- Joined
- May 24, 2013
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- 23,359
- Reaction score
- 33,750
was entirely a slip on my part. mafia/werewolf indicates the same thing
Thank god -- was not looking forward to combing back through every post and fractionating everything.
was entirely a slip on my part. mafia/werewolf indicates the same thing
Nah I know what early game is like, no worries. If you want to add on what made you feel kc was village too (and your current opinion there) that'd also be appreciated.I'll do it later today. Will try, anyway. Advance warning, you are going to be disappointed. Lotta shooting from the hip in my early run-through.
I was really not happy with 2 groups either.Good good. Think we're safe to assume one pack again.
I can best explain myself when asked questions/interrogated.
People always end up having blank spots on their spreadsheet about me, so if you want to ask me questions to fill those gaps. Go ahead.
I lol'dI dunno what else you want us to ask you. "Are you a wolf?"
Lol. Left over feelings from...?My suspicions from most to least are:
nessy - Jumped off the Jil vote quickly when questioned about suspicion list.
Ski - I feel like stuff between her and cdo on the first day was strange. Also, how it's all water under the bridge now with no further questioning.
finn - I'd like to hear more from her. I'm not at the point of lynching, but my interests been piqued by the low amount of direct suspicions.
Abnerrs - May just be left-over feelings, but I don't feel totally confident about her being villager
Cyndia - still kind of wondering about her, but other have said there not much to be worried about since she's posting more. So, I'll put that on the backburner for now.
I'm think a night vilgilante would probably be overkill since STL, so we're likely looking at a bonus kill.
And, no. I'm not a wolf.
nessy - Jumped off the Jil vote quickly when questioned about suspicion list.
Lol. Left over feelings from...?
Ooooooooh yeeeaaaah!The trust in the DRoP game.
Pretty sure if I was a wolf I would have stayed voting for Jil considering she was very obviously going to be lynched. Easier to hide that way. So I don't think my waffling there is inherently wolfy.
Maybe not, but I thought you wanted to test out STL's theory?
Omg. I totally forgot it was you that vouched stu hard for me! 🤣
Oh man. I felt so guilty. You were so cute!
I'm still chuckling. Lol omg
Unofficial lynch tally:
Serher 1 (cyndia)
Coopah 3 (lyra, finn, zen,)
Ally ()
Cyndia ()
Finn 2 (Pippy, AM)
nessy 1 (serher,)
Confusing 1 (nyan)
cdo 5 (ski, SAR, confusing, STL, coop)
Lyra 1 (Doc-S)
AM 1 (nessy)
LIS 1 (DVMD)
Raf 3 (Trilt, 3m, Abs)
Ski 2 (Jil, ,Snowshoe)
STL ()
snowy 1 (raf)
Jil 4 (, ally, WZ, cdo, KC )
26/27
Please check your votes, no other talk besides vote correction.
Day 2 Official Lynch Tally:
Jil (6)- STL, WZ, AM, Zen, ally, LIS
STL (2)- Nyan, KC,
AM (3)- SAR, nessy, Snowy
Abs (1)- DocS
Raf (7)- Trilt, serher, DVMD, jil, 3m, abners, confusing
Cyndia (1) - Ski, raf
Ally (2) - finn, Coopah
Zen (1) - Pippy
23/25
Official lynch tally d3:
abnerrs 1 - DVMD
finn -
Zen 12 - trilt, Pippy, LIS, Dr. S, nessy, WZ, SAR, mmm, ally, Ski, Jil, Finn
Jil 8 - snowshoe, AM, Abnerrs, kc, serher, confusing, Coopah, Cyndia
21/22
check the votes please and no other posts. 🙂
Official lynch tally
Jilary 11 - ally, dr.s, serher, confused, coopah, wz, 3m, LIS, abs, jil, finn
AM 1 - SARS
12/20
DAY CLOSED RESULTS PENDING
Not entirely sure how helpful it is, but here we go. These wolf vs wolf lynch days are hard to analyze, at least in terms of the final vote.
Welp, I see at least one pattern (although whether or not it's totally tinfoil is another story). Anyone else see that almost every person who's died -- with the exception of lyra -- has been the lone voter on someone at some point? It popped out at me because it's easier to see on the last 2 days, but I had forgotten that Dr. S was the only voter for Abs on D2.
I doubt that means anything. It's too vague of a pattern. Maybe if they were all a lone voter just before getting killed or they were all lone voters on the same person or something. But just that were the lone voter for someone at some point? Probably coincidence.
Not entirely sure how helpful it is, but here we go. These wolf vs wolf lynch days are hard to analyze, at least in terms of the final vote.
