HoWWrses: Game Thread

[Animal Midwife]

If assuming ~~4-6/29 are wolves. You have a 23-25/29 odds of being a villager and 4-6/29 of being a wolf.

Exactly. But one player cannot be more than one wolf.

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[CoffeeQuestionMark]

There is a 96.55% chance of someone being a villager. And that's exactly why serious RNG voting is bad long-term. Other things have to be manually factored in to increase accuracy.

NO.

THIS IS NOT CORRECT.

 

[Animal Midwife]

NO.

THIS IS NOT CORRECT.

BUT IT IS.

 

[SARdoghandler]

There's a 100% chance I will vote for the next person to post about statistics

I am in favour of this it hurts my brain

 

[CoffeeQuestionMark]

Exactly. But one player cannot be more than one wolf.

If I have a pile of 12 m&ms, 3 are blue and 9 are red, what's the chance that I will draw a blue M&M?

 

[Animal Midwife]

If I have a pile of 12 m&ms, 3 are blue and 9 are red, what's the chance that I will draw a blue M&M?

If you trying to grab a specific blue M&M, and not just any random one, there's a 8.33% chance.

 

[muttmanager]

What would you like to talk about instead?

Um, Horses ?

 

[Animal Midwife]

Um, Horses ?

Lead the way.

 

[CoffeeQuestionMark]

If you trying to grab a specific blue M&M, and not just any random one, there's a 8.33% chance.

Ok but what if I say "AM, I have 12 M&Ms. 3 are blue and 9 are red. This one is named Bob (I don't show you). What chance is there that he is blue?"

 

[Animal Midwife]

Ok but what if I say "AM, I have 12 M&Ms. 3 are blue and 9 are red. This one is named Bob (I don't show you). What chance is there that he is blue?"

50%.

 

[WildZoo]

unlynch barks lynch AM

:troll:

 

[CoffeeQuestionMark]

Lead the way.

You're so punny.

 

[WildZoo]

unlynch barks lynch AM

:troll:

whoops, meant unlynch dina lynch AM

 

[Lupin21]

whoops, meant unlynch dina lynch AM

why was barks on your mind?

 

[WildZoo]

why was barks on your mind?

Because of the earlier tally mixup lol

 

[muttmanager]

Lead the way.

Im a humble city girl - I’m here to learn horse things

 

[Skimble]

Are we starting a game with math again

Please no, not again.

Ziggy always kind of sucks.

Wow... that's pretty harsh!

 

[SARdoghandler]

Wow... that's pretty harsh!

Didn't catch that on my first read, only my spreadsheet setting up read but I agree this was... not cool

 

[Lupin21]

lynch killerleaf

for the time being.

 

[CoffeeQuestionMark]

I for one think ziggy is very insightful and I enjoy playing with her

 

[Animal Midwife]

Unofficial Day 1 Aaaand they're off! Lynch Tally

Lupin (1) - genny
Mel (2) - Cray, Karabeans
Kara (1) - Snowy
Weim (1) - AM
Cray (1) - zigjazz
Capri (1) - skim
Dina (1) - Barks
SAR (1) - Coffee?
Coffee? (1) - shelter
Zigjazz () -
AM (2) - Meats, WZ
statistics (1) - killer
killer (1) - Lupin

13/29 voting

Lynch close at 9pm CST (10 hrs remaining)

 

[sheltermed]

Didn't catch that on my first read, only my spreadsheet setting up read but I agree this was... not cool

Agreed. Sorry friends, namely ziggy, I was not at all serious but it was not okay to say in any case. I'm sorry!

 

[capri1722]

I, for one, welcome our new statistical overlords.
...
But also
Lynch AM
We already established last game that wolves are bad at math. (And that's all I'll say about that so yw dubz and skim and others)

 

[Animal Midwife]

I, for one, welcome our new statistical overlords.
...
But also
Lynch AM
We already established last game that wolves are bad at math. (And that's all I'll say about that so yw dubz and skim and others)

Remember when you lynched me last game because you thought your math was accurate?

 

[muttmanager]

I, for one, welcome our new statistical overlords.
...
But also
Lynch AM
We already established last game that wolves are bad at math. (And that's all I'll say about that so yw dubz and skim and others)

I don’t think that’s what we established.

