The reality is the programs that so many lawmakers (99% of whom AREN'T dentists and as such have NO idea of what it's actually like to, day in and day out, treat real people with dental disease as opposed to just hear about numbers that pertain to people who have dental disease) are designed to target a portion of the population, not just who don't either have the means to afford care (or often may choose not to make the choice to use the means they have for care but use it for other items), but often even if they have the means for care may for other reasons voluntarily choose NOT to seek care (i.e. the fearful patient, or the "i'm perfect and nothing is ever wrong with me patient
). For various reasons, this minority percentage of the population is the main focus of the non dentists who make our laws, since for some reason (altruism? naivete? genuine pure stupidity? whatever...) they think that just because they can pass legislation that this percentage of the population will all of the sudden "see the light" and gravitate to dental offices all around and the world as we know it will be all good
Meanwhile chances are they'll concurrently upset a good number of people who currently are seeking care - the classic case of the minority rules while the majority be damned!
The reality is, if the "defined dental benefit" (and that's essentially all the wording in Obamacare that pertains to dentistry) is implemented, you'll still see somewhere around 2/3rds of the population that will seek out dental care and about 1/3rd that won't. Countless millions of dollars will be spent to try get that 1/3rd of the population who won't seek care to do so, and the vast majority of that money won't be used on actual care (reguardless of the provider type administering care). If the "defined dental benefit" isn't something that those that had care prior to Obamacare being implemented want/like, a large majority of that population will once again seek out dental care like they were used to, reguardless if its they themselves, a third party insurance company or the government that is paying for it. My hunch is it won't be unlike when a major employer in a geographic area changes dental insurance plans and some dentists choose not to participate with that new plan provider - some patients leave that practice and never come back, but many will either leave for an 'in network" provider, not like that new provider and choose to come back and see you, or never leave your practice in the 1st place and choose to pay the difference.
Patients in general, if you treat them right as a person and provide good work to them, DON'T like change. And when faced with having to pay a bit more vs. making a change to a new, unfamiliar provider, more will choose to avoid the change and pay the extra "change" to see you. This is why Obamacare doesn't really worry me too much. This is why the profession of dentistry and its future doesn't scare me too much. In the 15 years since i've been out of school, the "miracle caries vaccine" was supposed to have been created atleast a half dozen times, dentistry has been the subject of countless numbers of "investigative TV reports", the economy has been down, then up, then down, etc, etc, etc. But the common denominator throughout all this is that actual fingers in the mouth, handpiece a spinning, calculus a scraping, canals a obturating, cement a mixing, etc clinical dentistry has been and will continue to be a solid and EVOLVING profession. Will I be practicing exactly as I do now in 10 years, probably not, but then again how I practice today isn't how I did 10 years ago, and that's one of my favorite things about the profession of dentistry, it's not a static thing, it's quite dynamic and unless you keep evolving as a clinician and also as an entrepreneur (since yes, inspite of what the president recently said YOU are far more responsible for creating your practice than another person or the government it) you'll find the the immense opportunity that this profession does and will continue to offer will more than likely bypass you