Lets talk about why we are in the position we are in please. As an experienced retail pharmacist, I would like to hear some facts about WHY pharmacy is such a struggle and why it seems to be fading. If you can try to list statistics and factual data to support your ideas, I would really appreciate it. so, LETS TALK!
1) i believe over saturation is a major factor, which is indicated by the index numbers of graduates to jobs available for each state.
2) Big companies are struggling to meet profit goals and maintain Medicare contracts, leading to downsizing.
3) state boards seem to pass new rules that only help the big companies press even harder on us. ex. 1-6 tech ratios, satellite pharmacies that (in some cases) CAN be operated without the physical presence of a pharmacist.
Your thoughts?
Is it the end? no. Will it effect future grads? Yes. I think this is just a small part of the US government which I believe is on it's way to partial economic collapse. We never truly recovered from the 2007-2008 crash all we literally did was PRINT MONEY OUT OF NOWHERE we didn't even have to physically print it this time. Look up Quantitative Easing. It's a fancy word for printing more money in bank accounts and then buying the bad assets that failed. So instead of taking the pain and letting some banks fail the US government pushed the collapse down the road. We continue to print 1,000,000,000.00 USD a year while borrowing billions of dollars from China.
So the issue isn't really pharmacy. It's the whole US government. People that had trouble finding work elsewhere are flooding into pharmacy due to it's easy money. Well the easy gravy train is drying up. Once pharmacist wages stabilize at 60,000 USD a year and the unemployment rate for pharmacists reaches 15% the great flood will end with around 30% of pharmacists defaulting on their student loans.
The kicker? The fed will just print up more money "quantitative easing" to buy the bad student loan assets causing massive inflation and robbing the value of people's bank accounts that hold cash aka Boomers 401ks, saving accounts, pensions.
My advice to people reading this. If you are a foreigner do not come to the US to study pharmacy. You will not be hired. There are too many new local new grads that speak fluent English. Come here to study MD/DO/PhD/computer science. Of the people I know that are currently jobless that hold pharmDs many of them are African, Vietnamese, Indian and Jordan/Lebanon and can not speak perfect English.
OP asked for hard facts so I present this for my case. If you can find anything wrong in my math please let me know. The supply of pharmDs is going way up compared to the amount of jobs.
17,4001 expected jobs to be created over ten years /10 years = 1,740 new full time pharmacy jobs created a year. Roughly 3,000 pharmacists retiring/dying a year. 1,740+3,000=4,740 new pharmacy jobs a year.
14,872 (New pharmDs in 2018) - 4,740 = 9,347 new grads unemployed a year This is 9,347 students that will not have a pharmacy job each year... in
10 years that is 93,000 unemployed pharmacists...
Ref 1 from government bls.gov which pulls data directly from IRS data
Ref 2 from NAPLEX first time test takers in 2017