I know someone with very similar stats who unfortunately went unmatched in 2016. Here are some thoughts from her.
-First, you need to figure out how your program would feel about you. Have you cultivated a relationship with your home chair and program director thus far? Would they be willing to match you at your home program after 1 productive year of research? What about two? If the people who know you "best" at this point remain hesitant, it will remain difficult to convince outside programs where you may only rotate for a month at a time that you are a viable candidate.
-Also, what is your institutional prestige like? Are you IMG or DO? That's going to kill your chances. Low tier allopathic MD will also be very hard. Upper tier will make it slightly easier.
-If you just submit an application with that step 1, your application materials will not get looked at UNLESS
1) You do an away rotation at that institution and are viewed favorably
2) Your mentor directly contacts a PD/chair and they are willing to bypass the initial step 1 screen and grant you an interview. That being said, PDs are very open to this kind of thing if they know your mentors. Case in point, my friend went to the AAO meeting in mid october (well after a number of interviews were sent out) and strolled the halls with her mentor. They encountered several chairs and PDs who offered said applicant an interview on the spot without reviewing their credentials simply because her mentor was that well known.
-As such, mentorship is key for you going forward. Who are your mentors, and who are you thinking about doing research with? Have they helped out other students with your scores from your caliber of school recently? If the answer is yes, then thats a great sign! Are they willing not just to write you a great letter, but to actually make phone calls and write emails on your behalf? Ask what other medical students and residents have worked with that researcher recently and find out where their paths took them.
-Realize that step 2 can be just as challenging as step 1 for some people....