The psych market isn’t significantly threatened.I think the point is moreso not trying to comment on the market now but 5 years from now. Isn’t independent pa/np practice still relatively new in New York State. Now there is even more of an incentive for New Yorkers to pursue these degrees. There could be a lag period.
People paying cash are always going to choose a physician. Nobody is paying hundreds of dollars for an intake with an NP.
Midlevels are generally not comfortable with the complexity of inpatient settings, at least not if they’re managing them independently. In my case, they’re even less comfortable with forensic inpatient settings. Also, they almost always refuse to do any call whatsoever. The facilities need this type of coverage and it is often more cost effective to just hire a full time psychiatrist who is willing to do this coverage as part of the job than to hire a bunch of moonlighters to do it.
Midlevels might encroach a bit on the insurance-reimbursed outpatient market but I have never heard of anybody having a problem filling a practice while accepting insurance. Also, NPs inevitably either refer complicated patients out or they seek a new provider because they’re horribly mismanaged and don’t get better. There are plenty of these patients.
Also (always willing to plug my own field), if you do forensic work, you’re almost entirely safe. Nobody is paying serious money to have an NP write a report/testify for their medicolegal case. Even if they did, they’d get destroyed by an opposing physician expert.
Overall, I just don’t think there is cause for doom and gloom in psychiatry.