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I was one of those that mentioned a few of these studies (Pharmacy Manpower, DHS) as defense of my stance toward pharmacy job prospects. I am also going to include a link to at least one of these thorough studies I mentioned (which was posted by somebody else on one of the many "the sky is falling" forums).
http://bhpr.hrsa.gov/healthworkforce/pharmacy/conclusions.htm
This is a fairly detailed study (2004) which discusses the pharmacy workforce and has projection data for different types of scenarios (low growth, normal growth, high growth). They also include areas of their study that are thorough and some of the ways the data could be faulty. I put some faith in this study since they mention and take into account the schools they expect to be open by 2010 (and their prediction is rather close, they predicted ~110 schools by 2010 and I think there are 111(?) now). All educated people understand that projections are just that; a projection....some of the projections will be false and some will be true. But, to discount it completely, without bothering to elaborate on parts that have been proven to be valid or invalid, is particularly disturbing to me. As a scientist, I thought I was entering pharmacy---a scientific field....hopefully, SDN as a whole is not indicative of the normal pharmacy practitioner.
That's not a 2004 study. It's a 2008 study. You only need to look at the data presented on Exhibit 23 to know that not only is the data outdated, it makes assumptions of pharmacist vacancy based on limited data provided by ASHP and NACDS in 2004. And having participated in those surveys, I will tell you that only a handful of institutions and organizations participate in providing data. And as a scientist, I'm sure you can appreciate what an accurate data means to a study. It's 2010 today. We now know some elements of uncertainty mentioned in the study. The study was uncertain of technological advances in increasing the efficiency of pharmacy prescription processing. Just search Walgreen's Power.
I came on SDN to have a thorough discussion / debate of the many topics being discussed on SDN, but what happens more often than not is that the discussion degrades into a name-calling, your opinion doesn't count because you don't have this title, this experience, etc or the discussion goes off on some wild tangent completely unrelated to the original topic.
Your opinion of "all competition is good" was asinine. Competition is good for some as it's bad for others. If you own a thriving independent pharmacy in town only to have a 24 hour Wags open up down the street, will you still say "all competition is good?" I don't think so. I do understand "competition is inevitable and the strong will survive." It's not correct to say "all competition is good" in the face of pharmacist oversupply thread while interns and pharmacists are having difficult times looking for a job while you boasting about your "tenure" position. Who's being pompous ?
In this discussion alone, I have been called "innocent", ignorant of the pharmacy job market, etc. I will admit that I don't know enough about the job market or pharmacy in general, but I don't make comments without some semblance of evidence / data to backup these comments.
What's your data? The study you posted?
It seems that my status as a pre-pharm on this forum has relegated me to "less intelligent" status even though I already have a doctorate with over 10 years experience in the "real world".
I haven't called you a dummy yet. Also, your 10 year experience and a PhD in OChem is irrelevant to pharmacy job market discussion.
In my humble opinion, the job market has changed drastically in the past 5 to 6 years
No, past year.
if you went in to pharmacy thinking you would have the best pick of jobs, hours and location in addition to a nice signing bonus, then this job market is probably a big surprise.
I'm here to warn students and prepharms to be prepared.
To somebody who expects to struggle looking for a job (and has experience struggling to find a job) then this job market is probably no big surprise.
Finding a pharmacist job will be a struggle.