Okay, let's ask some questions to get things going:
1. If there is 1 wolf left, who is most likely and why?
2. If there are 2 wolves left, who are most likely and why?
3. Assuming that everyone is actually voting for the person they think is most wolfy, which votes make the least sense and why?
4. Looking at the current tally (as well as before I switched from Cubs to AM), who are least likely to be packmates based on the votes?
These questions will obviously require making some assumptions, but I'm kind of bored with the aimless votes and lack of actual logical/analytical discussion and I'm sure dead chat probably is too...
My other reason for lynching her is normally she is real quiet during the night, except for the night she was talking about her username for quite some time.
What does this have to do with wolf-hunting? Maybe you'd like to point out the things the class is missing, since I feel like you should be able to see them regardless of your affiliation.
Village should probably run some different scenarios through there head and try and figure out what that means in context to the lynch tallies. There are some very interesting things that could be talked about and the thread silence legitimately baffles me...
Sorry, normally I’m pretty active, been on in the mornings as much as I can this game. This lynch cycle poorly coincided with last day of trip. Did ruby falls, rock city today and another couple of hours driving still to do.
Yup. Which is why I was having the internal debate as to whether I actually wanted to lynch her or not. Because she would totally save me to NK last just to rub it in.
My biggest debate was on whether you or Doggo was the other wolf, and given recent lynch tallies and you going after EM so hard I probably would have gone with you as a the other one.
Huh? I made it pretty clear that I haven't been wolf hunting for the past couple days. Stuff like this is why ya'll need to actually get a consensus as village about where you're going at endgame. I mean, I wanted the epic 3-way at endgame. Yell at Doggo for ruining that!
Okay, let's ask some questions to get things going:
1. If there is 1 wolf left, who is most likely and why?
2. If there are 2 wolves left, who are most likely and why?
3. Assuming that everyone is actually voting for the person they think is most wolfy, which votes make the least sense and why?
4. Looking at the current tally (as well as before I switched from Cubs to AM), who are least likely to be packmates based on the votes?
These questions will obviously require making some assumptions, but I'm kind of bored with the aimless votes and lack of actual logical/analytical discussion and I'm sure dead chat probably is too...
1. If there was 1 wolf left, then Cubs is the clear choice. He would be the only non-mod-confirmed player who wasn't on MsP. So close to endgame it would have been crazy for a single wolf to bus their packmate and try and survive 2 more lynch cycles when they could achieve parity the following day (I'm assuming this is the logic AM was trying to get us to assume for her supposed vote reasoning).
2. If there are 2 wolves left things get more messy and you have to also look into previous days, previous statements made, and who you think would be wolfing together. As I said, my guesses would have been on AM and Barks, with possible Doggo instead of Barks (this was after JBoo was mod-confirmed innocent child).
3. Making that very silly assumption, Imo the votes making the least sense depend on what you believe. I think Doggo would have made the least sense based on her weak reasoning for voting AM. However, you can make plenty of arguments here.
4. This is the one that imo is the most fun if you believe there are 2 wolves left. So let's look at what the vote tally was when I posted this:
If we assume that this isn't a bastard game and JBoo is actually village, we can ignore her here. So that leaves 5 people to pick from. On D5, the remaining 5 players all voted together on MsP except Cubs. I'd argue that in that situation wolves would be more likely to just bus MsP and be able to make the argument that Cubs was a wolf trying to stay off their packmate (which is WIFOM, but could make that argument anyway). However, that combined with his earlier role claim with no contention earns heavy village leans. So that narrows it down to 4 possible wolves and all sorts of possible logic combinations. If you assume I'm neutral (which I know I am) then you can also ignore me and it's down to Barks, AM, and Doggo. Doggo is voting AM, AM is voting Cubs, and Barks is voting Doggo. If 2/3 are wolves, then I think it would have been least likely that Doggo was a wolf, as she is voting for AM (which would mean her bussing a wolf) and Barks is voting for her (which means she's getting bussed by a wolf). So either way, there would have to be bussing going on with Doggo.
