Flying a bunch today. Want to get a vote in early. Figure the threadfall data is a good place to start. Word vomit incoming.
Fort's injury (BBC) may be from Gwen withdrawing N1 tithe. Telgar/Southern didn't have any injuries. Tillek had three, explained by the missing tithes N1 and N4 and the shutters blocking the tithe N2.
Ruatha had two injuries--one from a missed night, the other unaccounted for. I'm assuming one of Promo, STB, or RM withdrew. (I know the injuries=missed tithes theory isn't confirmed, but it has fit the numbers so I'm running with it.) I know villagers can withdraw tithes, but it seems more likely to be wolfy.
Promo- I'm comfortable marking Promo as village at least up until this morning. Sounds like he tried to rez a seer last night via Sandy's tithe--he'd alluded to it on thread, the write-up when night was cancelled said someone was trying to rez, and he was obviously upset about the cancellation and loss of the last chance we knew of to use the ability.
STB- She's been low on my list. But she's absolutely a strong player and the kind who would be very good at seeming village if a wolf. The attempt to steal her ability N1 failed, I'm wondering why. I don't believe she was protected, since I'm guessing MQ was protecting Guis N1. We know she wasn't tithing. Is there something intrinsic about her role that would prevent ability stealing? Makes me kind of twitchy. Overall though, I can't find much of anything suspicious in her post history and if she's village, I'd hate to lose her.
RM- He threw out a vote for Gwen in the lynch cycle before last, while most of us were focused on Hmoo. And he was bopped and blocked on a double kill night. But yesterday, he waited until Gwen's coffin was virtually underground before adding his lynch vote, and then switched to PBC ---immediately after STB said she didn't necessarily want to vote Gwen but didn't see the bandwagon going anywhere in the last 12 minutes. Part of me wonders if it might have been an attempt to pave the way for a last minute mass switch off of Gwen. The rest of me thinks a wolf would have called the game on Gwen at that point, and wouldn't want to risk voting elsewhere.
Lynch RM --not 100% sold on it, but it's the best guess I can get from the injury info.