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- Apr 18, 2013
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Well. Dammit. Back to the drawing board again.
Okay well I'll start with some analysis.
LIS- He’s one of the few people to actively vouch for me this game. He’s been saying theories and ideas that make sense. Plus he was one of the first on the lyra lynch, and has been saying good ideas. I hate saying this, but in general, I trust him this game.
WZ- this game is very different than her normal game play strategy. It kinda reminds me of the vet game where she was a wolf. She’s definitely been out of the spotlight, but several (confirmed dead village) have been suspicious of her (DVMD, genny, hmoo, PBC)
Nyanko- never can good reading on. She's a slight wolf lean to me because of it. She’s one of the people that are supposed to get lynched by X days because of this, but we’re basically out of time.
WTF- I… really don’t know. She seems… trustworthy? But she hasn’t said anything that made me suspicious of her. She’s also one of the people that are supposed to get lynched by X days because of this, but we’re basically out of time.
3M- I usually think 3M is very sketchy but I don’t think that this game. I know that Lyra and 3M got in a catfight on Monday. I feel like that was a wolf (Lyra) arguing with a villager (3M), but I’ve been wrong before.
In order from least sketchy to most sketchy (myself not included of course)
LIS, 3M, WTF, Nyanko, WZ
I'm thinking that I'm gonna go ahead and
lynch WZ
I can do this, too.
I'm just not going to vote cdoconn. If I'm wrong, so be it. I might be reverse tunneling cdoconn.
Ok. The fact that I am currently voting for AM cannot be held against me as another vote for the dead. She was alive when I cast the vote, dammit.
unlynch AM (just to make it official)
lynch cdoconn - getting to be a question that needs answering - but if villager, I'll probably be voting to lynch STL next if I'm still alive
There are 6 players, assuming we have one wolf left, that's 5 village and a wolf. Less if there's chaos or a neutral (but I haven't suspected either a chaos or neutral). Let's say we lynch a villager tonight 4 village 1 wolf, then there's tonight's a wolf kill. 3 village 1 wolf.Why would you think we're "basically out of time?" There's like, probably one wolf left. Maybe 2 if there was a conversion.
Right, and then he unlynched me shortly after... but he didn't vote at all... neither did WTF. ugh. I need to go reread this.@cdoconn
I honestly don't have LIS so high on my villager list, and I think it's interesting that you do considering that yesterday morning LIS was insisting that he wasn't going to vote for cdoc and then by the afternoon that's exactly what he did...
If it weren't for the fact that we get two votes to get it right, I'd volunteer to just be voted off the island since I hate this end-game crap (and especially this game where I'm doing a ****ty job of playing anyway).
I can make a case in my head for lynching pretty much anyone left in the game.
With regard to my momentary cdoconn vote yesterday, I think I explained pretty clearly why I did it (before recanting it anyway). So if that explanation wasn't good enough - whatever.
The shade from 3m is <slightly> bothersome to me - I feel like I'm an easy target for a remaining wolf to try and get lynched. But on the flip side, with only two lynches left to escape, I think most wolf players would just sorta keep quiet and see which way the wind blows before really getting out there and pushing anyone.
So with that in mind:
lynch wtf
I think someone mentioned that both people died during the tie in one of the recent speed games but I honestly can't remember for sure (will look into it here in a minute). Much more common for it to be RNG or some other tie breaker though.Actually, now that I think about it.....
Going back to the tie and mmm. No one legitimately thought that both would go, I'd wager. That doesn't seem to be as big of a risk in games here as in ones I have played previously in other subforums, as I mentioned before (correct me if I'm wrong - I play in prevet only occasionally now so this theory may be bunk if this is a mechanism that is used commonly here). I do think it is entirely possible that, as a wolf, mm would jump on and make a tie with Lyra. That way, if Lyra went, she'd be good. If Coop went, oh well, not much skin off her back. I'm less and less convinced that is a definite positive mark in her book.
I don't like how quickly that built up.
Unlynch WZ
Lynch mmm
lynch 3m because I like wtf's theory and I don't like something that happened behind the scenes today. I don't really want to lynch LIS or wtf, but I could go cdo in honor of STL, may he rest in peace.
Have the dead been doing anything? I haven't noticed. Hi dead people, if you're out there. I'll be with you soon!
we have 2 votes left, and you're considering revenge lynching me? I really don't like that. at all.lynch 3m because I like wtf's theory and I don't like something that happened behind the scenes today. I don't really want to lynch LIS or wtf, but I could go cdo in honor of STL, may he rest in peace
Lol revenge lynching? No. It has nothing to do with revenge and everything to do with hoping STL was right. My own reads are hazy at best right now.we have 2 votes left, and you're considering revenge lynching me? I really don't like that. at all.
I was catching up during rehearsal and noticed that you had mentioned me. It's not like I had anything spectacular to say, I just thought it was reaaally weird.Also I don't particularly care what you like, but I think it's fun that you popped on to throw more shade my way when I'm already in the lead, just because I mentioned your name
It's not weird to think you could be a wolf. I think you said yourself in your responses to STL that you don't have good evidence to show that you're not? So.I was catching up during rehearsal and noticed that you had mentioned me. It's not like I had anything spectacular to say, I just thought it was reaaally weird.