From looking at the votes, I noticed that two lone voters on Abs have been killed--DVMD and DrS. Might not mean anything, but I thought it was worth mentioning and coming back to later.
Looking back at the D2 vote now (between Jil and raf), I am a little concerned about the people that jumped in on the sweet spot of the Jil vote. After rereading a bit, it seemed to me like it was probably more clear to the wolves that Jil was going down rather than raf. Although raf also got votes the first day, with all of the Jil commotion the first day I could see a wolf assuming that Jil was almost certainly being voted off D2. A wolf would be luckier to get in on the sweet spot of the raf vote because it wasn't as expected. I saw Jil's vote as more of a self-preservation than anything so I wasn't necessarily counting that in this analysis. It might be wrong but those are my thoughts.
From looking at the votes, I noticed that two lone voters on Abs have been killed--DVMD and DrS. Might not mean anything, but I thought it was worth mentioning and coming back to later.
Looking back at the D2 vote now (between Jil and raf), I am a little concerned about the people that jumped in on the sweet spot of the Jil vote. After rereading a bit, it seemed to me like it was probably more clear to the wolves that Jil was going down rather than raf. Although raf also got votes the first day, with all of the Jil commotion the first day I could see a wolf assuming that Jil was almost certainly being voted off D2. A wolf would be luckier to get in on the sweet spot of the raf vote because it wasn't as expected. I saw Jil's vote as more of a self-preservation than anything so I wasn't necessarily counting that in this analysis. It might be wrong but those are my thoughts.
I was kind of eyeing the ones that jumped on raf towards the end (3m, abners, confusing) - I need to reread the section you're referring to again, but I feel like when it was clear either Jil or raf were going down, if I were a wolf I would have opted to jump on raf. Jil seemed more likely to talk herself out of a lynch while raf was kind of floundering as a newbie. Also since STL hadn't spouted any concrete evidence regarding Jil, just his usual psychobabble. Granted if STL had been outed as a seer both would have been screwed anyways, but at that moment, I think Jil was more likely to succeed at saving herself.
I'm still reading more posts.
@mmmdreamerz. She seems to be really quiet in this game; and not making an effort to help us find wolves. Some of her comments seem fluffy to me (and hard-to-believe) given that she is an experienced WW player. As an example:
Maybe I'm wrong about her, but something doesn't feel okay about her. Most of the time she seems to be UTR; and I've been forgetting that she's even playing in this game. So I'd like to hear more from her.
Cydia has also got me a little suspicious with this voting history, she missed two votes because of plurality? And jumped on Jil late D3 so no real help.
I think I straight up missed the day 1 vote because I wasn't checking in much then. I did miss yesterdays vote because of plurality, though I said a couple times I was planning to lynch Jil. I was just waiting till closer to the end of the day so that plurality wouldn't take effect, but when I checked in right before 9 the thread was already closed.
No. Bull****. I voted for her the day before too. I just hadn't voted YET that day.I was kind of eyeing the ones that jumped on raf towards the end (3m, abners, confusing) - I need to reread the section you're referring to again, but I feel like when it was clear either Jil or raf were going down, if I were a wolf I would have opted to jump on raf. Jil seemed more likely to talk herself out of a lynch while raf was kind of floundering as a newbie. Also since STL hadn't spouted any concrete evidence regarding Jil, just his usual psychobabble. Granted if STL had been outed as a seer both would have been screwed anyways, but at that moment, I think Jil was more likely to succeed at saving herself.
And before anyone is like "omg that is like, totally, soooooooooooo defensive". It was said in a deadpan "are you kidding me" tone of voice "laugh"No. Bull****. I voted for her the day before too. I just hadn't voted YET that day.
Seeing above makes me think hard about 3m. I realize that we have no way of reasoning why the wolves killed who they killed but she's got a good point. 3m has been super quiet.
I get your reasoning but is hitting plurality when we are all pretty much agreed on who to vote for really a bad thing...especially with such long day cycles?
So like two groups of wolves is that why you are thinking two kills?
What was it about Jil that made you think she was village?
SAR died so I don't think she'll be replying to you![]()
Pretty sure if I was a wolf I would have stayed voting for Jil considering she was very obviously going to be lynched. Easier to hide that way. So I don't think my waffling there is inherently wolfy.
Cydia has also got me a little suspicious with this voting history, she missed two votes because of plurality? And jumped on Jil late D3 so no real help.
I was kind of eyeing the ones that jumped on raf towards the end (3m, abners, confusing) - I need to reread the section you're referring to again, but I feel like when it was clear either Jil or raf were going down, if I were a wolf I would have opted to jump on raf. Jil seemed more likely to talk herself out of a lynch while raf was kind of floundering as a newbie. Also since STL hadn't spouted any concrete evidence regarding Jil, just his usual psychobabble. Granted if STL had been outed as a seer both would have been screwed anyways, but at that moment, I think Jil was more likely to succeed at saving herself.
