Back to basics WW again

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I don't think so because it's only who he's claiming to block. We do not know of they got any notification about it, KC didn't confirm it. He could have blocked anyone, and I doubt they'd waste a block on another wolf N1 because it wouldn't help them at all with no reason for the wolf to confirm it once the original wolf comes under fire.
(Reminder - @Zensing is a she

...incidentally this is actually making me feel like you're more village because if you had PMed a lot with Zen earlier on I think that this would have come up already. If it's intentional, then that'd be preeeetty sneak-sneak, and in that case, touché).

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I have a lot of village marks for 3m from early game - from what I recall she made a lot of points that I was thinking about but was typically too late in the conversation to bring up, but then saw she had brought them up for me (if that makes sense). Lately though I agree the play has definitely reduced in sheer number of posts as well as "usefulness" of posts. The push to plurality last night wasn't a great village move, but honestly if there weren't regular tally updates I could see myself accidentally doing the same thing. I'm not ready to lynch 3M for her play yet, though I will concede she's moving the other direction in my spreadsheet.
 
The me being blocked vs. not blocked thing keeps being brought up. I refused to confirm/deny earlier based on not wanting to give wolves information about what happened or didn't happen that night, but if the village wants me to talk about it I will for the sake of getting information out there. I do agree it's becoming more worrisome with the drastic number reduction we're at right now.
 
I had Finn leaning more towards village after... one day where she made a lot of interesting observations (recently... I think two day cycles ago?) but now I feel like we haven't heard anything from her in awhile.

Same goes to LIS. Has he posted at all in the past few days? (going to check now).
 
(Reminder - @Zensing is a she

...incidentally this is actually making me feel like you're more village because if you had PMed a lot with Zen earlier on I think that this would have come up already. If it's intentional, then that'd be preeeetty sneak-sneak, and in that case, touché).

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AAARRGGGHHH. I will get that one day I swear it!
 
JK Finn's been around. (per this post).

I've been unexpectedly busy. Which is not a defense as it would be the same regardless of my affiliation, just an explanation as to why I seemed to have disappeared.



Anyways... I'm on my phone so checking is a hassle right now but I thought we were pretty close to the lynch deadline when plurality was reached (unless I'm getting mixed up).

If I am not mixed up, the fact that 3m pushed the vote to plurality doesn't bother me nearly as much. Might not have been the smartest move, but doesn't scream wolf to me either.

I have not taken a close look at 3m though. My opinion might change in the context of her other play.
 
I've been unexpectedly busy. Which is not a defense as it would be the same regardless of my affiliation, just an explanation as to why I seemed to have disappeared.



Anyways... I'm on my phone so checking is a hassle right now but I thought we were pretty close to the lynch deadline when plurality was reached (unless I'm getting mixed up).

If I am not mixed up, the fact that 3m pushed the vote to plurality doesn't bother me nearly as much. Might not have been the smartest move, but doesn't scream wolf to me either.

I have not taken a close look at 3m though. My opinion might change in the context of her other play.

I thought we had a whole day left, am I wrong?
 
The me being blocked vs. not blocked thing keeps being brought up. I refused to confirm/deny earlier based on not wanting to give wolves information about what happened or didn't happen that night, but if the village wants me to talk about it I will for the sake of getting information out there. I do agree it's becoming more worrisome with the drastic number reduction we're at right now.
I think this is entirely up to you, and I understand the reasons for not wanting to comment either way. If you think we're at a point where benefits outweigh risks (and there is actually something to talk about) then sure, but otherwise, feel free to keep staying the course.

Sorry, did not actually mean to bring it up again in a way that put pressure on you to say something about it -- I was just more thinking out loud about the fact that it keeps getting used to clear you, and wondering why people were reading the whole thing as so solidly village when I could see cases where it could be used for opposite means. As I said afterwards, I was kinda thinking about it in the context of scenarios outside the scope of this game. (Note to self: one game at a time, pipsqueak, one game at a time )

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I'm cool with 3m, her(?) response was just blah. No defense really. I am also on board with a LIS lynch. What do people think?

So, I looked at LIS's votes this morning (just the final tallies, so admittedly may have missed something in the comments). I'm also on my phone, so it's hard to summarize them, but his vote for Zen on D3 stood out to me as being pretty villagery because it was so early in the list. I just don't know that a wolf would have jumped on the Zen train so quickly when Jil was still on the table, particularly if they had been trying to bus Jil. After that, though, his votes kind of get buried by sitting on targets where he's leading the vote, but isn't getting much momentum on the back side (Finn, Cyndia).

