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HoWWrses: Game Thread
Started by SportPonies
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WildZoo
Noble Dubz Dictator, Unyeetable Phasing Wolf
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Wah I am now a gross number and MJ is no longer next to me, how am I supposed to ask him if he's a wolf now? 🤔
WildZoo
Noble Dubz Dictator, Unyeetable Phasing Wolf
Administrator
Volunteer Staff
Lifetime Donor
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Hello world this is me
Life should be mmm mmm yeah, fun for everyone
Hello world come and see
Life should be fun for everyone
Life is easy if you wear a smile.... so why don't we all be friends? Any horseperson knows that the best friendships are built at the barn... right along the biggest rivalries. Horse people either have your back to the ends of the earth, or they're the most cutthroat humans known to mankind. Better check your girths one more time before galloping off into the sunset.... your best friend may turn on you at any moment for the glory of that blue satin ribbon.
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Rules:
1. You may PM with the person above and below you on the roster. If you are the last person on the roster, you may pm with the first person on the roster. Please include the mods (or at least Sporty) in your PMs.
2. No screenshots.
3. Don't edit lynch votes. It is okay to edit regular posts. DO NOT, UNDER ANY CIRCUMSTANCES, DELETE POSTS.
4. Early actions and contingency actions are much appreciated. PLEASE get your night actions in early if at all possible. This is a large game and we need all the help we can get.
5. Dead must post in **** stars ****
6. Lynch closes at 9 PM CST. Night closes at 6 AM CST regardless of if mods are available.
Your fearless herd leaders are @PippyPony and @SportPonies
First lynch close at 9 PM CST tomorrow (Monday) night. Get lynching!
Saddle Club!!!
WildZoo
Noble Dubz Dictator, Unyeetable Phasing Wolf
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Lifetime Donor
10+ Year Member
But I want to complain about losing one of my preferred PM partners 😛Okay but seriously, please drop the conversation about the roster switch. Ski was not intentionally moved from her preferred number, everyone moved means nothing. Carry on.
WildZoo
Noble Dubz Dictator, Unyeetable Phasing Wolf
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Barks voted dina, you've got it backwards cap'nDay 1 Aaaand they're off! Lynch Tally
Lupin (1) - genny
Mel (2) - Cray, Karabeans
Kara (1) - Snowy
Weim (1) - AM
Cray (1) - zigjazz
Capri (1) - skim
Barks (1) - Dina
8/29 voting
@Melchizedek you're the very early leader!
Lynch close at 9pm CST
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Also
lynch Dina
For not killing me before LyLo
~~~~~Barks voted dina, you've got it backwards cap'n
This is what I get for tallying during hematology lab
On the plus side, blood continues to be wicked cool
####lynch coffee####
Forever untrustworthy in my experience
Forever untrustworthy in my experience
Unofficial Day 1 Aaaand they're off! Lynch Tally
Lupin (1) - genny
Mel (2) - Cray, Karabeans
Kara (1) - Snowy
Weim (1) - AM
Cray (1) - zigjazz
Capri (1) - skim
Dina (2) - Barks, WZ
SAR (1) - Coffee?
Coffee? (1) - shelter
11/29 voting
Lynch close at 9pm CST
Lupin (1) - genny
Mel (2) - Cray, Karabeans
Kara (1) - Snowy
Weim (1) - AM
Cray (1) - zigjazz
Capri (1) - skim
Dina (2) - Barks, WZ
SAR (1) - Coffee?
Coffee? (1) - shelter
11/29 voting
Lynch close at 9pm CST
##lynch ziggyzaggy###
this will be the third time playing with them, so I figure the odds are that they are a wolf this time.
this will be the third time playing with them, so I figure the odds are that they are a wolf this time.
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An NPC!! Oh boy!! NPC, I desire fun and adventure. Can you give me a quest?
##lynch ziggyzaggy###
this will be the third time playing with them, so I figure the odds are that they are a wolf this time.
I just want to clarify that odds reset whenever a new game starts. She has a 3.45% chance of being a wolf this time.
Always cracks me up when folks say "surely this time they be woof!"I just want to clarify that odds reset whenever a new game starts. She has a 3.45% chance of being a wolf this time.
ok, so I thought that sounded better than "threw a dart and her number was hit"
Why would you need to force a reason? Either you believe your reasoning or you don't. If you don't, I think I need to put a wolf mark by your name.ok, so I thought that sounded better than "threw a dart and her number was hit"
Hmmm... based on your logic you could be a wolf also because I've never played a game where you were OGI just want to clarify that odds reset whenever a new game starts. She has a 3.45% chance of being a wolf this time.
Hmmm... based on your logic you could be a wolf also because I've never played a game where you were OG
Sure.
Whoops I meant this to respond to killer now you. On my phone and Idk how to change itHmmm... based on your logic you could be a wolf also because I've never played a game where you were OG
Oh lord sure is one of my least favorite wordsSure.
Oh lord sure is one of my least favorite words
I like absolutes.
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But I don't agree with your stats. Everyone has a higher than 3.45% of being a wolf provided there is more than one wolf which I feel is a safe assumptionI just want to clarify that odds reset whenever a new game starts. She has a 3.45% chance of being a wolf this time.
