Thanks rirriri (blast from the past!) for weighing in.
I agree in general the negativity on these forums is off-putting and depressing. It doesn't really relate to reality. It's kind of like cable news - focus on the trivial or the woeful predictions, or seeing trends in data or experiences that mean the end of all things.
Healthcare is at a crisis right now. To think pathology is any different is naive. People pay too much for everything, and too much of the payments go to "non-value added" costs like administrators, advertising, upkeep, etc. The pressure on those who make the decisions on what to pay for mean that drug prices and medical devices are unlikely to get significant reductions in cost (and if they do, it will seem like a significant reduction only because the increases in the past few years have been so massive). The easiest thing to do is to just keep cutting payments to docs and hospitals, and keep "bundling" things so the fights go on between the components of the bundle.
Pathology will keep changing, the only constant will be lower reimbursements of course. Will it move away from hospitals and large physician group practices, or towards hospitals and large physician group practices?
As far as the job market, I throw up my hands. I don't get it at all. In the past 5 years or so, we have had 8 physicians from our group retire, with one more pending. We have hired 5 and looking for another. The quality of candidates has been, to put it lightly, not optimal. Candidates who can only do one thing. Candidates who can't communicate or answer emails. Candidates who in their intro letter/email talk about how everyone else is inferior to them. Reading these forums it sounds like there are hundreds and hundreds of stellar outstanding candidates out there looking for jobs, or looking to get a better job. We generally get the candidates we want but that has become tougher over the past 5 years. and there have been many fewer options - the candidates we offer all seem to have multiple competing offers. Some are making unrealistic demands like guaranteed income (we are a private partnership, there are no guarantees).
I do find it interesting that there are so many people on these forums who have been posting things like "flee pathology now" for ten years or more. What's the point of this? Sure, post real information and real experience. Be honest. But there is reality, and then there are these forums. Some truths, to be sure, but a lot of nonsense also.