Ice-1 said:
Do you have a citation for this article or a more specific month or year of publication?
First, apologies for quoting literature without first reviewing the source. I overstated the findings.
Academic Medicine
Volume 78(1), January 2003, p 9095
"For our study, the largest amount of variance accounted for by UME [Undergraduate Medical Education] performance was 24%, suggesting that other factors besides basic science GPA, clinical GPA, and USMLE Step 1 and Step 2 scores contributed to successful performance in the first year of residency."
Volume 78(9), September 2003, pp 853
"Multiple linear regression analysis included each
of the significant first-order correlates of
PGY-l scores as possible predictors of
PGY-l scores. In this analysis, GPA and
MSTP graduationbut not Step 1
scores, Step 2 scores, or AOA election
were significant independent predictors
of PGY-l performance; the factors
in this model accounted for only
12% of the total variance in composite
PGY-l score among our graduates."
Volume 78(9), September 2003, pp 853-854
"UME performance indicators such as
GPAs and board scores are not strong
predictors of how well graduates will
perform as interns..."
Rather of like picking stocks - flip a coin.
