be able to control, etc. I think those are other topics that you should look closer.
Hopefully you will not face any financial headwinds in ortho, but yes demand for ortho will be there, it’s little harder to predict what happens when you sandwich everything I said above together. I own and run dental offices, and I think it was much cheaper to run offices a decade ago, they still make
Profit, but it’s more complicated and costly to run an office today than ever before. If you ever build or buy a practice, that’s an additional debt, maybe $300-500k that will end up in your books. Valuation formulas of offices has also changed over the years, but more to the point, any field within dentistry has to face the time X challenges. The world is becoming less predictable, so the strategy of choosing a specialty or dentistry in general should come with a realistic long term outlook. Yes, dentistry will remain profitable from a monitory perspective in the short term, but the costs trend to practice in this field is becoming more elusive than ever before. I know dentists who have ran into wall of anxiety and wished they knew certain risks. No one gets into dentistry with a prescription in their hand that makes them get through the financial risks.