Coop - As I said earlier, I'm thinking likely village based off her recent analysis posts. Especially since she raised points in my favor - there's no reason for a wolf to do that since I'm an easy under the radar lynch target. Also since she was a lynch target early in the game. And she unlynched cdo after she revealed that she had a role, and was easily willing to follow STL's early push for jil before it had much momentum.
Well STL said she had a tell, and STL was EXTREMELY spot on last game with wolf spots. I like it. If she flips village then we need to re-examine.
However - after switching onto jil, she then switched back to cdo based off STL changing his mind. So that parts not great, but it was also a bit in self defense at that point since coop was tied or nearly tied for lynch at that point.
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Pippy - Also as stated earlier, I think her reveal made sense and her play hasn't set off any flags for me, so I also think likely village.
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Finn - Points in favor are that finn was brought up for lynch so many times. Negative point for wanting cdo to reveal, but may be less useful to consider since cdo had outed the fact she had a role and was pretty much dead meat, which finn acknowledged.
I'm probably below the required post count as of right now. My bad.
I've been mulling over some of these posts and I'm kind of inclined to agree with STL. Unless there's a risk that just isn't occurring to me, I don't see any further damage being done by outing what the role is. Would have been nice if she hadn't outed herself as having a role in the first place... but we're past that.
Wolfy point because kind of backed off raf and AM votes stating they always feel suspicious to them even when they're not.
In regards to AM, I kind of agree but... she always seem sketchy to me and I don't think I've ever actually been right about her.
Raf is another player that often seems sketch to me when she isn't. So I'm a bit hesitant about jumping on that lynch.
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LIS - I'm back and forth here since he's been intermittently quiet. Early in the game he went through and responded to posts/put up some analysis and questioning as he was catching up. So I'm thinking it's more just he's been busy... His early game analysis had zen in hard village, but I really like that he put AM and Jilary in possible wolf and raf in hard wolf. Some suspicions had been raised about raf at that point and a little on jil but hadn't taken a ton of momentum yet. And I don't think AM was super high as a target then, and he mentioned again that he was possibly interested in an AM lynch.
Here's my current breakdown. Like I think I said earlier, I go hard town, possible town, neutral, possible wolf, hard wolf. Hard does not equal definite. Just means suspicion is stronger. This early in the game, this list is highly inaccurate, usually, and someone hard town might be a wolf or the other way around. That's life. I might have all the wolves as hard village right now. *shrug*
People with an * has tallies in both wolf/village for me, but overall leaned to where they ended up.
Hard village:
Trilt
Skiotter*
Mmmdream
Kcoughli
Zensing
Snowshoe
Lyra
Likely village:
Pippy
DocS
Confusing
WZ
Neutral:
Nessie
Serher
DVMD*
SAR*
Ally*
Coopah*
STL**
Possible Wolf:
Finn
AM
Jilary
Hard Wolf:
Raf
Abners
Another vote (like AM) that I can get behind.
Lynch ends ... tomorrow? Right?
I work overnight tonight. I'm gonna leave my vote where it is and re-evaluate tomorrow. Might switch to AM or raf.
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kc - Was against lynching cdo in the beginning after she revealed. Also voiced suspicions of raf and AM after both had been initially raised, but before much momentum had been gained on AM.
Having a crappy day. Tried to catch up quick, what I've got for today is:
1) LIS returned in a blaze of glory/posts on ancient history
2) AM is sketchy (to me, she's always sketchy and this feels like her usual play)
3) raf is sketchy d/t lack of insight (hard for me to analyze this one, I feel like I haven't played much with her but I might just have a terrible memory)
4) STL is sketchy for last nights vote - totally agree, did not understand the logic of testing a potential power role with a lynch when theoretically they could have been checked out last night
5) Abnerrs is always sketchy (sure, why not?)
6) Finn knows nothing and typed a typo.
When does this cycle end? Tomorrow morning or evening?
I'm going to go with my gut from yesterday and
Lynch STL
Also Coop's switch to cdo made sense if it was a self-preservation vote. No idea who was jailed yesterday (if it went through before the kill), but since it's a basic game they may not have even been informed (if they weren't doing anything that would have been blocked).
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Serher - Said something about how cdo shouldn't reveal.. which I'd like to give a villager point to, however also may be pointless since cdo had already given up the fact she had an ability, so her fate was pretty much sealed.
Also, I guess I don't really see how cdo revealing her role benefits the village. I will trust the judgement of those that have played way more than me, but I would lean toward being more cautious honestly
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3m - Went after raf for being suspicious early on.
I agree with this assessment...especially since plurality doesn't start until the next lynch...maybe she missed it that but also seems suspicious-ish
Lynch raf
Also stated in favor of cdo that revealing the presence of a role is enough of a defense. Again also may be useless.
This early in the game, I feel like anyone saying they have a role should be enough...doesn't mean we can't/won't come back to said individual later...
Like finn, also slightly backed off AM stating she always seems sketch to her, but that was not really much of a point the way it was brought up. Finns seemed a little more decisive, whereas 3m just stated she sort of always found her sketch.
For what it is worth AM has come off as sketch in every game I've played with her lol.