I'd like to go back & re-read his posts with a "find wolf" lens vs "confirm village" lens before moving him out of my villagery category.

Other marks against him in my book, though:
- I think it was WZ who said that during the last basics game, she had the remaining wolves as solid village. Not that I'm discrediting all of her reads because of that, but it made me go "hmm" about LIS in particular because I could see him being tricky enough to fool a lot of people, including WZ for a while. When trilt also brought that possibility up earlier in the game (I think she said something like "LIS is a skilled player, we shouldn't forget him"), I did like the rebuttal he gave, though, so points in his favor for that.
- The wolf kills have at times felt like they are coming from an experienced wolf. Certain experienced and arguably dangerous players like STL and DVMD were eliminated relatively early. Kills overall were well-timed enough to throw shade towards Abs (and towards WZ, actually, in my mind at least). They picked up on VERY subtle cues that exposed Lyra and Trilt as role-holders, and eliminated them immediately afterwards. Taking out Ski before WZ felt somehow similar in my mind to taking out SARS (or Dr. S) earlier than Trilt. Remaining players have all been tagged as suspicious by at least a few known villagers.

To me, all of that stacks up as pointing to having someone who knows what they're doing still in the driver's seat. It's actually why I was still vaguely suspicious of WZ even up through yesterday, despite all the Trilt stuff and the content-laden posts.

- He also made one or two comments that felt vaguely like role-fishing for my own role, which is why they stood out to me. One of them in particular straight up suggested I should take out one of 2 players (I think it was Nessie or AM, IIRC). Could have been a legit village-village call out to eliminate suspicious players, but could have also been an attempt to get me to pull the trigger on a target of wolf choosing. In that case, including AM in the choices would be a ballsy af move, but not one I could see as out of the realm of an experienced player, especially knowing AM was probably going down & I think was planning to take her shot that night. It would also be a possible role-exposure for me because I'm not sure wolves would know I had already tried to shoot Jil. I believe LIS liked a post where CDO had hypothesized that there was a 2-shot night vig partner to her day vig, so it makes me wonder if he had a hunch my role was still floating around.


...And on that note, yeah. Gonna go back & re-read. But tagging @LetItSnow in case he'd like to say anything for himself in the meantime.

*Phew* this was a long-ass post to type on mobile.

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Now if we did happen to have a night vig with shots still to take ..... taking whichever of Finn or AM isn't lynched would be a stellar move right about now.
Found it. Wasn't AM or Nessie, was AM or Finn. He had been pushing for Finn at that point, WZ and I had just voted for Nessy. I remember it also standing out to me at the time because he DIDN'T include Nessie in the bulcket of "hey vig, shoot one of these remainders", and I didn't (and still don't really) understand why she was omitted. Maybe he's clairvoyant and knew where the lynch was headed. Maybe he knew Nessie was village because he's a wolf and didn't want to be seen encouraging a villager kill (in which case I'd actually be looking at Finn as our other remaining wolf). Maybe I need to fashion myself a nice new tinfoil helmet. Sigh.

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The plurality vote was completely accidental and just after 8pm...I realized I hadn't voted yet and went to quickly cast a vote. I had no idea. It's really not like that late vote ending plurality made all that much difference anyway though. Lynching me won't get you anything except another non-wolf.
 
I'm cool with 3m, her(?) response was just blah. No defense really. I am also on board with a LIS lynch. What do people think?

You shouldn't be cool with lynching a villager with so few people left in the game.
 
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1. 3m - slightly wolfy feels; less so since I realized plurality was hit late not in the middle
2. Kcough - Neutral feels
3. coopah - Me
4. serher - Neutral slight villager lean
5. cyndia - Some village points still quiet
6. LIS - wolfy feels
7. finn - wolfy lean
8. pippy - Neutral

So basically I can't trust anybody :laugh:
 
Sorry. I've had to drop out for 48 hours or so.

Can we please lynch Cyndia?

lynch Cyndia

If Cyndia isn't a wolf, fine, then we can get on point with lynching finn, 3m, coopah, or even me, whatevs. Don't care.

I still think kcoughli is probably village, but she's much less strong village than I had her early. Weak village, at best. Fair confidence Pippy is village. The rest of you are all wolfy.
 
The plurality vote was completely accidental and just after 8pm...I realized I hadn't voted yet and went to quickly cast a vote. I had no idea. It's really not like that late vote ending plurality made all that much difference anyway though. Lynching me won't get you anything except another non-wolf.

