Ortho apply non-match or match only?

[pearlybois]

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Rising D4, applying to ortho this summer.

I'm really torn between two options:
(1) applying to a few non-match programs, then applying to match programs if I don't get into any non-match programs
(2) applying to match only

There is one non-match program I like a lot, but not sure the location is my favorite.
There are few match programs I like more, but I believe they would be more competitive. I'd hate to apply to match only and then not match anywhere though...

Here are my stats:
Rank: Top 15%
GRE: 160/160, 5
Research: 2 poster presentations
Leadership: president of a large club, lots of school involvement
Volunteer: decent

Any advice?

 

[OncePreDent]

I would apply to both

 

[Lemillion]

I would apply to both. There's no true way they can tell. And the program directors are too busy to chat with each other and cross reference. The trickiest thing I see people run into is that they get a non match offer BUT really LIKE a match program they interviewed at, so they struggle to take what is already being offered vs. gambling on matching to their preferred program.