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Wrong. I've answered every one of your questions despite you not answering my own on the only topic I care about.you haven't answered my question
Wrong. I've answered every one of your questions despite you not answering my own on the only topic I care about.you haven't answered my question
either way, no matter what i say, you have to decide whether you think i'm truthful. so make up your mind. vis isn't in the poe.Hiding reasoning doesn't make sense if you both think I'm a wolf and this is mylo. There's literally no consequences to sharing so I can see if I agree.
You haven't said anything is the problem.either way, no matter what i say, you have to decide whether you think i'm truthful. so make up your mind. vis isn't in the poe.
that's not how it works, you have to get someone else to say it for you.You haven't said anything is the problem.
If that's all we have to say to be trusted, then I proudly announce that I'm not in the POE either.
Oh, I see, thanks for the heads up.that's not how it works, you have to get someone else to say it for you.
What about the timing is specifically village?Again, all abilities but one are NAI. No exceptions. I don't know if a wolf has ever had the ability, but I've seen them cancel night intentionally through an item for cred. The key then was that the cancel was used with weird timing. I do wish True had used it N1, but this is the second best time he could have done it. I'm not village reading him off of the ability. I'm village reading him for the usage of said ability.
It's explained my response to his extended thought process.What about the timing is specifically village?
Surely if Barks is telling the truth wolves would just have killed her last night, though? I’m assuming no self-protection.That's why it's second best to me. If you didn't use it tonight, and Barks didn't successfully protect someone, we'd be in yolo. (Thus borderline disabling your ability altogether.)
Night was cancelled. Wolves couldn't do anything even if they wanted to.Surely if Barks is telling the truth wolves would just have killed her last night, though? I’m assuming no self-protection.
Scenario: wolf true, village protector barks
4 v to 2 w at EOD2
>True cancels N -> 4 v to 2 w at SOD3
>>correct yeet -> 4 v to 1 w at EOD3
>>>wolves kill barks -> 3 v to 1 w at SOD4 (MYLO)
>>misyeet -> 3 v to 2 w at EOD3
>>>wolves kill Barks -> wolf win
>True does not cancel N
>>Wolves kill barks -> 3 v to 2 w SOD3
>>>misyeet -> wolf win
>>>correct yeet -> 3 v to 1 w EOD3
>>>>True cancels night -> 3 v to 1 w SOD4 (MYLO)
>>>>wolves kill -> 2 v to 1 w SOD4 (MARVOLO)
I don’t understand what you’re saying, can you walk through it?I'm also not sure how those numbers counteract what I said about us being better off with True using the cancel, especially if Barks is village.
I don’t think we’re on majority rules though? Correct me if I’m wrongIgnoring everything, if there's more than one wolf on the board, village loses. If there's a villager voting another villager we lose. You splitting the vote is fostering those environments.
YesHonest question though @Viscernable, do you feel/expect genny should be this confident on you?
If Barks fails to protect, we have three villagers alive today. True's cancel guarenteed that we'd have four village voices.I don’t understand what you’re saying, can you walk through it?
We are not, but I can say from the four years that I have had to repeat this, people don't come back and wolves win because the wagons were left split. (Or, my all time favorite, "I was planning to switch but I was too slow..."). That quote is paraphrased from the last Stranger Things.I don’t think we’re on majority rules though? Correct me if I’m wrong
Weird.
I guess it’s possible. They [genny/alley] haven’t interacted much
Could I have your thoughts on what these mean in conjuction with genny's confidence in you?Barks/alley. True/genny?
obfuscation for your benefit.Could I have your thoughts on what these mean in conjuction with genny's confidence in you?
That's doesn't make sense, but I'd prefer Vis answer since you already said it doesn't matter anyway.obfuscation for your benefit.
i'm just trying to move things along to get you to actually hunt some wolves, instead of trying to dismantle the village bloc.That's doesn't make sense, but I'd prefer Vis answer since you already said it doesn't matter anyway.
