Nor'east Ski WWeekend (Basics) - Game Thread

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Im an eye doctor, not a mathemetician. My bad :shrug::cyclops:
Opthamologist? Regardless, I hate eyes, they give me the heebee jeebies *off to study for gross where I have a test tomorrow with parts of the eye*
 
Ok so since we are doing statistical analyses,

Odds of being a wolf in the prior game is 4/20 = 0.2
Odds of being a wolf this game 3/23 = 0.13

Thus, odds of being a wolf both games in a row = 0.2 x. 0.13 = .026 or 2.6%. Thats not impossible but pretty low. So I am going to village lean myself, sporty, and snowy.
Oh I see. This is what we call sketchy, "I am village" behavior. I got in trouble for that last time...
###lynch cubs###

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D1 Skiing Tally

Killerleaf () -
grebes (1) - AM
Mel (1) - Skilary
AM (3) - capri, MSU, WZ
MSU (1) - Barks
Capri (1) - Grebes
WZ (2) - Sporty, killerleaf
Barks (1) - Ziggy
Cubs (2) - SOV, petmoosy
SOV (1) - Cubs

13/23 voting

10 hours till lynch close

-skiing-39852.gif


Please let me know if i missed anything!
 
###lynch barks###
Because you always try to lynch me so I wanna lynch you first

Also, no one is going to get mad at Capri for this but my screen shot last time was "excessive". Ok...

Trust me, I'm twitchy. But I got burned for it last time

Thus, odds of being a wolf both games in a row = 0.2 x. 0.13 = .026 or 2.6%. Thats not impossible but pretty low. So I am going to village lean myself, sporty, and snowy.

This has already been beat to death but this is a horrible argument to clear people and don't do it.

However, I'm not feeling wolfy vibes on this for the time being.
 
Sorry, I was just bored (very slow morning) and excited to play my first *full* game from the beginning, so was getting chatty. I thought D1 was kind of a bunch of random votes, so didnt consider a retaliatory vote today to be that big a deal when I have no other suspicions yet.

Unlynch SOV
 
Trust me, I'm twitchy. But I got burned for it last time



This has already been beat to death but this is a horrible argument to clear people and don't do it.

However, I'm not feeling wolfy vibes on this for the time being.
We both got burned for it last time :heckyeah:
Edit hence it striking me a bit weird this time...
 
Sorry, I was just bored (very slow morning) and excited to play my first *full* game from the beginning, so was getting chatty. I thought D1 was kind of a bunch of random votes, so didnt consider a retaliatory vote today to be that big a deal when I have no other suspicions yet.

Unlynch SOV

Well, it just depends on how serious it is. As the day goes on though, I'll sure you'll find a couple of wolfy people to focus on.
 
Were you a wolf last time?
No, so that's fair I guess. But Cubs did sketch me out last game when I totted. Maybe he was a little quieter as a woof. Still it's what I've got right now, so I'll stay till I see something better.

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###lynch barks###
Because you always try to lynch me so I wanna lynch you first

Also, no one is going to get mad at Capri for this but my screen shot last time was "excessive". Ok...

Originally I read this and thought you were just being salty, but
I could see why you would be hesitant, yes. I was hesitant to RNG for that reason. But capri could be trying bank off that.

are you actually calling capri wolfy? If so then sketch points to you for not just coming out and saying you think she's sketchy but instead trying to goad other people into potentially overanalyzing her.



Should I self-destruct yet? :thinking:

you know the answer to this is ALWAYS yes.
 
D1 Skiing Tally

Killerleaf () -
grebes (1) - AM
Mel (1) - Skilary
AM (2) - capri, WZ
MSU (1) - Barks
Capri (1) - Grebes
WZ (3) - Sporty, killerleaf, SAR
Barks (1) - Ziggy
Cubs (2) - SOV, petmoosy
SOV () -

12/23 voting

9 hours till lynch close

-skiing-39852.gif
 
Why not?

:naughty:I'm feeling very AM psyche today - this is the manifestation of my OSCE stress brain
Well there are plenty of reasons why not, the why is more interesting in the face of the current tally.

Hmmm if you have AM psyche...maybe it is time for 20q 😉
 
Lynch ZJ

Biggest sketch read right now.
My copy of KH III just arrived so may or may not be back later. (I'm lying I def won't be back)
 
This is setting off my feels but I'm not sure why. Trying too hard to look like she's participating maybe?
#participating!! Lol.

But in all seriousness I could talk about math too, but one I'm too busy and two that's not that important/useful atm.
You trying to start a low key sus train? O.O

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D1 Puppy Slope Skiing Tally

Killerleaf () -
grebes (1) - AM
Mel (1) - Skilary
AM (1) - capri
MSU (1) - Barks
Capri (1) - Grebes
WZ (3) - Sporty, killerleaf, SAR
Barks (2) - Ziggy, WZ
Cubs (2) - SOV, petmoosy
SOV () -
Zigjaz (1) - Mel
Sporty (1) - genny

14/23 voting

Lynch close at 10pm Eastern (approximately 7.5 hrs)

-skiing-39852.gif
 
I caufht this and was thinking "oh dubs didn't tell her to go to her room so dubs must be village"

....
I try not to have such easy tells, so ever since she pointed that out to me I've done it as either affiliation 😉
 
Originally I read this and thought you were just being salty, but


are you actually calling capri wolfy? If so then sketch points to you for not just coming out and saying you think she's sketchy but instead trying to goad other people into potentially overanalyzing her.





you know the answer to this is ALWAYS yes.
I wasn't necessarily calling her wolfy. I was noticing a stark difference in how people responded to this vs when I RNG.

I decided not to RNG because it would look suspicious regardless of affiliation. Capri didn't. I find that interesting and don't know what to make of it or the lack of reaction
Lynch ZJ

Biggest sketch read right now.
My copy of KH III just arrived so may or may not be back later. (I'm lying I def won't be back)
Really? You're going to lynch me before I can respond to you and say you won't be on later. Super suspicious and convenient
 
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