Was in a similar spot a few years back, just started M2. Feel free to DM if you need some guidance.
Overall recommendation is to get as many GPA subcategories over 3.0 as you can. Just seeing a 2 in front of your gpa is gonna torpedo your chances at most places despite a great app otherwise ("holistic review" should have an asterisk next to it).
Sub-3 gpa anywhere is super tough (but possible) to overcome at MD schools. If you live in a good state (or just get hella lucky with private schools), you might have a super low chance (can't give you a number but...low). DO schools are comparatively lower stats, but that doesn't mean there won't be a bunch of 4.0s in your class. So either way, sub-3 is a big ask these days (since ~2008 by my estimations).
If you did an SMP, did you apply to that school? Any luck? Are you at risk of your mcat expiring?