By the way, how did this rereading go?Right, and then he unlynched me shortly after... but he didn't vote at all... neither did WTF. ugh. I need to go reread this.
Not sure if you meant quiet as of today (only just getting out of work) or yesterday (which I wasn't).
I would not suggest nyanko.
Lynch WZ
Since we're talking about it, I also thought Cheatac's response was weird. (I've been trying not to respond to literally every accusation against me) I'm not sure if it was a residual-last-game-grudge, or what. I don't want to lynch boobs for the sake of being noobs, but coming out of the game, 26 minutes in, with a post like that is really suspicious to me. (And no, this isn't an angry retaliatory post haha).
ah damn. I tried to WW from my phone and autocorrect got the best of me.
As far as the underlined parts, I'm still a noob- this is only my 7th game to play. My first game every single time someone even looked at me, I defended myself in an angry blaze. And then I died N1 (and was almost lynched D1). There's a trend of me passionately defending myself against every single accusation, and then dying soon after, and I've only made it past D4 twice- and on the other two I was the head lynch vote several times. And dying that early every time really really sucks. So that's why I'm not gonna explode when one person calls me suspicious. Does that make sense?
Oh yeah. Did you read the noob game? I think it was h&h that just threw out a vote for me just to throw one out, and I tried to rip his head off. I've reaaaally been trying to mellow out.
@cdoconn, what was up with yesterday?
Big, long post where you seem to be building to Pippy as a wolf
Little over an hour later, when pippy was far and away the leader (7 votes to anyone else's 2). The non-wolfy suspicions part is sketchy for me. You built towards lynching her, and then backed off when it got more momentum and seemed clearly in the lead. Why?
I think that covers it for now. unlynch CDO.
Will hold off on lynching anyone until I hear from @katashark, @Gwenevre, and/or @mmmdreamerz. Out of the three, I currently prefer to lynch 3m since her defense hasn't rang true for the reasons people listed above. Attempting to save a bad lynch doesn't require knowing there's a tie.
Kata's play is extremely annoying, but I don't think it's wolfy at this point. I actually agree that gwen's behavior yesterday was more suspicious than hers, so I'm not bothered by kata throwing shade on gwen. I'd like to hear her explanation to see if our reasons agree, though.
Do you have a reason for this?
I went through and looked at her posts and she's being a little... vague? Talking about hmoo and coop, but too not much beyond that.
I don't think I've actually played with Zen before, so I don't know any of her wolf tells. I might be crazy, but I'm not sure that there's a wolf there.
Why? Because I didn't vote for Zen? Neither did Coop, WTF, 3M, Genny, Ny, or you, so I hardly think that's grounds for lynching. Yes, I didn't think Zen was a wolf, I was honestly surprised when I saw the write up. It happens.
Personally I'm not feeling the cdo lynch. She doesn't seem to be acting any different than her villager-self. I'm still feeling AM. Her defense was strange for her, I think. She's just acting too different than normal.
I agree that Zen questioning cdo feels like like it could have been throwing shade at a fellow wolf for village points, with little risk of getting cdo lynched. I also have sketchy feels for AM and genny, I'm still considering where I want to vote today.
I've been doing breathing treatments on and off all day, so I haven't been around. I have to go start another one right now. I know real life doesn't matter in WW, but I wanted to let y'all know why I haven't been around. I'm not a wolf, I'm a period (I'm vanillager with no abilities). Wish there was a way to defend myself better, but I've said literally everything I feel. So yeah. :/
I've been going back and forth between Lyra and Coop. I feel slightly stronger about the Lyra vote, but that being said, I wouldn't be upset if it flipped to Coop. (I know that sounds wishy washy, but they're both suspicious to me).
My wolf/sketch reads were consistent with a lot of people, and while that may mean I'm not very original it doesn't make me sketchier because in hindsight they were village.
For whatever it's worth here are my reads now:
Villager - DVMD, STL(weird ability claim besides), nyanko
Neutral - LIS, PBC, 3m (still sketchy but has ticked back toward village), cdo (slight wolf lean), WTF (wolf lean b/c genny call out but I don't have enough info from previous games to make a difinitive call)
Wolfy - WZ (sketchy af) LG (odd arguments and parroting ideas, definite wolf possibility), AM (maybe I'm still stuck on this and others have moved on IDK but she screams sketchy).
Since AM has dropped off the radar for everybody else, I'll go with a lynch Lyra.
oh no I have a defense. The problem is, STL's been on my back for this entire game. It's hard to have a defense against feels and every time I post something in defense he ignores it or hyper analyzes it.
Moral of the story: STL's been on my back for several days now. I'll post my reads in a second once I can actually get to a computer.
I believe that STL is the last wolf. I think the wolves (Coop, Zen, Lyra) tried to get me lynched posthumously by clearing me as they go because they knew that once they flipped wolf, everyone would check to see who they vouched for, and now STL is just trying to tie up loose ends.
Unless ties aren't handled the same way everytime
because at surface level this ability doesn't sound like it would help the village all that much. So what exactly are you claiming?Who do you think seered you? I can't tell wolf from villager, but I can see abilities (this includes wolf kill ability - I asked - so I can't do dick about affiliation). And you still had an ability the night after you claimed you had none left. So either you lied, or you got another one.