But I don't agree with your stats. Everyone has a higher than 3.45% of being a wolf provided there is more than one wolf which I feel is a safe assumption
My stats are 100% accurate.
NahMy stats are 100% accurate.
ziggy---D1 sucks. There is usually zero anything to base a vote on. However, I have been fussed at numerous times for putting up a vote, but not have a reason attached. I have been fussed at for saying "I rng'd". so tried to come up with something other than that to use as a reason. that is all. and all the statistics make my head explode.
Prove it.
I'm not holding it against you. They've done the same to me lolziggy---D1 sucks. There is usually zero anything to base a vote on. However, I have been fussed at numerous times for putting up a vote, but not have a reason attached. I have been fussed at for saying "I rng'd". so tried to come up with something other than that to use as a reason. that is all. and all the statistics make my head explode.
WildZoo
Noble Dubz Dictator, Unyeetable Phasing Wolf
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Are we starting a game with math again
Are we starting a game with math again
Ye
Ziggy always kind of sucks. I don't know if AM's actual numbers are correct but if roles are handed out based on RNG, the stats are always just that... Random.
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Lynch am
For making me think about statistics this early in the morning
For making me think about statistics this early in the morning
Lmao. I thought killer said "d1--ziggy sucks" dyslexia at its finest. I guess my true feelings are out [emoji23]
Lynch am
For making me think about statistics this early in the morning
You say this, yet you liked my posts about them. You can't deny your true feelings meats...
You caught me, I am a huge statistics nerd.You say this, yet you liked my posts about them. You can't deny your true feelings meats...
But I hate having to crunch those numbers every time I have data because data never want to be easy for me. 😢 Maybe I should lynch data instead?

I agree; AM, your math is terrible.
The chance of her being a wolf is equivalent to whatever ratio of wolves is at play. Which, in general is 20-25% wolves and for every game where this is true this is the chance of being a wolf.
The chance of her being a wolf is equivalent to whatever ratio of wolves is at play. Which, in general is 20-25% wolves and for every game where this is true this is the chance of being a wolf.
Ugh - Can we not start with bad math again?
I agree; AM, your math is terrible.
The chance of her being a wolf is equivalent to whatever ratio of wolves is at play. Which, in general is 20-25% wolves and for every game where this is true this is the chance of being a wolf.
So everyone has a minimum 20% chance of being a wolf equaling a grand total of 580%?
Ugh - Can we not start with bad math again?View attachment 250336
What would you like to talk about instead?
###unlynch ziggyzaggy###
###lynch statistics###
###lynch statistics###
Day 1 Aaaand they're off! Lynch Tally
Lupin (1) - genny
Mel (2) - Cray, Karabeans
Kara (1) - Snowy
Weim (1) - AM
Cray (1) - zigjazz
Capri (1) - skim
Dina (2) - Barks, WZ
SAR (1) - Coffee?
Coffee? (1) - shelter
Zigjazz () -
AM (1) - Meats
statistics (1) - killer
12/29 voting
Lynch close at 9pm CST (11 hrs remaining)
Lupin (1) - genny
Mel (2) - Cray, Karabeans
Kara (1) - Snowy
Weim (1) - AM
Cray (1) - zigjazz
Capri (1) - skim
Dina (2) - Barks, WZ
SAR (1) - Coffee?
Coffee? (1) - shelter
Zigjazz () -
AM (1) - Meats
statistics (1) - killer
12/29 voting
Lynch close at 9pm CST (11 hrs remaining)
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That's not how this works. That's not how any of this works.So everyone has a minimum 20% chance of being a wolf equaling a grand total of 580%?
Dnag all my grudge/easy shiggles votes are already taken. I didn't want to have to use my brain after that hour and a half commute I just executed to be late for class
That's not how this works. That's not how any of this works.
Which is why the number is at 3.45%. Doesn't work with anything higher at this point.
Dnag
Apparently my fingers are still frozen from the -35 too lol
No, if it was at 3.45%, using your method... that makes 96.55% chance of being a villager... wanna multiply that by 29 too??? Then also everyone would be a villager.Which is why the number is at 3.45%. Doesn't work with anything higher at this point.
If assuming ~~4-6/29 are wolves. You have a 23-25/29 odds of being a villager and 4-6/29 of being a wolf.
WildZoo
Noble Dubz Dictator, Unyeetable Phasing Wolf
Administrator
Volunteer Staff
Lifetime Donor
10+ Year Member
Can we like
Stop this
Please
Stop this
Please
No, if it was at 3.45%, using your method... that makes 96.55% chance of being a villager... wanna multiply that by 29 too??? Then also everyone would be a villager.
There is a 96.55% chance of someone being a villager. And that's exactly why serious RNG voting is bad long-term. Other things have to be manually factored in to increase accuracy.
Can we like
Stop this
Please
but it's funny
WildZoo
Noble Dubz Dictator, Unyeetable Phasing Wolf
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Volunteer Staff
Lifetime Donor
10+ Year Member
There's a 100% chance I will vote for the next person to post about statisticsbut it's funny
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