I believe it was an accident on your part.. It was pretty close to lynch close anyways, and I also voted just a little bit before you and didn't realize how close we were to plurality either. I was also rushing because we had an uber outside waiting to pick us up for a dinner, and so I didn't get to think through my choice very well. Kind of irritated with myself over that, I should have checked in earlier.
 
I'm a vanillager. We're down so far in player numbers, you shouldn't be fine with me lynching me and having me turn out to not be a wolf.

Right. Got it. You say you're a vanillager, so you must be one.

My bad. I'll just lynch someone else until they tell me THEY'RE a vanillager and then move on to the next person.

Cool.

If you're truly a vanillager, I'm not "fine with lynching you" ... but I'm suspicious that you're lying.
 
I'm a vanillager. We're down so far in player numbers, you shouldn't be fine with me lynching me and having me turn out to not be a wolf.

Lol, I also just realized I basically requoted what 3m said a minute or two ago, I'm so sleep deprived I'm so easily impressionable right now.

Anyways, as of right now I have coopah leaning solidly villager based off her recent posts/analysis. I also believed Pippy's explaining her vig moves, so I have her leaning village as well.

I was looking at voting 3m, but her recent posts have me thinking more neutral. I'm also second guessing myself a little since I was so off on confusing.

The remaining people (kc, LIS, serher, finn) I need to reread to make a better assessment on because I haven't paid close attention to them recently. I had been thinking of kc as village leaning because I did kind of think the blocking claim was likely true. I haven't been paying attention to serher at all recently, and I had thought of LIS as neutral. Finn I had wolfy way before, but moved him more towards neutral and I can't remember why I did that.
 
Right. Got it. You say you're a vanillager, so you must be one.

My bad. I'll just lynch someone else until they tell me THEY'RE a vanillager and then move on to the next person.

Cool.

If you're truly a vanillager, I'm not "fine with lynching you" ... but I'm suspicious that you're lying.

No, I get that saying I'm vanillager isn't a reason not to lynch me. I'm just saying that the way you said that seemed really lackadaisical, like you don't really care if I turn out village or wolf. You also didn't give any reasoning, could you at least specify why you're choosing to lynch me?
 
No, I get that saying I'm vanillager isn't a reason not to lynch me. I'm just saying that the way you said that seemed really lackadaisical, like you don't really care if I turn out village or wolf. You also didn't give any reasoning, could you at least specify why you're choosing to lynch me?

Killing WZ was a pretty savvy move last night. WZ was one of the few people confident I'm a villager, so taking her out easily paves the way for me to get lynched. Seemed like a bit of a more veteran move to make. Obviously could have been either a savvy n00b or just a good lucky choice, but....

And then on top of it - we're at the point in the game where we can't manage quiet players like you because there's no way to gauge their villager status. I'm being kinda hypocritical on that because I basically missed the first couple days of the game, and then have been absent the last 48, but the difference between me and you is that I know I'm a villager. 🙂

And then on top of <that> you've basically been riding the "under the radar" status the entire game, which is sketchy (like usual).

So between those things, I think you need to be lynched.
 
Killing WZ was a pretty savvy move last night. WZ was one of the few people confident I'm a villager, so taking her out easily paves the way for me to get lynched. Seemed like a bit of a more veteran move to make. Obviously could have been either a savvy n00b or just a good lucky choice, but....

And then on top of it - we're at the point in the game where we can't manage quiet players like you because there's no way to gauge their villager status. I'm being kinda hypocritical on that because I basically missed the first couple days of the game, and then have been absent the last 48, but the difference between me and you is that I know I'm a villager. 🙂

And then on top of <that> you've basically been riding the "under the radar" status the entire game, which is sketchy (like usual).

So between those things, I think you need to be lynched.

Okay fair enough. Although I think taking out WZ was less likely aimed at paving the way to take you out, and rather because everyone knew that WZ was pretty obviously a villager.. especially after Ski was killed. I was pretty sure the reasoning behind Trilt liking posts was accurate and had WZ and ski leaning strongly villager, but after ski's death I had WZ at 100% villager.

Buuut that being said, Pippy's post above was a pretty good summary of why it seemed like a veteran was involved, and I kind of agree on those points. Hence why I was thinking I needed to rethink you and KC lol. But anyways.. I need to reread more and figure out where I want to lynch today, because I'm not really sure right now.
 
