HoWWrses: Game Thread

Discussion in 'Pre-Veterinary' started by SportPonies, Feb 10, 2019.

  1. CoffeeQuestionMark

    CoffeeQuestionMark WSU c/o 2023

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    Lynch SAR

    If we don't get to PM with each other, historically as it goes...
     
  2. StayingPositive2017

    StayingPositive2017 Michigan State CVM c/o 2022

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    ***************************************************************
    [​IMG]

    ***************************************************************
     
  3. WildZoo

    WildZoo Illegal in all 50, Unlynchable Wolf
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    Wah I am now a gross number and MJ is no longer next to me, how am I supposed to ask him if he's a wolf now? :unsure:
     
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  4. WildZoo

    WildZoo Illegal in all 50, Unlynchable Wolf
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    Saddle Club!!! :heckyeah:
     
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  5. WildZoo

    WildZoo Illegal in all 50, Unlynchable Wolf
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    But I want to complain about losing one of my preferred PM partners :p
     
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  6. WildZoo

    WildZoo Illegal in all 50, Unlynchable Wolf
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    Barks voted dina, you've got it backwards cap'n

    Also

    lynch Dina
    For not killing me before LyLo
     
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  7. PippyPony

    PippyPony not a wolf
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    ~~~~~
    This is what I get for tallying during hematology lab

    On the plus side, blood continues to be wicked cool
    IMG_20190211_091108.jpg
    ~~~~~~
     
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  8. sheltermed

    5+ Year Member

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    ####lynch coffee####

    Forever untrustworthy in my experience
     
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  9. Animal Midwife

    Animal Midwife perpetually confused
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    Unofficial Day 1 Aaaand they're off! Lynch Tally

    Lupin (1) - genny
    Mel (2) - Cray, Karabeans
    Kara (1) - Snowy
    Weim (1) - AM
    Cray (1) - zigjazz
    Capri (1) - skim
    Dina (2) - Barks, WZ
    SAR (1) - Coffee?
    Coffee? (1) - shelter

    11/29 voting

    Lynch close at 9pm CST

    [​IMG]
     
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  10. killerleaf

    killerleaf beware, beyond there be dragons
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    ##lynch ziggyzaggy###

    this will be the third time playing with them, so I figure the odds are that they are a wolf this time.
     
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  11. Lupin21

    Lupin21 Do Not Disturb
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    An NPC!! Oh boy!! NPC, I desire fun and adventure. Can you give me a quest?
     
  12. Animal Midwife

    Animal Midwife perpetually confused
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    I just want to clarify that odds reset whenever a new game starts. She has a 3.45% chance of being a wolf this time.
     
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  13. Lupin21

    Lupin21 Do Not Disturb
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    Always cracks me up when folks say "surely this time they be woof!"
     
  14. killerleaf

    killerleaf beware, beyond there be dragons
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    ok, so I thought that sounded better than "threw a dart and her number was hit"
     
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  15. Lupin21

    Lupin21 Do Not Disturb
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    Why would you need to force a reason? Either you believe your reasoning or you don't. If you don't, I think I need to put a wolf mark by your name.
     
  16. ziggyandjazzy

    ziggyandjazzy Oregon State c/o 2022

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    Hmmm... based on your logic you could be a wolf also because I've never played a game where you were OG
     
  17. Animal Midwife

    Animal Midwife perpetually confused
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    Sure.
     
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  18. ziggyandjazzy

    ziggyandjazzy Oregon State c/o 2022

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    Whoops I meant this to respond to killer now you. On my phone and Idk how to change it
     
  19. ziggyandjazzy

    ziggyandjazzy Oregon State c/o 2022

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    Oh lord sure is one of my least favorite words
     
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  20. Animal Midwife

    Animal Midwife perpetually confused
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    I like absolutes.
     
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  21. Lupin21

    Lupin21 Do Not Disturb
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    [​IMG]

    ?
     
  22. ziggyandjazzy

    ziggyandjazzy Oregon State c/o 2022

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    But I don't agree with your stats. Everyone has a higher than 3.45% of being a wolf provided there is more than one wolf which I feel is a safe assumption
     
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  23. Animal Midwife

    Animal Midwife perpetually confused
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    My stats are 100% accurate.
     
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  24. ziggyandjazzy

    ziggyandjazzy Oregon State c/o 2022

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    Nah
     
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  25. killerleaf

    killerleaf beware, beyond there be dragons
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    ziggy---D1 sucks. There is usually zero anything to base a vote on. However, I have been fussed at numerous times for putting up a vote, but not have a reason attached. I have been fussed at for saying "I rng'd". so tried to come up with something other than that to use as a reason. that is all. and all the statistics make my head explode.
     
