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Explain warmly.Worried that Lawpy's analysis is feeling like "player subbed in as a wolf who was getting sussed and is scrambling to make up lost ground"
Explain warmly.Worried that Lawpy's analysis is feeling like "player subbed in as a wolf who was getting sussed and is scrambling to make up lost ground"
Ah, I see what is up. Eh, not sure because we have no way of knowing without mass claim if the numbers in front of our mod PMs were RNG'd for alignment or not, and chance has it that WO was #3.but my technique is #11. And there are 12 players.
All good. We do use timestamps and they can be useful, so it's not a bad thing to hone. You'll just learn where it is AI and where it isn't, like anything else. I would encourage you to continue to be mindful of timing in WW.Ok I’ll let it go. Sorry y’all. I get super obsessed with timestamps.
I wouldn't want a massclaim anyway. They're the only thing more depressing than affilation seers (if there are no fakeclaims).Ah, I see what is up. Eh, not sure because we have no way of knowing without mass claim if the numbers in front of our mod PMs were RNG'd for alignment or not, and chance has it that WO was #3.
For example, it could be like a 2 person pack, WO was #3, and the other wolf is some other number. It doesn't have to be consecutive, like numbers 1-3 were wolves.
I don’t understand Sporty’s D1 vote on WZ, but vissy was pretty much slammed in D2 over the EOD events of D1. I don’t agree with that vote obviously but as I mentioned earlier a few times, I myself came into conclusions opposite to vissy’s repeatedly so I can’t really say the rationale for that vote is bad. It just sucks for me.
Sporty’s in my neutrals. I don’t automatically wolfread people who voted and/or wolfread vissy.Not Sporty, who's been voting for vissy?
yeah that just feels shady.Sporty’s in my neutrals. I don’t automatically wolfread people who voted and/or wolfread vissy.
For once I am on the same page as AM in analysis with bussingOkay. What reasons do you have for everyone else to be clear that bussing is your first thought?
The idea that I would waffle when bussing a wolf.... as a wolf, if I am going to vote a wolf in danger, I'm going to stick hard. I would need to be able to very well justify hopping off. Anything less, getting on and getting off in a sketch manner, only serves to out both wolves eventually. It calls attention to myself I didn't need. Now, you could say that I did it for the WIFOM, and sure, I love WIFOM, but I can't see myself going that far out of my way to get that kind of attention. There is literally nothing sketchier than voting a wolf and then hopping off when it gets traction.But Cray waffled on and off WOxy on D1. I'm inexperienced, but Im under the assumption that bussing is a decision that's made when there is no alternative. There's worse evidence for Vis/ you or Sporty voting off wagon than going after potential bussers.
Because vissy was a major point of discussion in N1/D2 and i wanted to know why. Then sadly when I read the posts and followed the vote progressions, i landed in very different conclusions from vissy’s points. So it feels like just plain old bad sub luckwhy are you so focused on why people were wolfreading Vis?
To be fair, some wolves will not wait until there is no alternative to bus. Some are quicker with the trigger finger in bussing and trying to get out ahead. I don't think I've ever been shown to be one of those wolves.But Cray waffled on and off WOxy on D1. I'm inexperienced, but Im under the assumption that bussing is a decision that's made when there is no alternative. There's worse evidence for Vis/ you or Sporty voting off wagon than going after potential bussers.
It could be because Lawpy sees me as and fluff as more LHF than those players. And one could be his partner if wolfing.Also why aren’t you more suspicious of I don’t know, any of the players that didn’t yeet the wolf… me, sportponies, genny?
What does engaged mean?You mean the pressure vote on Woxy above? Engaged
Sometimes if you really like someone, you decide to be together forever….What does engaged mean?
I briefly unyeeted WO, not sure if I moved to Zenge or not before getting cold feet and moving back.Yes. I don't think she ever moved unless I'm misremembering.
Who was the person who called out all the salt votes???? And made a huge spectacle? While spectacles are not outside my wolf range, I know that they get me sus, so I am much less likely to throw a fit when threadstate is not already against me in some way.@Animal Midwife these were all Woxy’s posts prior to the Cray pressure vote
What do you make of the possibility of Cray applying pressure on Woxy but as suspicion on Woxy intensified, Cray couldn’t readily back out without throwing herself in the radar?
