Hey ephgirl, thanks for the info, because I believe I was offered your position off the wait list the following monday; it is one week later today. I was also at the "top of tier 2" and I can't wait to be going to Yale this fall. 😎 In the end, all the attention I paid to Yale (letters of intent to committee/ interviewers, addt'l recs, recent publication) I feel was probably worth it- I certainly didn't pay the same amount of attention to any other school. I don't believe it changed my position on the list, instead I was probably always kept in mind. Yet, I feel I am very fortunate, and am excited to see everyone there soon.
Blueskies, Yes keep hope alive! Although it is a slow year, your statistics are still valid, 50% of time some of Tier 3 gets in. Note that not everyone in Tier 2 will accept an offer (e.g. ephgirl). Dir. Silverman is offering you honest but probably cautious advice. Although one might be inclined to be pessimistic this year due to the delay, the Director did admit to me that nobody really knows when the list will finally close. In fact there were a handful of people left on the wait list last year that they wanted to keep around till the end. A day before matriculation, an acceptee defered and one of the waitlistees (who was driving with family through New Haven at the time) was pulled off the list and matriculated the following day! It can happen! So if you want to stay in the running, taking the initiative can only help. Try to accomplish something this summer and write, call and inform the committee when you do! Be proactive and do what you can to improve your chances!
Good luck to everyone! I can tell you are all going to be a bunch of stars!
-ducaliner2