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  26. Animal Midwife

    Animal Midwife perpetually confused
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    Prove it.
     
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  27. ziggyandjazzy

    ziggyandjazzy Oregon State c/o 2022

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    I'm not holding it against you. They've done the same to me lol
     
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  28. WildZoo

    WildZoo Illegal in all 50, Unlynchable Wolf
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    Are we starting a game with math again
     
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  29. Animal Midwife

    Animal Midwife perpetually confused
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    Ye
     
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  30. sheltermed

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    Ziggy always kind of sucks. I don't know if AM's actual numbers are correct but if roles are handed out based on RNG, the stats are always just that... Random.
     
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  31. vetmedhead

    vetmedhead I hope my heart goes first!
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    Lynch am

    For making me think about statistics this early in the morning
     
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  32. sheltermed

    5+ Year Member

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    Lmao. I thought killer said "d1--ziggy sucks" dyslexia at its finest. I guess my true feelings are out
     
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  33. Animal Midwife

    Animal Midwife perpetually confused
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    You say this, yet you liked my posts about them. You can't deny your true feelings meats...
     
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  34. vetmedhead

    vetmedhead I hope my heart goes first!
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    You caught me, I am a huge statistics nerd.

    But I hate having to crunch those numbers every time I have data because data never want to be easy for me. :cryi: Maybe I should lynch data instead? :thinking:
     
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  35. CoffeeQuestionMark

    CoffeeQuestionMark WSU c/o 2023

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    I agree; AM, your math is terrible.
    The chance of her being a wolf is equivalent to whatever ratio of wolves is at play. Which, in general is 20-25% wolves and for every game where this is true this is the chance of being a wolf.
     
  36. muttmanager

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    Ugh - Can we not start with bad math again? Attach48957_20190211_104038.gif
     
  37. Animal Midwife

    Animal Midwife perpetually confused
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    So everyone has a minimum 20% chance of being a wolf equaling a grand total of 580%?
     
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  38. Animal Midwife

    Animal Midwife perpetually confused
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    What would you like to talk about instead?
     
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  39. killerleaf

    killerleaf beware, beyond there be dragons
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    ###unlynch ziggyzaggy###
    ###lynch statistics###
     
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  40. PippyPony

    PippyPony not a wolf
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    Day 1 Aaaand they're off! Lynch Tally

    Lupin (1) - genny
    Mel (2) - Cray, Karabeans
    Kara (1) - Snowy
    Weim (1) - AM
    Cray (1) - zigjazz
    Capri (1) - skim
    Dina (2) - Barks, WZ
    SAR (1) - Coffee?
    Coffee? (1) - shelter
    Zigjazz () -
    AM (1) - Meats
    statistics (1) - killer

    12/29 voting

    Lynch close at 9pm CST (11 hrs remaining)

    [​IMG]
     
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  41. CoffeeQuestionMark

    CoffeeQuestionMark WSU c/o 2023

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    That's not how this works. That's not how any of this works.
     
  42. SARdoghandler

    SARdoghandler something something legend
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    Dnag all my grudge/easy shiggles votes are already taken. I didn't want to have to use my brain after that hour and a half commute I just executed to be late for class
     
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  43. Animal Midwife

    Animal Midwife perpetually confused
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    Which is why the number is at 3.45%. Doesn't work with anything higher at this point.
     
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  44. SARdoghandler

    SARdoghandler something something legend
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    Apparently my fingers are still frozen from the -35 too lol
     
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  45. CoffeeQuestionMark

    CoffeeQuestionMark WSU c/o 2023

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    No, if it was at 3.45%, using your method... that makes 96.55% chance of being a villager... wanna multiply that by 29 too??? Then also everyone would be a villager.
     
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  46. CoffeeQuestionMark

    CoffeeQuestionMark WSU c/o 2023

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    If assuming ~~4-6/29 are wolves. You have a 23-25/29 odds of being a villager and 4-6/29 of being a wolf.
     
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  47. WildZoo

    WildZoo Illegal in all 50, Unlynchable Wolf
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    Can we like
    Stop this
    Please
     
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  48. Animal Midwife

    Animal Midwife perpetually confused
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    There is a 96.55% chance of someone being a villager. And that's exactly why serious RNG voting is bad long-term. Other things have to be manually factored in to increase accuracy.
     
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  49. Animal Midwife

    Animal Midwife perpetually confused
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    but it's funny
     
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  50. WildZoo

    WildZoo Illegal in all 50, Unlynchable Wolf
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    There's a 100% chance I will vote for the next person to post about statistics
     
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