And I should clarify. I misspoke and meant if retakers increased the overall rate by 6%. Not if 6% of them pass. Looks like everyone got what I meant.
Two things. Pass rates have not "historically been trending up". They are actually remarkably consistent, or have been in the past. Last years practically 99% pass rate was an anomaly. There is no trend...yet. There could be, but your statement about some upward trend isn't true. Also, stereotypes exist for a reason. Prior to last year and a handful of the 2013'ers didn't get spots for very obvious reasons. So much so that the stigma/stereotype has sunk in very deeply amongst residency programs, in my experience. It may not be "fair" but I don't blame them for being cautious. After a year or two of re-applicants coming through and performing well, though, the perception will change. If they come trough and perform well...