I don't see logic behind your statement of "80% of newer DO school graduates not being competitive..." There are plenty amazing students who just didn't do well early in their undergraduate career and had to come back from behind. Once you're in medical school, it's a whole different ball game, you shape up or get toasted in the oven. I go to a newer school and not only is our class highly competitive nationally to other DO schools in terms of grades, but we've gotten great feedback from our 3rd years going to clinical rotations for the first time (our first class is 3rd years now). How can I make such a statement? Well I go to ACOM where they've had rotation sites for the past 10 years established in Alabama. They have had students from KCUMB, GA-PCOM, NOVA, and many others who have already rotated in those sites as a comparison. Our class has even been told that they're more professional and has on occasion stood out better in terms of performance than UAB, the top MD school in our state. (I said on occasion...don't twist that as me making extreme statements)
^^ That was in reply to your statement about the 80%
Back on topic about the merger...no one knows what is going to happen. We have faculty who have served on the board for AOA and they said the leadership wasn't expecting this many DO programs to close when they first started (back in like 2011-2012 time). Now that it's actually happening, they're seeing that the situation for DO's is seeming worse because there are more programs closing than initially anticipated. Based on the past and current situations, I don't think anyone can expect to predict the future.
EDIT: To add on to the topic...what really concerns me is...does anyone know what the fate of the neuromuscular/omm residencies will be?