HoWWrses: Game Thread

[Animal Midwife]

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If assuming ~~4-6/29 are wolves. You have a 23-25/29 odds of being a villager and 4-6/29 of being a wolf.

Exactly. But one player cannot be more than one wolf.

 

[CoffeeQuestionMark]

There is a 96.55% chance of someone being a villager. And that's exactly why serious RNG voting is bad long-term. Other things have to be manually factored in to increase accuracy.

NO.

THIS IS NOT CORRECT.

 

[Animal Midwife]

NO.

THIS IS NOT CORRECT.

BUT IT IS.

 

[SARdoghandler]

There's a 100% chance I will vote for the next person to post about statistics

I am in favour of this it hurts my brain

 

[CoffeeQuestionMark]

Exactly. But one player cannot be more than one wolf.

If I have a pile of 12 m&ms, 3 are blue and 9 are red, what's the chance that I will draw a blue M&M?

 

[Animal Midwife]

If I have a pile of 12 m&ms, 3 are blue and 9 are red, what's the chance that I will draw a blue M&M?

If you trying to grab a specific blue M&M, and not just any random one, there's a 8.33% chance.

 

[muttmanager]

What would you like to talk about instead?

Um, Horses ?

 

[Animal Midwife]

Um, Horses ?

Lead the way.

 

[CoffeeQuestionMark]

If you trying to grab a specific blue M&M, and not just any random one, there's a 8.33% chance.

Ok but what if I say "AM, I have 12 M&Ms. 3 are blue and 9 are red. This one is named Bob (I don't show you). What chance is there that he is blue?"

 

[Animal Midwife]

Ok but what if I say "AM, I have 12 M&Ms. 3 are blue and 9 are red. This one is named Bob (I don't show you). What chance is there that he is blue?"

50%.

 

[WildZoo]

unlynch barks lynch AM

:troll:

 

[CoffeeQuestionMark]

Lead the way.

You're so punny.

 

[WildZoo]

unlynch barks lynch AM

:troll:

whoops, meant unlynch dina lynch AM

 

[Lupin21]

whoops, meant unlynch dina lynch AM

why was barks on your mind?

 

[WildZoo]

why was barks on your mind?

Because of the earlier tally mixup lol

 

[muttmanager]

Lead the way.

Im a humble city girl - I’m here to learn horse things

 

[Skimble]

Are we starting a game with math again

Please no, not again.

Ziggy always kind of sucks.

Wow... that's pretty harsh!

 

[SARdoghandler]

Wow... that's pretty harsh!

Didn't catch that on my first read, only my spreadsheet setting up read but I agree this was... not cool

 

[Lupin21]

lynch killerleaf

for the time being.

 

[CoffeeQuestionMark]

I for one think ziggy is very insightful and I enjoy playing with her

 

[Animal Midwife]

Unofficial Day 1 Aaaand they're off! Lynch Tally

Lupin (1) - genny
Mel (2) - Cray, Karabeans
Kara (1) - Snowy
Weim (1) - AM
Cray (1) - zigjazz
Capri (1) - skim
Dina (1) - Barks
SAR (1) - Coffee?
Coffee? (1) - shelter
Zigjazz () -
AM (2) - Meats, WZ
statistics (1) - killer
killer (1) - Lupin

13/29 voting

Lynch close at 9pm CST (10 hrs remaining)

 

[sheltermed]

Didn't catch that on my first read, only my spreadsheet setting up read but I agree this was... not cool

Agreed. Sorry friends, namely ziggy, I was not at all serious but it was not okay to say in any case. I'm sorry!

 

[capri1722]

I, for one, welcome our new statistical overlords.
...
But also
Lynch AM
We already established last game that wolves are bad at math. 😛 (And that's all I'll say about that so yw dubz and skim and others)

 

[Animal Midwife]

I, for one, welcome our new statistical overlords.
...
But also
Lynch AM
We already established last game that wolves are bad at math. 😛 (And that's all I'll say about that so yw dubz and skim and others)

Remember when you lynched me last game because you thought your math was accurate?

 

[muttmanager]

I, for one, welcome our new statistical overlords.
...
But also
Lynch AM
We already established last game that wolves are bad at math. 😛 (And that's all I'll say about that so yw dubz and skim and others)

I don’t think that’s what we established.

