Nah I'm with
@predentalstudent132... this is such overanalyzing it's genuinely nuts (coming from an unabashedly self-admitted anxious person).
But let's over-analyze even more if that's what we're into: he said last year they were on page 9. Two years ago they were on pg 8. Out of 105. 105 f***n pages overall. We're scientists, right, so let's do some analysis.
1) percent change from 2016 cycle to 2018 cycle: (6-8)/8 * 100= 25% change in pages since last year at this exact moment. Big number. But is that statistically significant? Lol not at all, because the sample size is far too small to make an accurate comparison. Sorry to be math-y but that's the truth
2) never understood percent change? Reread above statement and remember that this was page 8. Out of ONE HUNDRED AND FIVE PAGES. TOTAL. 8/105= .076%. Plus or minus TWO from ONE HUNDRED AND FIVE is absolutely laughable.
3) AADSAS is using a completely new format of apps that is unprecedented to the previous timelines. Aka, not an accurate comparison to any past years at all. Are schools getting far more apps because of it and can't handle it? Are schools getting less applicants because that's just how this year is going? Possibly to both, but *literally* impossible to say from outside the admissions committees
4) count in the possibility that last year possibly had more "talkative" members. You scroll through last year and the year before and you see dozens of people who you still see active today. On our class there's maybe < 10 people who post regularly/try to make active conversation. Likely even more who individually get info from schools but just don't post because they're shy/modest/not sure what's constructive.
5) I'm not one to preach, since I've already fallen victim to this, but the reality is: who tf cares what's happening outside of your inbox? Focus on your own app/job/health/betterment instead of overanalyzing past pages to find some new stat to work everyone else up with. Again, I'm not one to talk, I've already scoured through the possibilities of why one school didn't give me an interview when I thought I deserved one, but then just remember it's July. July. Over four months from the absolute earliest anyone ever could hear back. About 10 months from the latest we could hear back. So much time to worry through, so much time to space out your Anxieties
Sorry, I know this was long but that low key set me off. Over analyzing will just make you crazy with worry and theories. Is this cycle different than last cycle? Maybe, but impossible to gather from only two pages of a forum, so useless to use as an observation IMO
Never seen that before, nicely done.