Remember even though the Woxy wagon disintegrated at the tail end of D1, Woxy was widely viewed to be suspicious.
What is ironic?Ironic
Wow, I'm floored by this analysis. Very good.I know you’re doing your best catching up, and Doing your best, but focusing On this case does feel very wolfy to me. My guess would be that a villager would look at the state of play and start with suspicion on the people who hadn’t caught a wolf: me, genny, sportponies, and you. if we’re assuming 3 wolves, and even if you like me for whatever reason, there’s still sportponies and genny, who seem like pretty obvious suspects from a village!lawpy, especially sportponies who has been pushing visc for a while. But if I’m right and the village bloc consensus is building that includes the woxy train and me for my tryhard behavior, and you’re a wolf, then that’s a pretty dangerous place to be because you know the only suspects left for that village bloc is you, sport and genny. If you’re trying to avoid bussing, that leaves you pretty backed into a corner. In this scenario an elaborate argument for potential bussing inside of the woxy train scans as a more desperate attempt to sow some distrust and dissent within the village consensus as a last ditch attempt to stir up some misyeets within the village. the only other route would be to push for a misyeet outside of the village bloc, either me or sporty, but then when either of us flip village you know you’ll look worse and the remaining suspects would be 2/3 wolf at that point.
Sure, I'm the first person to say I don't believe in clearing wagons. But I need something more compelling to find the woxy voters more sus than the other players under scrutiny.You’re misunderstanding my point of ruling out the purity of D2 woxy wagon as focusing exclusively on bussing and attempts to disrupt the bloc. No, the bloc speaks for itself, but let’s not act like Woxy was some very difficult wolf to find who had little to no suspicion. The events of late D1 speak loud and clear that Woxy was in danger. Yes considering the Woxy offwagon voters is also important, but clearing the entire wagon just because they voted a wolf that was already heavily suspected a day earlier is a dangerous move.
The reason why i mention this is because there are many precedents of the same exact mountainous setups where wolves won crushingly simply because village kept clearing wagons. My whole point is: take into account of everything and viewing the WO2 wagon as pure is premature, inaccurate and dangerous
Which game?Also for the record, wolves have been in village blocs in mountainous games as recently as… a few days ago
To clarify, i’m village reading AM for that Woxy vote movement
Village pls@Lawpy how do you feel about AM?
Who was wolfing?You survived until endgame. You voted for a villager.
Woxy’s situation was far more condemning than your case on TrueyI dont think it would be that big of a risk. I was providing so much cover to let someone rationalize a True vote as legitimate villager behavior. And it’s also not a risk without a reward, they had a good chance of saving woxy by flipping, because they would have at least made a tie and that would help the wolf ratio a lot.
On his brain?I sure hope bussing isn't on the brain for some reason.
dubzWho was wolfing?
No, I don’t think Truey bussed Woxy.I guess the only member of the woxy train that I could consider a bus would be True, b/c he obviously couldnt flip to join the True train, but part of your rationale for the risk of leaving the woxy vote was the strength of True’s woxy vote defense, which is Something True could have simply not done as a fellow wolf.
That tally shows how Woxy was in danger in D1
What are you thinking now and why?Hi, sorry that I missed this earlier.
That proposed pack was basically just knee-jerk vibes. Very little thought went into it, and I don't think that those three make sense as the pack.
Not sure what Sporty voice saying tone means exactlyTo clarify, does the bolded mean "I am reading AM village because (Sporty voice) tone"?
Explain gentlyFluff's vote for AM made perfect sense to me,
Why plsIm gonna start Okaying you Lawpy
It’s RNG though?Only fluff, true, or AM on that tally could be wolf. AM is not likely, I won't belabor why. Only leaves TN and Fluff. I don't find them super compelling. They just wolfed and not sure their play progresses from what it was last game to this game like this. But if we are going to seriously consider it wasn't pure these are the players to look at. Even in my paranoid world, my tingles from them are not what the tingles are from sporty, genny, visc/lawp, zuri, to this point.
If we go back to my old thought process of every person is in the POE, those two just take a backseat (are lower in wolfiness) than the 4 other people I just listed.
But I need to get caught up and if possible maybe look back over things.
