I'm an M4 applying in anesthesiology, despite many CRNAs having come up to me, unsolicited, during my surgical clerkships and telling me I was entering a dying field. Crass, no? Kinda ruined my day.
However, the plight of the doctor vs. the wannabe-without-the-requisite-training is not unique to our field.
Every forum I go to on here, and I mean every one, has threads about how this field or that is "dying". My response to this: oh, please.
Even the traditionally high paying fields are lamenting the "end times".
Examples:
1) Ophthalmologists are terrified of Optometrists gaining the right to do surgery, as they have in one or two states. There are just as many rude, optometry students on the Ophtho forums are there are CRNA students here. They also say every major market is ultra-saturated.
2) Radiologists say there are no jobs anymore. It's impossible to find anything if you're not interventional, because all of their images are being outsourced to other countries.
3) Pathologists are terrified of government regulation of hospitals, the desire to only have a few pathologists, longer hours, and salaries, vs. fee for service. They also say that with the advent of telepathology, their careers are in as much jeopardy as the Radiologists.
4) All the primary care fields, and even some that are not primary care, such as ortho, are terrified that nurse practitioners are going to steal all of their clinical patients and relegate them to supervisory or purely surgical roles.
5) Radiation Oncology (RAD-ONC!) complains that they are going to be discovered by the government, cutting their reimbursements, and it is only a matter of time before nurses decide that if they can SET UP stereotactic XRT, that hey, maybe they should be allowed to do it by themselves.
6) Plastic surgery laments that it is impossible to get started in a practice, as no one is hiring, you have to be "known", and all the good cases are taken by senior partners. Besides, its only a matter of time before any "general" surgeon thinks they can do plastics. Or any nurse practitioner "thinks" they can do botox.
I could go on and on and on and on. The fact of the matter is this. There will be a DOCTOR shortage in this country. A very large one, and it will last for a generation. There is no substitute for a doctor in any field. Period.
From every corner of this country there is a backlash against Obamacare, and government regulation of healthcare in general, that is so strong that it may even be irreversible. When the dust settles, especially in an age of ever increasing availability of information, people are going to want choice. And when they choose, they will always choose a doctor over a nurse.
The pompous statements of the CRNAs, the optometrists, the nurse practitioners, its all wishful thinking. Because of our nation's budgetary situation, in 10 years, we will have a health system that has far less government involvement, including drastic changes to medicare and medicaid. Physician salaries will go up, not down. Our healthcare system will be less diffusely negatively egalitarian and will be stratified. And it will be the wannabe physicians, overproduced and underqualified, who will be left picking up the slack undesired.
So stop panicking medical doctors. The night is darkest right before the dawn. This is the nadir, a key turning point in history. And if you're in residency and about to leave, or in school and about to enter residency, you'll have bypassed the hard times, the tribulations, and will find only success and fruitfulness on the otherside.