Countdown 2.5: Quarter Century Crisis (TOWN WIN)

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I feel like there’s been a lot of resistance to a Mrs lynch which leans me more towards Mrs being wolf and cubs being 3P
 
BigCats said:
I mean it’s a 50/50 shot of being wolf or 3P so given that I have no clue, I really have no clue
What do you think?
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I've already said what I think. Given the vote you've put down today, you should have a stance.
 
Given how SAR capped the kc vote D1 when Mrs was a counterwagon, wouldn’t be surprised if both are wolves
 
BigCats said:
😵 Lawp was on her both days and flipped town so I didn’t include him for obvious reasons, plus Dina/Mel voted her D1. But go off I guess
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I'm aware. It was the fact that Mel is a weaker village read than the people who've never touched MDD (including Pippy who's pushed both Lawpy and Mel).
 
Animal Midwife said:
I'm aware. It was the fact that Mel is a weaker village read than the people who've never touched MDD (including Pippy who's pushed both Lawpy and Mel).
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I have less to go off of for him specifically but I was fine with Dina and am extrapolating that to Mel.
 
Barkley13 said:
Can you give me examples of this resistance versus people just not being interested in her lynch
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Kc lynch, SAR locked it in when there were a bunch of 2-vote wagons, which would make it proportionately harder to lynch Mrs, which would explain Mrs’s overconfidence that no one would hammer her vote
 
BigCats said:
Kc lynch, SAR locked it in when there were a bunch of 2-vote wagons, which would make it proportionately harder to lynch Mrs, which would explain Mrs’s overconfidence that no one would hammer her vote
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Literally kc could have self-prezzed and shifted the lynch but okay.
 
BigCats said:
I mean you’re right but also how is this helpful now
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It's clarifying on said resistance that may not be as stiff as you're describing. Looks to me like lack of self-prez condemned kc more than any MDD protection efforts.
 
Animal Midwife said:
It's clarifying on said resistance that may not be as stiff as you're describing. Looks to me like lack of self-prez condemned kc more than any MDD protection efforts.
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No need for loud obvious protection efforts when the opposing party isn’t present lol but sure
 
Kc said she would still be checking in when we got into a tiff about her being around to adjust her read of me based on her pressure vote, so I at least wasn't expecting her to be gone for the rest of the lynch, so I don't think wolves would have been relying on that either.

I'm not strongly opposed to a Mrs lynch I guess, but honestly... to me *that* looks like low hanging fruit right now. I'm not getting the vibes I got in her previous non-village outings.
 
I targeted AM last night so take her & Dubz out of the running for PGO

I should probably do some math about how many villagers are dead and what the % is of non-village remaining

Also, parity seer should maybe speak up soon if they're not already dead.
 
SportPonies said:
V:V dubz:SAR tend to have good reads on each other. So knowing that SAR was scum means that I can’t trust her read on Dubz, and I also never feel confident of my own read on dubz. So I’m back to squinting at her.
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So you think SAR's a wolf then?
 
PippyPony said:
I targeted AM last night so take her & Dubz out of the running for PGO

I should probably do some math about how many villagers are dead and what the % is of non-village remaining

Also, parity seer should maybe speak up soon if they're not already dead.
Click to expand...
I double-checked you on WZ last night and can confirm I also did not die

Think we’re at 7:4, survivor is probably still in play since I doubt that all 5 town deaths were PRs which means 3 anti-village folks left
 
Okay well I’m going to

lynch BC

because that’s where my strongest feels are and just hope that work isn’t crazy like yesterday and that I’ll be able to check in
 
BigCats said:
I double-checked you on WZ last night and can confirm I also did not die

Think we’re at 7:4, survivor is probably still in play since I doubt that all 5 town deaths were PRs which means 3 anti-village folks left
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What does the bolded mean?
 
Animal Midwife said:
What does the bolded mean?
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Survivor is probably still alive since we didn’t have any town PR reveals after either non-town person died and I think it’s pretty darn unlikely that every single villager who died was a PR, so that means there’s only three anti-village people (combo of wolves +/- serial killer +/- cultist) to funnel out which is good
 
Barkley13 said:
Okay well I’m going to

lynch BC

because that’s where my strongest feels are and just hope that work isn’t crazy like yesterday and that I’ll be able to check in
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Could you explain your BC feelings when you get the chance? I'm not really tracking why she's your strongest read.
 
So I re-read the first couple pages and I think Cubs was probably a wolf, not 3P. The "you're not village but I didn't say you're a wolf" accusations aimed at AM and the strong village statement for Alissa reads as coming from a wolf, not as someone who is an isolated faction.

And I think SAR may have been 3P. Maybe. Not sure on that.
 
I feel like Dubz is villaging hard (vs 3P hunting), and so out of everyone who is in my general village siding camp, she is the most likely to be 3P I think.

Kinda weird to go after KC for omitting the serial killer bit, and she was a little babbley (babbly?) after KC said it was basically the same as lone wolf

I agree with questioning Barks, did not love this quote from BarkBark:
Barkley13 said:
I feel okay about AM and KC both right now
Not a fan of the cubs votes
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(Dubz posts re: the SK just because I had pulled them while reading & don't feel like deleting)
WildZoo said:
Noting here that kc didn't ask if I was a serial killer
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WildZoo said:
I mean if you say so, it wasn't really described that way here and a 3 shot serial killer isn't the same as a lone wolf, at least not any lone wolf I've seen. And no, I don't need to recheck, just wondering if you didn't ask because you already know who the serial killer is.
Click to expand...
 
@Animal Midwife if you were so convinced Cubs was a wolf, why are you now interested in going after people who haven't voted for Mrs Dr Dr, who was on his lynch?

Asking because I'm confused, not because I'm trying to accuse you of something
 
PippyPony said:
@Animal Midwife if you were so convinced Cubs was a wolf, why are you now interested in going after people who haven't voted for Mrs Dr Dr, who was on his lynch?

Asking because I'm confused, not because I'm trying to accuse you of something
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Well, because MsP is slipping through the cracks again.
 
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