StardeWW 2: Ginger Island - GAME THREAD

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You know what?
I've been assuming I was blocked on N5. But I thought that was odd considering I was able to plant my crops and harvest as normal whereas when Barks blocked me I could not. It was strange but I just assumed ****ery.
Actually though, what if it isn't because I was blocked? What if no one acted on me N5? What if I couldn't leave the house not because of someone else, but because of my choice of target?
Lawpy, sorry. I know you don't want to go there. But I know it's not me, and I think Miranda feels genuine. Why the **** would Miranda kill SAR, a villager who'd publicly stated she didn't want to vote for her, right before lylo? Makes way more sense to kill you or me, who both voiced concern and has Miranda in our POEs.
I think JJJ has some sort of ability that prevents him from being acted on. Idk why he decided to deepwolf and frankly his self meta on being known as not a busser means jack **** to me when the other wolves apparently to decided to sacrifice Mighty.
Barks was a villager, and she was right. JJJ is the last wolf.
Yeet JJJ
 
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@Lawpy You think it's me. You think I would kill SAR, who explicitly stated I was her strongest village read, right before LyLo? Is that a logical move?
 
It still just comes back to the D1 tie and I know there's a ton of WIFOM about how that went down but I just don't see wolf!PSV potentially endangering 3 wolves with that move. That said, if Barks flips village then that does become my weakest village argument so I think I overstated my confidence in that read with all the waffling and reevaluating I've been trying to do
 
Well, let's think.
Me: village. I know this from my role PM.
Lawpy: village. I know this from his demeanor with Stagg, AM's godread, and what I believe is genuine village frustration at being dragged to endgame.
Miranda: more tenuous, but I believe village. She opened a PM with everyone. SAR is her manator and was reluctant to vote there, so that would be a terrible NK choice.

Who's that leave?
 
It’s not Jays and i’m going to double down on that. It makes zero sense for vissy to act so abrasively to jays like that, and it makes zero sense for wolf!jays to throw his pack under the bus in mid D1.

Staggs is a deepwolf but he busses reasonably. He fought vissy really hard when vissy was getting increased suspicion, which is in line with his past deepwolfing behavior in Family Reunion and Sea Monsters. If Staggs sees his packmate as a liability preventing him from achieving the wolf win, he will bury them with zero hesitation. Opposition from enraged packmates being bussed be damned. It’s brutal sure but it’s rational, sensible deepwolfing.

What a wolf!Jays is doing here is neither rational nor sensible
 
Samac, I'll grant you a few village points for the data-driven and in-depth analysis, but I do need to refute a few of your conclusions:

1. We're still less than halfway through day 1. If you look at some of more verbose postings, they occured closer to close of day

2. Most of my verbose postings were arguments about metagame concepts that I didn't fully understand (Day 1 is useless, Lupin rule theories). These were poorly recieved ans had no impact on game solving. I was toying with a thesis on the game within a game aspects of stardew mechanics (the dangers if prioritizing farming over wolfhunting), but realized I didn't have much of a conclusion

3. This is my 4th game, and I'm still trying to find my voice. Not to rehash noob vs wolf debates, but a slight change in *tone* is less alignment indicative for noobs. Not saying that this analysis isn't worth conducting, just that grains of salt apply.

4. I need Sporty to sub in soon so that I have someone to regularly disagree with

unvote Nate
vote mighty


I'm a bit bugged by the bolded bit. The vibe is you're wrong, samac, but let me assuage your concerns before I tell you so.

Most humans fear the unknown... - Day 1 Tally

View attachment 367873

Vis (2) - Zenge, AM
miranda (1) - Barky
Dubz ()
Stagg ()
mighty (3) - samac, Dubz, JJJ
Zenge (1) - Santy
Santy (1) - miranda
alley ()
Nate ()
lucy (2) - PSV, Lawpy

@mightyrunner7, you are in the lead!

10/19 voting
Missing: @alleycat03, @Viscernable, @Clem J, @Stagg737, @SARdoghandler, @bluestoat, @mightyrunner7, @lucy., @NateTheLesser

Vote closes today, 3/17, at 10 PM CDT (~7.5 hours).
Jays voted mighty in a 2-3-2 formation with original reasoning and 7.5 hours to close.
 
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Most humans fear the unknown... - Day 1 Tally

View attachment 367899

Vis (3) - Zenge, AM, Dubz
miranda (1) - Barky
Dubz ()
Stagg ()
mighty (3) - samac, JJJ, Clem
Zenge (1) - Santy
Santy (1) - miranda
alley ()
Nate ()
lucy (2) - PSV, Lawpy
stoat (1) - mighty

@Viscernable and @mightyrunner7, you are in the lead!
A tie :corny:

12/19 voting
Missing: @alleycat03, @Viscernable, @Stagg737, @SARdoghandler, @bluestoat, @lucy., @NateTheLesser

Vote closes today, 3/17, at 10 PM CDT (~3.75 hours).

My mush brain needs time to go back and reread, but not gonna do that with 38 pages today, but general thoughts...


Vote Vis

Felt like she was throwing shade to see what stuck. Lots of people felt she was sus but backed off because...lots of people noticed she was sus? Plus her flipping would give more info looking back.

I don't mind a Mighty flip and can see the reasoning, but I think a Vis flip provides more info.

@lucy. , where are you? Irl happens, but I don't like the low posting, especially after saying she'd be around. If not becoming more active, may become a policy vote tomorrow...

Also agree that stoat has some wolf leans, but mush brain can't recall why at the moment.

Most humans fear the unknown... - Day 1 Tally

View attachment 367900

Vis (4) - Zenge, AM, Dubz, Stagg
miranda (1) - Barky
Dubz ()
Stagg ()
mighty (3) - samac, JJJ, Clem
Zenge ()
Santy (1) - miranda
alley ()
Nate ()
lucy (3) - PSV, Lawpy, Santy
stoat (1) - mighty

@Viscernable, you are in the lead!

13/19 voting
Missing: @alleycat03, @Viscernable, @SARdoghandler, @bluestoat, @lucy., @NateTheLesser

Vote closes today, 3/17, at 10 PM CDT (~3.75 hours).
The Staggs vote here was 3.75 hours before close when suspicions on vissy and mighty were solidifying. Here the vote to bus vissy isn’t unreasonable because why spend near end of D1 trying to get the votes off when the liability is clearly stark?
 
While I am not a “never busser”, I do think it’s bad and overdone and also hate playing in opposition to my own team in any alignment. Teamwork is the whole reason I even enjoy playing this game.
I know, you've said that. And I am having issues reconciling that with my wolfread on you.
But SOMETHING is happening here and again, it is not me.
 
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