Agree. I assume doing so will have been redendered ineffective possibly misleading, or if the mods didn't design for that, ending the game on a whimper.I wouldn't want a massclaim anyway. They're the only thing more depressing than affilation seers (if there are no fakeclaims).
Worried that Lawpy's analysis is feeling like "player subbed in as a wolf who was getting sussed and is scrambling to make up lost ground"
I subbed into bad spots many times before. It’s an SDN WW meme at this point. And how is suggesting not to view the Woxy wagon as pure indicative of my scrambling or thinking about bussing?I sure hope bussing isn't on the brain for some reason.
Thank you, @Truenamer, for being the only person who appreciated my jokeSometimes if you really like someone, you decide to be together forever….
I've never seen you lean so hard on the ole shucks sub luck thing. I've seen you bust ass to come back from worse and show yourself village. This doesn't look very good for you rn.Because vissy was a major point of discussion in N1/D2 and i wanted to know why. Then sadly when I read the posts and followed the vote progressions, i landed in very different conclusions from vissy’s points. So it feels like just plain old bad sub luck
I guess I don't really understand why Sporty is neutral.I subbed into bad spots many times before. It’s an SDN WW meme at this point. And how is suggesting not to view the Woxy wagon as pure indicative of my scrambling or thinking about bussing?
I see she gave itIt could be because Lawpy sees me as and fluff as more LHF than those players. And one could be his partner if wolfing.
I'm waiting on a read by AM.
Thank you, that answered my question and then some lolNot sure what Sporty voice saying tone means exactly
But I am reading AM as village, she sounds extremely village AM to me this game. That data point, independent of the woxy train, but then taken in combination with her yeeting a wolf, is pretty compelling to me. I never say never, but WW is about likelihoods not certainties. I would say 80/20 villager vs wolf, which is probably the highest odds I can imagine giving someone without some mod info or a believable seer/info role claim. It's mountainous so no 3P paranoia
AgreedThis is not the kind of play that I’m used to from village!Lawp, so I stand by my Vis read.
I already expressed my thoughts on the offwagon votersFor once I am on the same page as AM in analysis with bussing
Oh, so village won, and I helped. It hurts me that someone would instead to choose to focus on a single misstep that did not lead to a loss, rather than the way I helped steer that game away from misyeets, as I recall. Feels unnecessarily negative and devaluing of what I contributed that game, to choose to characterize my participation in that way. This feels to me to be characteristic of how some people remember past games, refer to them, and it feels like it is used to continue to justify what feels to me like devaluing my play and contributions in current games.dubz
Did you forget HZD? Or Warriors? Also i have been wolfhunting but i also have to defendI've never seen you lean so hard on the ole shucks sub luck thing. I've seen you bust ass to come back from worse and show yourself village. This doesn't look very good for you rn.
It’s actually based on my interpretations on the vote movements of D1 and D2. It’s not unrealistic and i don’t know why you are ignoring my post regarding my thoughts on offwagon votersyour far fetched bussing focus
Cray, why are you ignoring my posts containing my thoughts on vote progressions, POEs, offwagon voters etc?If you are village, it might be time to let that stuff go and wolf hunt.
She isn’t pinging me from my read throughs other than the WZ vote from D1 that doesn’t make sense to me.I guess I don't really understand why Sporty is neutral.
The way AM was going after me for my argument that salt votes aren't something I like, that I thought going after noobs that lost a game for salt was lame, all of it. I questioned if she was wolfy. I personally don't think it's wolfy to have considered in that situation that I was reasonable and she wasn't, or that someone else agreed with me, and that it didn't look great for AM the argument she was making with me. However I have more experience with village AM possibly being unreasonable and possibly being unreasonable towards myself in particular, so I didn't find her wolfy ultimately, but I understand how someone on the outside of it might have.Explain gently
What do you find villagey about her?She isn’t pinging me from my read throughs other than the WZ vote from D1 that doesn’t make sense to me.
Yes, it is RNG, which is why I referenced that I'm not sure the wolf play with the two of them a second time right away with no other games in between building experience would lead to this far of development of wolf play that fast. Because making an argument to statistics makes no sense. Making an argument about experience and progression of play evolution does.It’s RNG though?