Getting caught up now but won't be able to finish until later...
DVMD seemed pretty much how she has in the other games I've played with her when she was a villager, so that part doesn't really surprise me. What does surprise me is that the wolves chose her I guess? I just feel like a couple other players that I have felt are pretty solidly villager would have taken precedence for the wolfs to kill...idk and it doesn't really feel like a lynch that was supposed to throw us off either? Idk. Maybe they thought she had an ability.
Seems like most are still feeling a Jillary lynch at this point...
In the last game LIS seemed to post a bunch at once like he has in this game, but he's definitely been not around as much...so I am kinda wondering as well, then again I feel like that is too blatantly wolfy of a strategy for LIS...
Anyone be have any thoughts on Ski? I'm having trouble quoting from my phone but I'll go back and try to quote some things later...some things she's said on occasion have peaked my interest a bit...
So I didn't look at anyone else's lists when I made that post, I just looked at my small spreadsheet and made some deductions. Actually find it quite interesting I have so many parallels to Jil, definitely puts her in a more village camp to me.
Also my apologies for missing 3 people, I thought I got them all but counting is hard![]()
Yes, because I didn't realize we had such similar lists until you pointed it out. I'm likely going to vote for AM today unless something else comes up.
I wouldn't say 3M has been super quiet, but I would say 3M has been super weird at times. I had actually started to go back & pull all of the posts from her and Nessie that set off alarm bells in my head, but then I replied to something else and lost them. But, even just this whole exchange this morning was strange-sounding to me:
Also on the nessie front...
This whole thing was very weird. I really did not like that whole exchange where someone (ally maybe?) pointed out that Nessie quickly adjusted her course of action when someone brought up that her lists overlapped with Jil a lot.
Cyndia had been looking sketchy to me earlier on, but mostly because of a few posts, not necessarily her votes. I did think she was starting to post more substance. However....
Didn't someone else (@Trilt maybe?) post almost the exact same thing in an exchange with @SnowshoeDog143 yesterday or the day before? Like literally almost the exact same post? Strange.
Here's my updated list:
Very suspect:
AM
3M (maybe I just am suspicious of M's?)
Nessie
Medium suspect:
Ally (<-- although if Ally is a wolf, then I don't think Nessie is a wolf, and vice versa).
Less suspect/oscillating between categories:
Snowy
WZ
Cyndia
Coop
KC
Finn
Non-suspect at this time:
Serher
LIS
Confusing
Abnerrs
Trilt
Ski
(did I miss anyone? if I did, then they're not really reading sketchy to me).
Ok, went back to grab these posts.
From @mmmdreamerz:
I didn't like this whole stretch from 3M. It felt weirdly speculative to me, like she was putting out feelers to try to see if someone would bite.
Then she votes to lynch Jil like 30 seconds later.
From @awesomenessity :
Gets called out some more by @allyphoe (and maybe others?) then says:
Did not like this. Feels like trying to soft vouch for Jilary. I particularly didn't like the "tone" of the "Actually find it quite interesting" part.
On that note,
Lynch Nessie
Reason: I feel like Nessie's going to give me more information on Ally and some other players, whereas 3M gives me less info overall. AM, while still sketchy, would give me virtually nothing and I believe she's teetering on the line for posting requirement anyways.
Didn't someone else (@Trilt maybe?) post almost the exact same thing in an exchange with @SnowshoeDog143 yesterday or the day before? Like literally almost the exact same post? Strange.
No. Bull****. I voted for her the day before too. I just hadn't voted YET that day.
Interesting.Fair enough. I hadn't gone back to look yet, I just listed the last three names I saw on wz's tally sheet.
Lynch Nessie
Reason: I feel like Nessie's going to give me more information on Ally and some other players, whereas 3M gives me less info overall. AM, while still sketchy, would give me virtually nothing and I believe she's teetering on the line for posting requirement anyways.
My spreadsheet has similar color codes, but tally by tally for each lynch cycle.Let's stop talking about DRoP, mmkay?
I did a thing last night where I went through and color coded the final vote tallies but lo and behold the colors don't transfer over from word so I'm going to work on redoing that I suppose.![]()
Would still like those reads/posts re:Zen if possible, too. 🙂
I think the primary reason for the long day cycle is so that people have enough time to get their 5 posts in and not get mod-killed.
Speaking of... Yeah, a lot of people still need to get on here and start talking.
Heads-up that it's far easier for mods to see your lynch votes if you put them on a separate line, like so.
