For those interested, I had some time to kill at work and actually read every post last year from the end of April through July. A lot people have very similar questions and the answers are out there, but they are just scattered. I am hoping to put the answers to the most common questions I and others have here in this one post.
It looked like no one heard didily until June 1st. Someone actually didn't hear anything until end of July. So IT DOES look like we will have to sit tight. I already live in Arizona and believe me there is no "enjoying" the summer here
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I looked at a lot of MD threads from last year and on a couple of them people kept a tally. For most MD med schools with a class size of 110-150 it looks like they went 40-60 deep for their wait lists. A lot of them had 4 spots open on the first day of classes, so we should all be prepared!!
I went to AZCOM class of 2014 facebook page, there were actually two, one had 177 members and the other had 37. That would put the total at 214 already accepted for about 250 seats, leaving 36 openings. A couple notes on this though:
-I imagine a lot of the 37 from the other page were also members of the main "177 member page", that being said I would put the real number of AZCOM 2014 facebook members at about 200, leaving 50 spots open (I'm considering member duplicates and people that don't even have a facebook account for this estimate).
-The sentiment I got from last year's post is that a decent number of the AZCOM facebook members received acceptances but still hadn't decided, and some actually withdrew but forgot to leave the facebook group.
That all being said, from last year's posts, this year's posts, and the facebook information I would gather a conservative estimate on the # of spots to be filled by the wait list would be 50. I personally feel it is more like 60-80 at least.
As far as how many people are on "the list"? It seems from last year's posts people were hearing numbers from 100-160. It's anyone's guess as we are hearing the same thing this year. I could easily see there being 160 as I could liberally estimate 100 spots opening up (mind you that is a very fluffy and liberal guess but still reasonable based on the numbers I am seeing).
What does this all mean? Most likely half of the list will get pulled off, and at the very most 2/3's and at the very least 1/3. The list isn't officially ranked, but from what I read it appears they do rank it, whether it be numbers or tiers, but because the Dean has final say and may choose student X at position 12 as opposed to student Y at position 4, they don't want student y getting all butt hurt, calling and making a stink.
If they only take 1 in 3 of us thats still better odds than I thought I had walking into that interview. Good luck everyone!!!!!!