Advertisement - Members don't see this ad
Did yall see the New Hampshire university poll showing AOC in the lead for democratic presidential candidate 2028… in front of buttagieg and then mark kelly. This is how we end up with trumps- aoc and buttagieg will loose and loose big
Primary polls mean precisely dick until about a week into the actual primaries, and then one could argue that maybe they're slightly more reliable because they mean squat. 🙂
Seriously. The thread search engine here sucks but if you have 10 hours to kill go back and look at the political threads during primary season for the 2008 and 2012 and 2016 elections .... they're all a massive collective fantasy that any of the polling means anything. Even the early primary results frequently turned out to be bad predictors of eventual nominees.
2012 was a particularly ridiculous spectacle. Michele Bachman! Rick Perry! Nononono it's gonna be the Herman Cain Train! Wait ... no, now it's Newt Gingrich! And eventually the money donors said **** it all and it was Romney. All that happened in the span of what, two months?
It's July 2026 ... OK maybe it's fun to speculate, but we should get through the midterms first before we take any of this stuff seriously.