So your support for your position is an opinion piece, written by a journalist who didn't even bother to confirm the military service credentials of the individuals he quoted? No numbers, no stats, just some feelings from two purported vets and two law enforcement trainers who are worried that civilian carriers may not use good judgement or have good marksmanship.
Incidentally, Stephen Benson, who's opinion and "experience as a Navy SEAL" formed the basis for the original piece, was found to be lying about his military service. His name and quotes were removed from the article, but the original can still be viewed on
The Wayback Machine here.
Probably? Any numbers to back that up???
There were 300,000 violent crimes involving firearms in 2008 according to the Bureau Of Justice statistics. Violent crime and homicide is on a downward trend so we can expect the numbers are currently lower.
Per the CDC,
there were 41,149 suicides in 2015 21,175 of which were from firearms.
The last year I have unintentional firearms-related fatalities numbers from the
National Safety Council is 2013 when there were 530. This number is down 65% from 1993 and is at all time lows since records on this started being kept. Firearms are involved in 0.39% of all unintentional fatalities. Only a percentage of these are from "unsecured firearms," but I'll spot you all of them.
Now not all accidents are fatal, so that number could be higher, but at the same time I suspect that when you said "gun owners that commit crimes themselves with their weapons" you were talking about generally law abiding citizens, not career criminals. If that is the case then I am being GENEROUS letting this be a wash.
So we have a combined total of 321,705 incidents of fatal accidents, crimes, and suicides. Using your 50:1 ratio means that we would expect 6,434 defensive gun uses per year.
How does this predicted 6,434 number compare to actual stats on defensive gun use? Well according to the
CDC report, commissioned by Obama in 2013, estimates of annual defensive gun uses range from about 500,000 to more than 3 million. Further, they found that
Over the last 20 years, we have seen an explosion in the number of guns, gun owners, and gun carry laws. Each time these laws have been introduced, they have been met with dire predictions of bloodbaths in the street. So far, the predicted results fail to appear. Homicides (which include justifiable/ defensive homicides) and violent crimes continue to trend down.
Yes, you can find incidents of inappropriate and illegal actions by concealed weapons permit holders, but by and large they are the most law abiding citizen subgroup in the U.S. In fact the annual conviction rate for firearms related crimes by police officers is
0.01% compared to 0.0003% for concealed carriers.
Concerns of shooting bystanders also appear to be overstated. Sure it may happen occasionally, just as it does with cops that is a risk we have to evaluate. I know of two true spree shootings in Oregon where carriers did not shoot due to concerns of hitting bystanders or being confused for a bad guy by the police; Clackamas and Umpqua. So there is my anecdotal response to RadOnc's anecdote.
- pod