I just wanted to post a word of encouragement for anyone still worried about their cycle or not getting any interviews. I looked at my calculator that uses direct data from the list of all interview dates as reported by schools to see where we are at in the cycle.
As of today, 43.9% of all interview events remain (where an interview event is a single school holding an interview day, with the possibility of there being multiple interview events on a single day if multiple schools have them).
If schools are sending out interview invites an average of six weeks ahead of interview dates, including the holiday break, then 20% Of all interview invites remain, assuming we maintain a uniform number of people who accept those interview invites.
If schools are sending out interview invites an average of four weeks ahead of interview dates, again including holidays and assuming uniform acceptance of those invites, then 33.8% of all invites are left.
This information is over generalized, it is based on averages and not specific schools, many schools are already done with all interviews and more so are done with all interview invites. However, there are many schools only\predominantly interview in January, February, and even some in March. With that in mind, and under the presumption that most of the best applicants will have already gotten the majority of their invites, well we are more than halfway done with invites, there’s still between a fifth and a third left. it’s still too early to give up hope if you have none or few.
This is supported by the data that fencer has provided and I think should be encouraging to anyone losing hope. With that said, do continue to improve your application for the next cycle if you need to, do write update letters and letters of interest, and still act as though you are going to be a reapplicant until you have an acceptance in hand.
Calculator:
AAMC Calendar:
calendar.google.com
Edit: looks like I missed a few second look days. These shouldn’t affect the percentages by more than 1-2% But I will get those removed in a couple hours! Encouragement still viable!
Edit 2: fixed, correct numbers present. Barely changed. Be encouraged!