 

[ziggyandjazzy]

Unlynch cray
Lynch shelter

because I am petty (lol no ill will hopefully...)

 

[Melchizedek]

Exactly. But one player cannot be more than one wolf.

Not with that attitude you can't!

 

[CoffeeQuestionMark]

Not with that attitude you can't!

I seem to recall cubs being assigned the role of the entire wolf pack

 

[dolphin106258]

Lynch Ziggy

Bc I so wanted to at times last game but I knew you were village so I could not. But now I don’t know. So here we are lol.

 

[Melchizedek]

DO NOT, UNDER ANY CIRCUMSTANCES, DELETE POSTS.​

I feel personally attacked.

I seem to recall cubs being assigned the role of the entire wolf pack

You wanna make Dina do all our dirty work again? 😉

Lynch Paws

Kinda want to see if there's any hidden mechanics that'll trigger if someone votes the NPC

 

[cubsrule4e]

Ok sooooo... doing cataract surgery this morning and as I’m breaking them up I’m seeing the fragments turn into horse shapes like you would see when you’re staring at the clouds. I think I’ve developed a problem!

 

[Skimble]

Lynch Paws

Kinda want to see if there's any hidden mechanics that'll trigger if someone votes the NPC

I’d be lying if I said this thought hadn’t crossed my mind. 🤣

 

[Barkley13]

I seem to recall cubs being assigned the role of the entire wolf pack

Why aren’t we voting cubs then?? Wow this game is easy

 

[Dinashadow]

Lynch Zigzag

Because she's my WW rival.

 

[genny]

I expected to be entertained as I read this over my lunch hour, but instead it’s just a nerdy math fight. Ugh.

###unlunch lupin###
###lynch capri###

 

[Dinashadow]

Why aren’t we voting cubs then?? Wow this game is easy

Maybe we should let Cubs play a little bit

 

[Barkley13]

Maybe we should let Cubs play a little bit

I don’t actually want to lynch him

 

[PippyPony]

Day 1 Aaaand they're off! Lynch Tally

Lupin () -
Mel (2) - Cray, Karabeans
Kara (1) - Snowy
Weim (1) - AM
Cray () -
Capri (2) - skim, genny
Dina (1) - Barks
SAR (1) - Coffee?
Coffee? (1) - shelter
Zigjazz (2) - dolphin, dina
AM (3) - Meats, WZ, capri
statistics (1) - killer
killer (1) - Lupin
Shelter (1) - ziggy
Paws (1) - Mel

16/29 voting

Lynch close at 9pm CST (7 hrs remaining)

 

[SARdoghandler]

lynch killer

 

[cubsrule4e]

***************************************************************

***************************************************************

 

[bryndiana.jones]

lynch coffee

I don't like all this math chit chat

 

[Karabiner13]

@Melchizedek will you stick with your npc vote?

@capri1722 I told you in whatever chat last game that not all wolves are terrible at math. Who would you vote for if not am?

@SARdoghandler why killer

for now I'm fine with zigzag and understand why she didn't open the pm

 

[SARdoghandler]

@SARdoghandler why killer

Not enjoying her sitting on a joke vote for statistics for so long

 

[Karabiner13]

Not enjoying her sitting on a joke vote for statistics for so long

what do you think of mel's vote?

 

[Melchizedek]

@Melchizedek will you stick with your npc vote?

is this a serious question?

 

[SARdoghandler]

what do you think of mel's vote?

At least it was for a legit player, npc or not, and for stated reasons

But I also wear Rose-tinted-Mel glasses (RosyMelVision™)

 

[bryndiana.jones]

ok, so I thought that sounded better than "threw a dart and her number was hit"

I don't like this very much. It's D1 and you're trying to hide your rng vote with a stats vote? Rng votes aren't the best, but at the beginning of D1 I don't think people will be side-eyeing you unless you hold that vote to close and there were other things to go off of for voting later in the day.

##lynch ziggyzaggy###

this will be the third time playing with them, so I figure the odds are that they are a wolf this time.

 

[Karabiner13]

is this a serious question?

Am I ever not serious?

 

[Gwenevre]

lynch zigjazz

 

[Animal Midwife]

lynch zigjazz

Why?