******lynch pippy******
unlynch puppy
I hadn't caught that cdo's been on SDN and hasn't posted here. Since majority rules aren't in effect,
lynch @cdoconn
I'd like to hear that explanation.
Remember that plurality is NOT in effect this lynch. It will be in next lynches, though. Ok to lynch how you want today, but in future, if you're not feeling certain about a player, consider tagging them to warn them instead of lynching.
I'm going to keep my vote where it is for now because I'm curious what shakes out of the Ski/cdo argument.
Reading quickly before leaving tonight, and unfortunately can't get back on before lynch close 🙁
unlynch cdo, lynch coop
If cdo has a power role, I don't want to lynch her just yet. I do want to hear what it is to get some idea of whether's she's attempting what STL had last game. I'm reading just noob language on raf's part. I'm more bugged about Coopah's post from the start of the day. She defended herself when pressed, but it's something that I'm surprised she didn't login through on her own.
I didn't fully understand what cdo posted after claiming she had a role - is she now saying that she's vanillager? If so, then she's back on my lynch list tomorrow.
Well, that was a bad night for me to leave early. Sorry, everyone. Comments/responses in (somewhat) order posted -
This one.
Seemed like coopah was trying to frame a behavior as sketchy when she should have been able to work out that it was a reasonable action on day 1. Especially given that she posted this on the prior page:
One lynch vote generally doesn't invite discussion from the lynched party. Multiple lynch votes/a small bandwagon will. I thought Coopah knew that.
Was supposed to be logic, not login. That's what I get for typing quickly.
Finally, not that it matters now,
Dy made the 2-shot vigilante a day vigilante last game. There was one day where PBC was killed (I think) about 6hrs before lynch closed when we had all settled on her to lynch. It freaked all of us out, and Dy had to clarify that PBC wasn't mod-killed.
Is anyone else besides me and DVMD here that was alive during that point in the basics game? I know the day vigilante shot stood out in my memory, so I would think that others would have remembered it with cdo's role reveal.
Just in case this lynch starts gaining momentum, I'd like to make a comment to hopefully help future village. Ally's last few posts have been almost exclusively grilling me, which I find quite wolfy. I am apparently a sketchy-seeming villager (under the radar, exceedingly neutral, all of the things you guys have said in the last little while), so it would be very easy to lead a lynch brigade against me to try and draw attention away from lynching fellow wolves. So when I flip village (which I will) I hope you guys take a hard look at Ally as wolfy.
Yes, apparently I had similar analysis as Jilary, and I decided not to lynch her because of it. I was rused, plain and simple. As I mentioned previously, a smart wolf wouldn't have been so openly waffling over voting for another wolf, because it would look sketchy. They would have stayed with the lynch and rode it out. So either I'm a really dumb wolf, or I'm legitimate village who was uncertain about whether I was lynching a fellow villager. If I hadn't unlynched, you would have been calling me out as a wolf hiding in the bandwagon and having similar views to another wolf. Since I did unlynch, now I'm a wolf for waffling and happening to share the same views as a confirmed wolf. There was literally no way for me to win in this situation 😛
So yeah. I'm village, I apparently play sketchy and happened to have similar thoughts as a wolf. Doesn't make me any less of a villager, though 🙁
Yup, I buy that, which is why I have you guys diametrically opposed in my list.Just in case this lynch starts gaining momentum, I'd like to make a comment to hopefully help future village. Ally's last few posts have been almost exclusively grilling me, which I find quite wolfy. I am apparently a sketchy-seeming villager (under the radar, exceedingly neutral, all of the things you guys have said in the last little while), so it would be very easy to lead a lynch brigade against me to try and draw attention away from lynching fellow wolves. So when I flip village (which I will) I hope you guys take a hard look at Ally as wolfy.
Yes, apparently I had similar analysis as Jilary, and I decided not to lynch her because of it. I was rused, plain and simple. As I mentioned previously, a smart wolf wouldn't have been so openly waffling over voting for another wolf, because it would look sketchy. They would have stayed with the lynch and rode it out. So either I'm a really dumb wolf, or I'm legitimate village who was uncertain about whether I was lynching a fellow villager. If I hadn't unlynched, you would have been calling me out as a wolf hiding in the bandwagon and having similar views to another wolf. Since I did unlynch, now I'm a wolf for waffling and happening to share the same views as a confirmed wolf. There was literally no way for me to win in this situation![]()
So yeah. I'm village, I apparently play sketchy and happened to have similar thoughts as a wolf. Doesn't make me any less of a villager, though 🙁
Nah I know what early game is like, no worries. If you want to add on what made you feel kc was village too (and your current opinion there) that'd also be appreciated.