EM still has a big shovel. If an EM doc becomes an attending at 30, saves 100K a yr for 10 yrs. 8% stock appreciation, they will have 1.6M at age 40. He downshifts to 6 shifts/month to cover living expenses and saves nothing.
At 50, he has 3.6M, at 60 he has 7.8M, at 65 he has 11.4M.
At 55 yrs old and $5M, his yearly return will be similar to his full time income (400K) where he will not outspend his return even if he hangs it up.
The EM doc or radiologist who wants to work past 55 is doing it just for generational wealth and not because he doesn't have plenty of money to retire. Also remember that Radiologist starts making money 2-3 yrs later and the market is cyclical. When I finished med school in the late 90's, radiology & Anesthesiology, were down and essentially the back up fields. Just because they are up now, doesn't mean they will be up in 10-20 yrs.
I can see AI doing a better job at reading film and pushing the drugs better than humans. Radiologist give incorrect readings all the time and obvious misses, AI will do better.
I went to play golf yesterday and was paired up with a random orthopedic surgeon employed by a big hospital system. He said he wish he were busier and hated that he was employed with all the politics. His private group was absorbed by the system and did not get a buy out because the work/income ratio was getting lower every year. He wished he could be private but the money/work ratio was not worth.
I am good friends with a private husband/wife surgeon (late 40s) duo who work their A$$es off and tell me they do not see retirement anytime soon. They work all the time just to keep the practice profitable. They have 1 kid who will not go into medicine b/c his parents work all the time.
Grass is not always greener. Yes, you hear of these ROAD specialties who are living high on the hog bc they are the big owners in the practice/surgery centers but this is rare.