If the LCME took over probably 5% of existing DO programs would survive. The faculty to student ratio for most DO schools is horrendous, clinical rotations poor, research barely existent, lack of faculty mentorship.
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I highly doubt that. A few might close, but even still a private med school is still a huge money maker. Even if they had to invest and beef up rotations, they'd still benefit from existing. Some may even be forced to affiliate with undergrad universities, like MD standalone med schools have had to do in the past, which honestly would probably be a good thing for future students.
Actually, I would argue that this is a huge benefit of the merger. I'm only really familiar with my own specialty, but I think it would be safe to extrapolate from my experience that even the best AOA residency is only middle of the road at best when compared to ACGME programs.
Currently, students at the mid to bottom have to decide to "settle" for AOA programs versus reach for ACGME programs. In the future, students who might be middle to lower in the class can apply to a much wider range of programs and feel better that they at least tried to match at their dream place but ended up safely matching elsewhere. Imagine a scenario where your total number of interviews is sufficient to match but they are divided between AOA and ACGME. That is a crappy situation to be in. The merger helps eliminate that possibility while also culling the inadequate programs from the pool. It is a win for everyone despite what your flat earth society OMM faculty tell you.
Honestly, this is a constant problem. It's a problem I personally have as well, because of the nature of certain dual-accredited programs in my region of interest that by policy only take DOs in the AOA match.
It's also a problem if say your number 1 spot is ACGME, but 2-6 are AOA, because you have to decide if the chance of matching at your number 1 is worth the risk of matching at your #7 or below.
I also can't tell you the number of classmates I know that are borderline, who have a decent number of ACGME interviews, but not enough to risk not being in the AOA match for those couple of mediocre AOA programs that they'll most likely match into.
The clinical evaluation requirements that are written in LCME guidelines is very very stringent with pathology exposure and types of experiences that are expected compared to coca.
At many DO schools you are allowed to do your medicine rotations (one of the most important) with a private practice preceptor and never step foot in a hospital the whole rotation. If you're lucky you can even take house call (where you drive around and visit patients). Or spend an EM rotations working from the harsh hours of 8am to 2pm. If it's the holiday season on your with a preceptor you're in luck because you don't have to come back for a week, enjoy the holidays.
None of these things would fly at an MD school for third year. Sure they get outpatient exposure but to never step foot in a hospital for your internal medicine rotations?
But by all means don't just take my anecdotal accounts, program directors notice that DO students are behind come fourth year when they don't know how to round nor how to work with residents. Instead of spending fourth year to shine as a Sub-I, they are getting their first exposure to ward based, resident lead medicine.
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I have to be honest, I have not experienced a single rotation like that. I've had a bad day here or there, but honestly, having talked to plenty of MDs in my area, my experience seems no different than there's, save an OMM rotation and a bunch of required primary care focused rotations where MDs have vacations, "research months" or electives.
Now I don't doubt that some students experience what you've described (I've heard about them myself from DO students), but I can say with some confidence that the majority of students at my school don't regularly experience this. And to be honest, the people who do experience those types of rotations at my school tend to be the ones that seek them out.
I completely agree that those types of experiences should be eliminated, but while it may cost DO schools, I doubt it would be very hard for most to implement, they just need some incentive like a threat of losing accreditation.