Making arguments for why it makes zero sense for you to not vote alley is dismantling the village bloc now? You need to keep track of your arguments, or at least quit reloading your gun, if you want to stop shooting yourself in the foot.i'm just trying to move things along to get you to actually hunt some wolves, instead of trying to dismantle the village bloc.
we can't have 2 wagons?Making arguments for why it makes zero sense for you to not vote alley is dismantling the village bloc now? You need to keep track of your arguments, or at least quit reloading your gun, if you want to stop shooting yourself in the foot.
No, genny. You've played with me for over four years and I shouldn't have to repeat this to you again, because you already know what I'm going to say, but I'll do it for those who've never been in mylo before.we can't have 2 wagons?
I just don’t see the scenario of wolves killing someone other than village!barks (and therefore us getting another day if she protects correctly) as even remotely likely, meaning whether True would night cancel or not, there would be the same number of cycles. And you would get the same extra cycle if True hadn’t night canceled N2, Barks successfully protected, and then True night canceled N3. It’s not much more likely that Barks would successfully protect N3 than that she would N2 (one less person for her to choose from, but the pool of likely wolfkills and the pool of likely D3 yeets has little overlap, so it’s pretty much the same odds imo), so I really don’t see why it’s more advantageous to village to night cancel N2 than N3 from a purely numbers standpoint.If Barks fails to protect, we have three villagers alive today. True's cancel guarenteed that we'd have four village voices.
If we misyeet today, village!Barks can potentially save someone, allowing us two yeets to get it right instead of one.
If we yeet correctly today, and wolves kill village!Barks, she's taken out of the POE, meaning True survives as a clear leaving an extremely narrow POE if the last wolf isn't just outted.
If we yeet correctly today and Barks is a wolf, she'll be forced to kill in the POE or else explain why she wasn't protecting someone we decided was top village.
These are all better scenarios than the instaloss that comes with a single error in F5.
Can you tell me how Barks can protect N3 if the game ends on D3?I just don’t see the scenario of wolves killing someone other than village!barks (and therefore us getting another day if she protects correctly) as even remotely likely, meaning whether True would night cancel or not, there would be the same number of cycles. And you would get the same extra if True hadn’t night canceled N2, Barks successfully protected, and then True night canceled N3. It’s not much more likely that Barks would successfully protect N3 than that she would N2 (one less person for her to choose from, but the pool of likely wolfkills and the pool of likely D3 yeets has little overlap, so it’s pretty much the same odds imo), so I really don’t see why it’s more advantageous to village to night cancel N2 than N3 from a purely numbers standpoint.
It is a fair point that wolves should really want to get rid of problematic village voices at endgame so having 4 instead of 3 village voices is actually a real sacrifice for them. I still don’t agree with what you’re saying about numbers tho.
I didn’t want it to be too glaringly obvious that genny is out of my POE for good.Could I have your thoughts on what these mean in conjuction with genny's confidence in you?
Why not? Don't you think village can benefit from fewer POE members?I didn’t want it to be too glaringly obvious that genny is out of my POE for good.
I'd love to hear about it.I ran the numbers and decided that it doesn’t matter at this point if people know (or like, the cons are minimal compared to benefit of people knowing genny and I can mostly clear each other. It’s not a 100% mechanical clear but it’s close)
So, game would only end D3 if she protected incorrectly N2 and we misyeeted D3. If True night cancelled N2, we misyeeted, and she protected incorrectly N3, the game would also be over then. I’ve explained why I don’t see it as more likely for her to protect correctly on N3 after N2 cancelled than for her to protect correctly on N2, do you disagree with my reasoning there?Can you tell me how Barks can protect N3 if the game ends on D3?
Let me tell the tale of the most-likely-to-be-sketch-but-somehow-ended-up-blocced not-masonsI'd love to hear about it.
I do. Even if your numbers are correct that she is more likely to fail on N3 than N2, three things have to be rememebered:So, game would only end D3 if she protected incorrectly N2 and we misyeeted D3. If True night cancelled N2, we misyeeted, and she protected incorrectly N3, the game would also be over then. I’ve explained why I don’t see it as more likely for her to protect correctly on N3 after N2 cancelled than for her to protect correctly on N2, do you disagree with my reasoning there?
