Hey Haplo. I just got accepted into the GTown SMP program today and I happen to also be a Californian. Based on what you said before, do you suggest that I apply before I start school this August? I applied for med school this round and no luck - not even an interview. I have 3.5/31 stats. I don't know if you would consider that good enough to apply this year or should I wait first?
They typically recommend/require everyone in the SMP to apply the year of the program. So, your school list all depends on your goal; if you absolutely must go back to Cali, then you have a longshot during the concurrent cycle, but give it a shot this cycle regardless.
In my situation, i was pre-screened out anyways at all the UCs this year, except UCSD; but they just gave me the secondary in Jan, and now im on interview hold, so looks like a no. My understanding (and other Cali roommates), is that typically the UC's want to see how you did the whole year, the year after SMP. Or, if you can maintain a 3.8+ all year, maybe you'll get lucky (be warned, only maybe 10 people have grades this high). If you weren't good enough to get a secondary last cycle, then you probably won't get one this cycle from the UC's. However, there was some movement after people sent in winter grade updates, me included, so the data is unclear. If you got UC secondaries but no interview, the SMP might make the difference this year for you.
Just app and see what happens. My advice to you (and general medapp timeline advice):
(1) Finish/submit a primary in June, get it verified by July.
(2) App to Gtown, and SMP-friendlies, don't wait till orientation in Aug. The friendlies (off the top of my head): Creighton, EVMS, VCU, NYMC, Drexel, Commonwealth, UHSUS. Research studentdoc for more, they honestly didn't tell us diddly at orientation. For you, app to the Cali's. This should be enough, it's a crapshoot this cycle.
If you want more: go midwestern/south = Arkansas, Alabama Birm, Tulane, Arizona. Pick a few good privates (like Michigan), they might not care about one bad stat as much if you have great ECs.
(3) Finish any/every secondary before orientation, Gtown in Nov during Thanksgiving break (NOT during cardiopulmonary /sigh), UC secondaries as they arrive. I wasted 1.5-2 weeks of study time during MCP and MNE modules doing apps. This was probably the difference between A- and A for me (1-pt. under club 3X certified, ty Gtown!!). You can't afford to waste time as each point is precious.
(4) That letter problem people mentioned above, just list your SMP advisor for Gtown and Cali schools, if you get anything, it'll be late from these schools. UC's, in particular, want to see how you do before they react. For any other schools, it's up to you. If you think you'd get an early interview w/o the letter, don't list it; if not, then do list it.
Godspeed. Or UC Riverside in 2012!