That's not how it works. A single year of 3.7+ GPA and an excellent MCAT score (513+) can and has gotten people into schools like BU, Case, Tulane, Drexel, one's state MD schools, and Albany, among others. A 3.9+ with significant hours in altruistic service, especially with patients, can and has gotten people into UCSF, Columbia, Duke and Vandy. I've seen this happen enough from SDNers that it says to me that this is more than merely winning the Lotto.
Obviously, this is a small n. But considering that ~10% of all the MS students who have gone through my own school's SMP have gotten into MD schools) and ~>50% DO hints to me that AACOMAS may have actually done people a favor, and force people into a pathway where they may be ending up matriculating into MD schools!
Time will tell how this shakes out. Also keep in mind that med schools that run SMPs are the back door into those med schools.
There are a lot of people who think that they can either bulldoze their way through their classes, OR think that they will make that Hail Mary pass on the final exam, OR are ignorant as to how damaging those F/D/C grades in Orgo are to their chances at med school. Do NOT underestimate the cluelessness of your typical 19-20 year old.
Yeah...I don't really understand how people can have so many terrible grades. I would take a few W's over a few F's/D's/C's any day.