What? So actions are loud? Am I understanding this correctly? What are not masons?Let me tell the tale of the most-likely-to-be-sketch-but-somehow-ended-up-blocced not-masons
I'm getting confused. Are you guys already connected? I thought you were blocked somehow.So little Mike was flopping around the woods behind his yard looking for salamanders and ****, and found a bald girl who was even cooler than salamanders. And he wasn’t sure about this **** but it mechanically seemed way bastard for her to be wolf in a game this size given the info he has from the role pm, so they looked at each other and said “****, we’ve got each other, but we’re gonna get misyeeted”, and then looked on in amazement as they were both village read for once. And he was like whoa whoa whoa let’s try not to get her NKed here, but had no energy to pretend to be particularly sus of her, so threw out some mentions of it being possible she was wolf.
1. I’ve discussed why this isn’t actually a difference. For us to get an extra chance after a misyeet, we need Barks to correctly protect on the first night she has a chance, whether that’s N2 (if True waits to cancel until N3) or whether that’s N3 (if True cancels N2)I do. Even if your numbers are correct that she is more likely to fail on N3 than N2, three things have to be rememebered:
1. She could still fail N2. If she does, we're in F5 not F6. True can only use his ability in this scenario IF we vote right (assuming he isn't POE'd and voted out for holstering the whole game).
2. The fact that we can even have a N3 to allow Barks to shine is mechanically the same as your N2 protect, N3 cancel scenario. The only difference is we can afford to misyeet once in this world.
3. True basically cleared himself as a living player which wouldn't otherwise be possible unless he exactly was attacked and protected by Barks.
We have been connected from the beginningI'm getting confused. Are you guys already connected? I thought you were blocked somehow.
But, as I mentioned, Barks can still miss N2. And if she misses N2, we have to be perfect. A misyeet here will not instantly lead to a loss (and no chance for True ability) unless it's exactly wolf!Barks. If it's wolf!Barks anyway though, we were never saving anyone N2 so it's a moot point.1. I’ve discussed why this isn’t actually a difference. For us to get an extra chance after a misyeet, we need Barks to correctly protect on the first night she has a chance, whether that’s N2 (if True waits to cancel until N3) or whether that’s N3 (if True cancels N2)
Consider the world where Barks fails to protect N2. What does that world look like? True was guarenteed to never fail.2. This forst sentence is exactly what I’m saying. The second sentence is false, the N2 protect N3 cancel also gives us a chance to misyeet.
BECAUSE THERE'S NO GUARENTEE THERE WAS EVER GONNA BE A N3 OR THAT BARKS WAS GOING TO SUCESSFULLY PROTECT N23. This is circular reasoning. True is cleared by night canceling because night canceling clears him, and it’s advantageous to village for villagers to be cleared. Um, it’s also advantageous to wolves for them to “clear” themselves, not so much to village… so I have no idea how this makes choosing to night cancel on N2 instead of N3 distinctly village
So how are you not masons?We have been connected from the beginning
we never did the initiation rituals. paddles and whatnot.So how are you not masons?
Okay, but you are masons? That's all I care about.we never did the initiation rituals. paddles and whatnot.
Reasons and suchSo how are you not masons?
vis wants to be cagey about it.Okay, but you are masons? That's all I care about.
Augh this is frustrating. I wish I could at least get something AI out of you refusing to get my point but I know we do this regardless of affiliation.But, as I mentioned, Barks can still miss N2. And if she misses N2, we have to be perfect. A misyeet here will not instantly lead to a loss (and no chance for True ability) unless it's exactly wolf!Barks. If it's wolf!Barks anyway though, we were never saving anyone N2 so it's a moot point.
Consider the world where Barks fails to protect N2. What does that world look like? True was guarenteed to never fail.
BECAUSE THERE'S NO GUARENTEE THERE WAS EVER GONNA BE A N3 OR THAT BARKS WAS GOING TO SUCESSFULLY PROTECT N2
WE ARE LITERALLY PROMISED A N3 HERE UNLESS BARKS IS WOLFING
The .1% concerns meThe point is we can 99.9% clear each other. There are possible but unlikely mechanical loopholes to the clearing.