Some people in finance have consistently generated outsized returns. Buffett, Simons, Druckenmiller. Buffett even gave a talk about it:
en.wikipedia.org
These days, value investing is outdated but it provided alpha for several decades. It's a cognitive bias that indexing cannot be beaten.
I think this is a jab at a certain poster on SDN. I actually have a lot of respect for him. Unlike me, he is very open about his strategy. Options are not easy to understand for the common person. Therefore, there is more room for arbitrage for outsized returns. There are pockets of opportunities that is too small for hedge funds and institutions but big enough for the individual investor.
If I was a popular speaker trying to sell books, I would definitely have my ghostwriter write something inoffensive and commonly agreed upon. There is less career risk that way. I'll tell everyone to index while I invest differently. It's win-win for me. I'll sell more books and have higher investment returns in a less crowded space.
For those that wants to make big money, why listen to academics over people that have actually done it? From what I've seen so far, academics sound intelligent at the expense of big earnings. This is kind of reflected in the SDN psychiatric cohort as well.
You're a good guy. We often don't think alike but I like you overall.
It's kind of hard to say. There are strategies that offer higher sharpe ratios than indexing in S&P 500. It is possible to take on less risk (in terms of volatility) for more returns.
I highly endorse this message and I hope more people listen to you. Indexing is good for those who suck at investing. And it is good for me if the person is awesome at investing. Indexing results in less competition for the top 1%. Why be rich in 5 years when you can be rich in 30 years? Certainly everyone will live another 30 years to enjoy the fruits of their labor.