Okay fair enough. Although I think taking out WZ was less likely aimed at paving the way to take you out, and rather because everyone knew that WZ was pretty obviously a villager.. especially after Ski was killed.

Oh, I agree that I was a much lesser reason. I didn't mean to imply it was all to go after my worthless butt. It just was a good, savvy, late-game play.

Pippy's post was good, and is one of the reasons I have Pippy sitting village. That said, I had the chance in the last game to hear a little of Pippy's behind-the-scenes thinking, and Pippy is savvy for a newer player. Certainly not above posting something like that as a wolf. I still think she/he is village, but ...
 
Hmmm. Can't decide if I should let myself be swayed by (unfounded) flattery...

Pippy's post was good, and is one of the reasons I have Pippy sitting village. That said, I had the chance in the last game to hear a little of Pippy's behind-the-scenes thinking, and Pippy is savvy for a newer player. Certainly not above posting something like that as a wolf. I still think she/he is village, but ...

....Or just lynch you per your own advice:
And btw, I'm not being hypocritical. Had y'all lynched me on D1 when I wasn't even playing yet, sure, I would have been PO'd as a village player. But not because you lynched me when I was silent.

Never fall for that sucker move. I can't even count how many times I've gotten away with it. Don't let me or anyone get away with it again. 🙂
Decisions, decisions...

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Hmmm. Can't decide if I should let myself be swayed by (unfounded) flattery...



....Or just lynch you per your own advice:

Decisions, decisions...

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It's not flattery. I don't pocket people because I just don't have that suave approach that it requires. Me trying to pocket people is like a bull in a china shop.

But it warms my cold heart to see you paying attention.
 
(But Pippy, you should be more discerning. There's a difference between playing an entire game under the radar, and being absent for a bit .... then highly active for a while .... then absent for a bit ... etc. Those are different. And my in/out gameplay this game is really very typical for me.)
 
(The downside is that it's typical for me regardless of whether I'm town or scum. All I'm saying is: lynch me if you're suspicious - for sure you should chase suspicions - but if your reason is my in/out gameplay this game, that's a ****ty reason.)
 
Okay fair enough. Although I think taking out WZ was less likely aimed at paving the way to take you out, and rather because everyone knew that WZ was pretty obviously a villager.. especially after Ski was killed. I was pretty sure the reasoning behind Trilt liking posts was accurate and had WZ and ski leaning strongly villager, but after ski's death I had WZ at 100% villager.

I agree with this. I thought that WAITING to kill WZ was more of the mark of a veteran, because if it was a new wolf, I could see them wanting to eliminate the more vocal, more experienced player first to get them off the table. Going for Ski first (sorry ski, I feel like I'm throwing you under the bus unjustly) and then WZ afterwards seems more precisely calculated.

Buuut that being said, Pippy's post above was a pretty good summary of why it seemed like a veteran was involved, and I kind of agree on those points. Hence why I was thinking I needed to rethink you and KC lol. But anyways.. I need to reread more and figure out where I want to lynch today, because I'm not really sure right now.

I would appreciate it if -- after your reread -- you came back with some solid evidence for your vote in the form of posts, voting history, or both. I agree with whoever pointed out earlier that you've been saying a lot of "oh, I need to reread"...and then we get radio silence.

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Right now I'm most suspicious of LIS, finn, and KC...Pippy, Coopah, and Cyndia seem villager-y to me. Pretty neutral feeling about serher just cause I'm a bad judge with her haha
 
I say we lynch one (Cyndia or LIS) and if one flips village lynch the other. If one flips wolf, it's not necessary to lynch the other, but can be revisited.
 
I say we lynch one (Cyndia or LIS) and if one flips village lynch the other. If one flips wolf, it's not necessary to lynch the other, but can be revisited.

.... that would be pretty convenient if both Cyndia and I turn out to be villagers.

If the rest of you go this route - which I really don't have a huge objection to - might want to come back to Coopah if I'm wrong about Cyndia.
 
(The downside is that it's typical for me regardless of whether I'm town or scum. All I'm saying is: lynch me if you're suspicious - for sure you should chase suspicions - but if your reason is my in/out gameplay this game, that's a ****ty reason.)

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Trying to bring back the parentheses? I'm telling you it is <sideways triangles> that are best.
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Right now I'm most suspicious of LIS, finn, and KC...Pippy, Coopah, and Cyndia seem villager-y to me. Pretty neutral feeling about serher just cause I'm a bad judge with her haha

Why?