 

[ziggyandjazzy]

Unlynch cray
Lynch shelter

because I am petty (lol no ill will hopefully...)

 

[Melchizedek]

Exactly. But one player cannot be more than one wolf.

Not with that attitude you can't!

 

[CoffeeQuestionMark]

Not with that attitude you can't!

I seem to recall cubs being assigned the role of the entire wolf pack

 

[dolphin106258]

Lynch Ziggy

Bc I so wanted to at times last game but I knew you were village so I could not. But now I don’t know. So here we are lol.

 

[Melchizedek]

DO NOT, UNDER ANY CIRCUMSTANCES, DELETE POSTS.​

I feel personally attacked.

I seem to recall cubs being assigned the role of the entire wolf pack

You wanna make Dina do all our dirty work again?

Lynch Paws

Kinda want to see if there's any hidden mechanics that'll trigger if someone votes the NPC

 

[cubsrule4e]

Ok sooooo... doing cataract surgery this morning and as I’m breaking them up I’m seeing the fragments turn into horse shapes like you would see when you’re staring at the clouds. I think I’ve developed a problem!

 

[Skimble]

Lynch Paws

Kinda want to see if there's any hidden mechanics that'll trigger if someone votes the NPC

I’d be lying if I said this thought hadn’t crossed my mind.

 

[Barkley13]

I seem to recall cubs being assigned the role of the entire wolf pack

Why aren’t we voting cubs then?? Wow this game is easy

 

[Dinashadow]

Lynch Zigzag

Because she's my WW rival.

 

[genny]

I expected to be entertained as I read this over my lunch hour, but instead it’s just a nerdy math fight. Ugh.

###unlunch lupin###
###lynch capri###

 

[Dinashadow]

Why aren’t we voting cubs then?? Wow this game is easy

Maybe we should let Cubs play a little bit

 

[Barkley13]

Maybe we should let Cubs play a little bit

I don’t actually want to lynch him

 

[PippyPony]

Day 1 Aaaand they're off! Lynch Tally

Lupin () -
Mel (2) - Cray, Karabeans
Kara (1) - Snowy
Weim (1) - AM
Cray () -
Capri (2) - skim, genny
Dina (1) - Barks
SAR (1) - Coffee?
Coffee? (1) - shelter
Zigjazz (2) - dolphin, dina
AM (3) - Meats, WZ, capri
statistics (1) - killer
killer (1) - Lupin
Shelter (1) - ziggy
Paws (1) - Mel

16/29 voting

Lynch close at 9pm CST (7 hrs remaining)

 

[SARdoghandler]

lynch killer

 

[cubsrule4e]

***************************************************************

***************************************************************

 

[bryndiana.jones]

lynch coffee

I don't like all this math chit chat

 

[Karabiner13]

@Melchizedek will you stick with your npc vote?

@capri1722 I told you in whatever chat last game that not all wolves are terrible at math. Who would you vote for if not am?

@SARdoghandler why killer

for now I'm fine with zigzag and understand why she didn't open the pm

 

[SARdoghandler]

@SARdoghandler why killer

Not enjoying her sitting on a joke vote for statistics for so long

 

[Karabiner13]

Not enjoying her sitting on a joke vote for statistics for so long

what do you think of mel's vote?

 

[Melchizedek]

@Melchizedek will you stick with your npc vote?

is this a serious question?

 

[SARdoghandler]

what do you think of mel's vote?

At least it was for a legit player, npc or not, and for stated reasons

But I also wear Rose-tinted-Mel glasses (RosyMelVision™)

 

[bryndiana.jones]

ok, so I thought that sounded better than "threw a dart and her number was hit"

I don't like this very much. It's D1 and you're trying to hide your rng vote with a stats vote? Rng votes aren't the best, but at the beginning of D1 I don't think people will be side-eyeing you unless you hold that vote to close and there were other things to go off of for voting later in the day.

##lynch ziggyzaggy###

this will be the third time playing with them, so I figure the odds are that they are a wolf this time.

 

[Karabiner13]

is this a serious question?

Am I ever not serious?

 

[Gwenevre]

lynch zigjazz

 

[Animal Midwife]

lynch zigjazz

Why?