How so? How many locums docs are there? In my mind, its not an absolute shortage, but a relative one that is accentuated by the average age of current anesthesiologists due to the undersupply that started in 2008-10 (due to the cyclical glut in workforce).
Undersupply? So you mean ... there's a shortage?
🙂
Anesthesia is one of the most competitive fields right now, and the supply will be there in 4-6 years.
So there's a shortage now, but not in 4-6 years?
Maybe. The population is aging, getting sicker, fatter, less healthy. Demographics aren't moving in the direction of fewer old people and more working-age people.
Old people run the government and they're not going to legislate away healthcare for old people.
The boomer generation owns more than half of the wealth in the United States - they're not going to quit spending on their health, even if the government tries to.
We may be churning out graduates but I don't believe for an instant that this problem is going to be fixed in 4-6 years. Or even mitigated.
In fact, the only "fix" I see that's likely to put any downward pressure on our job market is the AANA winning and extended supervision becoming more common - i.e., a "fix" that depresses demand for our services.
How many locums docs do you think would give up locums and go full time in their home city if the pay was more competitive? I bet a whole bunch. I believe the a big reason is you have a much larger locums pool that grows larger by the day, and doesnt enter the regular workforce.
Well yes, of course.
Anyway, the point is that if Practice A raises pay and fills their needs, other groups are then short. Those doctors didn't just get promoted from the mailroom over in HR. They came from somewhere, that now no longer has their services.
The entire point is that EVERY practice can't go physician only. It's a zero sum game. There aren't enough physicians for ALL practices EVERYWHERE to go physician only.
FWIW, our “shortage”, retention, and turnover issues magically resolved after we negotiated new contracts with our health systems. In our case, it was problem that was solved with money. Maybe that created problems elsewhere.
How about that?
Seems like money is always the problem.
Money can solve the problem for some practices.
The practices that people leave will then be short.
Look, this is obviously good, in a macro sense, for all of us. The shortage exists, whether you want to deny its existence or not, and it's what's driving our paychecks up. MGMA data, lagging and incomplete as it is, shows US anesthesiologists' pay going up something like 25% in the last few years. Hooray for me, hooray for you.
Take a wider view - this isn't a physician or even a medicine issue. The only reasons prices for any thing, or any service, ever go up is because demand exceeds supply. The mere fact that our incomes have dramatically outpaced inflation in the last 10 years is the only information necessary to understand that supply is insufficient to meet demand. Everything else is just noise.
Money fixes the problem ... at least for the facilities with deeper pockets than their competitors ... for a while.