I actually think Trump won the debate because he had the last word. Trump enters these things with a massive handicap. He is not hindered by pesky things like telling the truth, decorum, or forming intelligible, coherent sentences. The bar for him has always been much lower than for anyone else. He can devolve into belligerent and unhinged rambling and it’s just shrugged off as Trump being Trump. The fact that the next day after the debate, we are spending time talking about some fringe Tweeter account’s claim about Haitians eating dogs shows you how Trump wins. Instead of discussing how unhealthy, old, and unstable Trump appeared last night, the media is wasting its breath on ridiculous social media claims about people eating pets and doctors murdering babies.
Kamala Harris, on the other hand, failed to define herself as anything other than “not Trump.” Yes, she is a woman and is able to grasp and explain the importance of women’s health as it pertains to abortion, but beyond that she doesn’t really have a central theme to her campaign. It’s probably not fair that we expect to have a better definition of her vision because we are holding her to a higher standard, but that is just how it goes with Trump. I think running with abortion being the only well-defined policy issue of hers is risky. It may come down to either Trump vs. “not Trump” or whether or not you have an overly pessimistic view of the world (Trump) or a more optimistic outlook of the future (Harris). Maybe people are getting tired of the vitriol, belligerence, and negativity that has infected our politics for the past decade, but I think outrage is such an addictive emotion that Trump was able to elicit just enough last night to walk away from that debate having succeeded in what he needed to do.