WOOOOOOOOOOOOSHHHHH!!!!
Of course he's "bitter about something"...did you not read his OP? 🙄 You "don't know what his issue is"? Try reading.
This post is a LOT better than the hundreds of threads asking about applying June 20th vs June 18th or asking us to calculate someone else's GPA. It's informative. Even if it is biased that doesn't mean it's not a valuable perspective.
Those PhDs you mention will never make as much as an MD, and they will never make us much as an MBA. They will struggle a lot more...and these tenure-track faculty positions are few and far between.
You obviously have no idea what you're talking about here.
I meant to imply that he's bitter about something other than just how tough science is. You know all those posts by 4th year med students and residents ranting about how idiotic it is to go into medicine and how terrible it is? This is the science equivalent of that. Yes, things are competitive if you want an academic job, and you need to be excellent to get one (though not as competitive as the OP is trying to convince you, I'll get to that in a minute). There are a *lot* of good reasons to not go into grad school. There are a *lot* of people that shouldn't go to grad school. However, grad school can be perfect for a lot of people, and if you're realistic about the challenges when you go into it, you can have a happy and fulfilling career in science.
I had the title post-doc for my first 2 appointments, my last appointment at UCLA I had the title research associate.
For my 1st post-doc at Upenn, the PI told me outright from the start that the funding for this position is only for 1 year. 1 year post-docs are common, as many of my peers also were in a 1 year post-doc. This PI I worked for is not a leader in his field, but this just shows how hard is it to even grab post-doc positions. I applied for well over 30 positions in my last year, and only 2 offered a position. One of whom were directly contacted by my PI.
For my second stint at Penn state, the post-doc is indeed renewable after the 1st year, but I chose to leave because the PI was an unreasonable man. He demanded me to work basically 80 hours a week in the lab, threw fits when the experimental data didn't fit the abstract, and literally eats his students alive when they make minor mistakes. So, I decided to leave when a new opportunity came up at UCLA. Of course, even though I despised this boss, I still left on very good terms. He often used me as an example in the lab for others to follow, and repeatly said how competent I was.
For my 3rd appointment as research associate at UCLA Immunology, I only stayed for one year of course because I was accepted to medical school.
My bitterness is a very reasonable one. Why does educated and talented scientists in America get treated like fast-food workers? Working 80 hours a week making 35,000$ translates to 8 dollars an hour. Why does been a scientists in America mean that I must now give up my retirement, life, family, marriage, and a right to life?
I've never heard of anyone even considering doing a single year postdoc, simply because you can't get a meaningful amount of work done in that time. I've also never heard of anybody applying to nearly that number of positions. Most students from our lab (and department as a whole) will apply to ~5 labs, and I've yet to hear of anybody not getting at least one offer for a postdoc. We routinely get postdocs that applied only to our lab.
If you're looking at postdocs as a career salary, you're doing things wrong. Postdoc salaries are still 35-50k/yr, which is enough to live on, and quite well. It isn't enough to raise a family, I agree, but it's a temporary thing. You also don't need to do a postdoc to get an industrial position, though some companies are starting to recommend it (qualifications are often listed something like "PhD with 3+ years of experience or post-doctoral training). Median wages in the biological sciences are around $80k/yr, which is far from terrible. If you're good at marketing yourself and learn valuable skills, it isn't too difficult to push yourself above the $100k mark.
As far as your numbers, you're playing with the math a bit. Even if what your advisor told you was true, that they receive 500 applicants for each opening, you're neglecting a few things. The same 500 people will be applying to every academic position they qualify for, so there are far *fewer* than 500 applicants per available position. In a given year, there may be ~30-50 openings for academic position that a given candidate qualifies for, making your numbers off by at least an order of magnitude. You're also neglecting that people aiming for academics will often apply during more than one cycle, artificially inflating the numbers. Though things have been particularly bad the last few years, somewhere around 10-15% of PhDs end up in tenure track academic positions within 6 years of finishing their degree (
source).
As far as industrial jobs, they're significantly less competitive, and it's all about what you're willing to do or what you're willing to take for compensation. If you're aiming for >$100k/yr right now, competition is tough. If you're well qualified and will work for $85k/yr, there are plenty of jobs to be had. I couldn't find numbers relating the number of industrial openings to the number of departing postdocs, but I can assure you that they're better than 1 in 200.
Of course, all of this is ignoring a huge number of foreign graduate students / postdocs that go on to positions in other countries, as almost all of the numbers account only for US positions.
For anybody that actually believes the OP's numbers, think of it this way: if the OP were correct, then PhD level scientists in this country are >99.5% not employed in scientific positions.
To be clear, I'm not saying everything in science is rosy. There are problems, and I strongly suggest that anybody thinking about that career path do so carefully. Realize that if you want to go into academics, it is going to be a tough career path ahead of you. If you really want to go into academics, go to a top-10 university for your PhD, as there is a huge amount of academic inbreeding. You also are unlikely to become rich as a scientist, unless you learn to market your ideas and start a company. However, keep in mind that high level positions in e.g., pharmaceutical companies, are occupied almost entirely by people holding PhDs. If you're aiming for a position like that, you need the degree (but obviously that won't guarantee you that position in itself).
My offense with the OP isn't that he's complaining about science, it's that he's cooking the numbers to justify his position. There are enough valid complaints about the state of science in the US that there's no need to do that. Hell, he could go further and point out that even once you get an academic position, you're still fighting for funding for the rest of your career. The OP also strikes me as being the kind of person that will be back on this board in 4 years complaining about how stupid of a decision medicine was, and how nobody should ever go to medical school. Bitter people tend to be bitter regardless.