LIS and KC were two of the people I was feeling more comfortable with so I'm wondering why you feel the opposite.
I'm also pretty confident in Pippy being a villager.
You I was leaning toward villager but am questioning that since people seem to disagree with me and I have a poor track record in wolf hunting.

Everyone else seems basically unreadable to me. I've read over their posts several times and there just isn't anything swaying me either way.

That said, I have some catching up to do so perhaps my opinions will change as I take a more thorough read of some of the more recent posts that I only had time to skim through.
 
.... wolf.
Yeah, that's the Cyndia post that bothered me way back when it happened.

I went back & reread a LOT of stuff last night. Main takeaways:

- early game play reinforced villagery feelings about you (although, you were pushing hardest on STL, which would have also been easy to do as a wolf since clearly they wanted him dead fast)
- Cyndia, Coop & Finn have been getting all kinds of **** this whole game, from all directions. Could be wolfy, could be not wolfy, I'm not sure how to interpret all the busing.
- Coop's posts read very wolfy to me early-mid game, less so now. Votes have read slightly more village
- Serher's been flying under radar but had some villagery looking votes and pushed on some wolves pretty early
- I'm pretty sure (like 90% after reread) that KC is village, but I've just resigned myself to the fact that I'm probably always going to think she's a little wolfy, and vice versa.
- 3M is sketch city to me for virtually this whole game. I think there was only one or max 2 posts she made where I thought "that sounds more like village". The rest have been fluffier than an angora bunny on a cloud.

I could consider a Cyndia vote, but I also really kinda want to vote for 3M again.

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The plurality vote was completely accidental and just after 8pm...I realized I hadn't voted yet and went to quickly cast a vote. I had no idea. It's really not like that late vote ending plurality made all that much difference anyway though. Lynching me won't get you anything except another non-wolf.

You shouldn't be cool with lynching a villager with so few people left in the game.
The thing is, if we're at the point where it's critical not to be lynching villagers, then we're also at the point where slip-ups on things like plurality also matter.

And bandwagony, "just get a name in before close" votes, regardless of timing, are not what I would call helpful right now either. I take issue with these posts from you just as much as that one from Coop.


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One of the things that really makes me think Cyndia isn't a wolf is the fact that multiple wolves have tried to throw her under the bus (raf and AM, and was in Jil's neutral category if I'm remembering correctly). Coopah brought this up a couple days ago I think. While I realize being mentioned by multiple wolves as being sketchy doesn't preclude you from being a wolf, I would be very surprised if multiple wolves were openly sketched out by another wolf after so many had been "attacked" early in the game.
 
.... that would be pretty convenient if both Cyndia and I turn out to be villagers.

If the rest of you go this route - which I really don't have a huge objection to - might want to come back to Coopah if I'm wrong about Cyndia.

I could agree with that, as long as we check/lynch you too. <Did we just make a death pact?>
 
One of the things that really makes me think Cyndia isn't a wolf is the fact that multiple wolves have tried to throw her under the bus (raf and AM, and was in Jil's neutral category if I'm remembering correctly). Coopah brought this up a couple days ago I think. While I realize being mentioned by multiple wolves as being sketchy doesn't preclude you from being a wolf, I would be very surprised if multiple wolves were openly sketched out by another wolf after so many had been "attacked" early in the game.
This is also why I just haven't felt that wolfy about Cyndia. She, Coop, & Finn have all been dragged through the mud six ways to Sunday. If I'm going to exempt one of them for being under attack, I kinda feel like I need to keep it consistent.

For reference, people who have NOT been thrown under the bus by known wolves* :

- LIS
- Kcoughli (except for purported block)
- 3M
- you
- me (sort of, Jil put me on the watch list)



*this is off the top of my head after a long work day; I reserve the right to have forgotten some stuff

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I could agree with that, as long as we check/lynch you too. <Did we just make a death pact?>

Not really. I don't care who goes first.

But I'd <like> to go check out serher's point. If it's as strong as serher tries to make it sound, it might be convincing. I'm not at <all> compelled by jil putting cyndia in a 'neutral' category. That's meaningless, and it's not busing. But if multiple wolves really did bus cyndia early in the game I might be more convinced to change my vote.
 
.... wolf.

As I explained in a post after that, obviously the wolves aren't going to want any roles around (especially once that involves possibly being able to kill them). Even though the chance of that happening was super slim, killing a role villager over a vanillager is always going to be preferable.

And I get my wording was not very clear, but like I also said earlier, I typed it out quickly while I was at NAVC.
 
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