From there you can spin off whatever logic you want. That also makes plenty of assumptions (like Cubs being village, me being neutral, etc), but you have to build a foundation somewhere to build off of. The other thing that was notable was Cubs and AM were both on JBoo until she was mod-confirmed on thread. AM moved straight to Cubs while Cubs moved to Doggo. So unless AM was considering a last second waffle, she would have been bussing Cubs if they were both wolves, which just made me feel more strongly that Cubs was village (but again, an assumption).
The last of the warriors could sense it. The end was near. This fight would be last fight, and they looked to go out with a bang. They split off sparring one-on-one with each other. Each pair slashed and parried, bobbed and weaved, ducked and ran screaming. As they fought, it became clear that three of them were not going to make it out alive. At the very end of the day those three were put to the test. Closing in on the weaker gladiators, the stronger 3 drove them into the center of the arena. "Mori. Mori! MORI!" The crowd chanted over and over. Just when it looked like it would be up to the gods to decide the fates of the 3 in the middle, one warrior changed opponents. Although faced with the onslaught of too many attackers, it was not in his nature to succumb to the will of others so easily. No, he had fought and almost won a slave rebellion. He was not going to die without a fight! Alas, he had spent too many intermissions on guard, looking to pick a fight with anyone that approached him. Maybe if he had rested more, he might have won his way out of this, but too many swords assailed him, and he was cut down.
When the hero had fallen, @Doggo Labs turned to face @johnnaboo. "You may be beautiful, but I've fought many creatures like you. Your beauty will not save you, it only makes me want to kill you more. I will have your feathers for trophies!" And so @Doggo Labs unfulfilled with the meager amount of blood spilled today, proceeded to advance. @johnnaboo looked to the gods in fear, but the gods had already taken pity on this creature once and could not intervene this time. So they looked on in sorrow as it was cut down.
The final fight was over, @Barkley13 thought she was safe. Finally after years of training in secret, of being ridiculed for her warrior physique, of bearing the harsh punishments of her lanista, she had won her first circus. "No woman could ever win" they had told her. She raised her sword and took off her helmet in triumph. Turning to face the crowd, the smile fell from her lips and her laugh died in her throat. "MORI! MORI! MORI!" The crowd continued to chant. They hadn't had enough. Even now a few of them were already planning the next set of games. Grim faced and in shock, she realized what they wanted, but it was already too late. @Animal Midwife was only a step away, and buried her own sword into @Barkley13 hilt deep. I guess speed isn't an issue when you have those magic winged sandals.
And still the crowd chanted for more blood. They had tasted the brutality of the games, and it had only served to whet their appetite for more. @Animal Midwife looked to @Doggo Labs and could see that the truce they had forged at the beginning of the day was at an end. As Doggo squared up and readied for another fight, the air around AM began to shimmer, and in a blinding flash of light, AM was gone. "You've fought well warrior, but not even you could take on a god" a voice echoed.
Doggo turned to @Stagg737 who had yet to remove his helmet. "Oh really? You aren't satisfied with winning the games, you think you can take me on?" said Stagg. Doggo grunted an incoherent response, the bloodlust filling her brain, the chanting of the crowd filling her ears. She rushed at Stagg, who deftly side-stepped, put his fingers to his mouth, and blew out a loud whistle. Guards came storming out of the tunnels. The quickly disarmed Doggo and restrained her. Stagg walked up to where she was being pinned down. "You have done well warrior, and for that you shall have your freedom, but my head stays on my neck" he said. As he removed his helmet, the crowd fell silent and it dawned on them all who was underneath it.
17. @Stagg737 - Princeps Romani - Neutral & Results Switch
The guards released Doggo after making sure she was no longer a threat. She stood in the center of the arena, alone; triumphant, but alone. This was the life of a gladiator. As she clutched the rudis presented to her, marking her a free roman, she walked out of the colosseum gates, putting the roar of the crowd, the death, and the bloodshed behind her.
11. @Doggo Labs - Carpophorus - Wolf & Beast Killer
1. @Animal Midwife - Mercury - Wolf & Lynch Avoid
11. @Doggo Labs - Carpophorus - Wolf & Beast Killer
17. @Stagg737 - Princeps Romani - Neutral & Results Switch
