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There is research showing that experienced BSPT's have no better outcomes than DPT's with little experience. If we assume that individual PT's improve in their craft over time/experience then how would explain the equal outcomes? If the schooling is the same or close to the same then shouldn't more experienced PT's with less education have better outcomes? Is it possible that more and better quality education in physical therapy compared to 1980 training levels could also improve outcomes (like experience does) and thus make outcomes amongst novice/higher educated PT and more experienced/less educated PT's close to the same?
Add experience to better education and over time you get better outcomes. Compare the average 2015 DPT grad to the average 2005 grad or 1995 grad or 1985 grad and the difference gets wider and wider. This will likely continue significantly in physical therapy for the next ~ 50 years. In 2025 DPT education will be far and away superior to what it is now. In 2035 it will be better yet, and so will outcomes. Physical therapy education has evolved and is still evolving. It doesn't or hasn't happened at the flick of a switch. As others have said and most recognize, the MPT was at or very close to doctorate level to begin with. When the first DPT schools initially switched to DPT from MPT yes they were close to the same. That was then and this is now. If PT training was still MPT it would be better than it was in 1998, but IMO the transition to a DPT adds extra beyond what that would be.
"...but IMO the transition to a DPT adds extra beyond what that would be." - Your entire post is opinion and conjecture, but the last sentence is the only place you acknowlege that.
Is there another variable that could result in overall better outcomes for physical therapy patients other than entry-level education and years of experience?