Hey - I think I sort of agree somewhat with everyone who just posted.
noami - i'm sorry, i should have just exercised better judgment and not gone ahead an posted that part. i'm sure you're fine. although he did tell me that... like thewebthsp said, he probably can't actually rescind an offer after he's promised it. if it's not legally binding, it's morally binding. and, unless he has no soul, i think the worst he'd do would ask if you would be willing to defer. who really knows. congrats anyway!
everyone else - i tend to agree with whoever said that his response types all seem to be relative to each other. The worse your chances, the more hopeless his response. So, I believe that CalbeE's and all the others' 50/50 estimates indicate they are in better positions than those like me who got the "exceedingly small" comment. But, I can't see why he would lie to me about the class being overbooked as of today. That would be useless information. All he would have to say was that my chances didn't look good. I would think he would know better than to make a bogus statement about something that important. I agree that his purpose in telling me that was to solidify the fact that my chances are close to nil in my mind. In any case, I think some of you guys still have a chance. Maybe, based on what he said, it will just take a while. I'll probably send in another letter just in case a miracle happens, but I think he was pretty clear in his message to me.
Best of luck!