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- Feb 11, 2010
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I know I was in the first group but I can promise you I am a resistance fighter. I would like to go on the mission.
Awesome! 👍
The stats people can do their analysis, but I think we need to continue to recycle. There may have been a spy that chose to allow it to succeed since it will get easier to pinpoint who it is, but we don't have any way of knowing for sure....
Well, its actually quite obvious. Note what is going on with rojo's reasoning. Rojo is saying, "hey, lets keep same team as it was successful." Aka, if I was a spy, and knew people would go with that reasoning (which is fairly obvious that they would), I would stay in the shadows one round and fail it the next, as the blame would go on the person added. I think we put the spies in a conundrum and add everyone that has NOT been in a group yet. Cause the spies to trip themselves up with multiple unsuccessful votes. Weed out an entire group. That's just my mode of thinking, especially since the way I read the rules, the last time requires the spies to have 2 saboteurs.Not sure about that. Could be. But both sides want to get to 3 first. If there was a spy, it would have made more sense in my mind to vote FAIL and get them to 2. Right now we are 1-1.
The biggest quandary for spies: Do you choose to hide and try and sneak into later missions or do you vote FAIL to get your group closer to winning faster. 😛 (glad I'm not a spy and have to make that choice haha!)
In a smaller game that is well balanced, sure, gamesmanship may be afoot, but quite frankly, in this game, there is NO REASON for the spies to have to play it like that. 0. Not a single one. If I was a spy and another spy voted success, I would punch them in the face.Well, its actually quite obvious. Note what is going on with rojo's reasoning. Rojo is saying, "hey, lets keep same team as it was successful." Aka, if I was a spy, and knew people would go with that reasoning (which is fairly obvious that they would), I would stay in the shadows one round and fail it the next, as the blame would go on the person added. I think we put the spies in a conundrum and add everyone that has NOT been in a group yet. Cause the spies to trip themselves up with multiple unsuccessful votes. Weed out an entire group. That's just my mode of thinking, especially since the way I read the rules, the last time requires the spies to have 2 saboteurs.
AND, if the mission were happen to fail, I would be 99% sure that the 7th person added was going to have been the spy.
well, i guess I shouldn't have too much faith that the spies aren't idiots, but i'm going to go with the fact that the spies aren't idiots....That is A LOT of faith.
I'm not saying that it can't be more likely, but I'm wary of saying 99%....
I would approve of adding Lissa in.
well, let's work this out.... again, making assumptions that no spy has voted successThat is A LOT of faith.
I'm not saying that it can't be more likely, but I'm wary of saying 99%....
I would approve of adding Lissa in.
That's why we each have a vote I suppose.Putting aside the stats for the moment, I don't think that someone that is in a WW mindset and wants to be sneaky would view this as absolute as you do.
Vote to succeed, gain some trust, vote to fail later. I think it's a viable decision that could have happened.
I agree that statistically it's a way better move to fail.....and I think it's way more likely that they would.....I just wouldn't bet my life on them thinking the same way.
If I was a spy, that is exactly how I would have played it. I would have voted success in first one, picked again for the second one and voted success, and then voted failure every other time. It is almost a verifiable way to win.In a smaller game that is well balanced, sure, gamesmanship may be afoot, but quite frankly, in this game, there is NO REASON for the speis to have to play it like that. 0. Not a single one. If me was a spy and another spy voted success, me would punch them in the face.
We have to select 7 people for this mission... 7. And have 0 margin of error. This is astronomical odds, and basically me was able to succeed because me picked 3 people me was sure or damn near sure of, and then got lucky on my final 3. Like me showed you, my odds of success, being generous with my probabiliteis, was about 28%.
me will disapprove any team that doesn't include all 6 of us, and will probably disapprove of a team that also included Mad Jack, FFM, and Cracker Jack, and would be hard pressed to trust a team with STL... Everyone else me guess would be fair game, but me'm not sure.
AND, if the mission were happen to fail, me would be 99% sure that the 7th person added was going to have been the spy.
Then again, it will likely be a long time til me have to decide again, so me can just sit back and monday morning quarterback.
veto any group that has rojo in it.
If mission 1 succeed, we have an entirely different ball game.If me was a spy, that is exactly how me would have played it. me would have voted success in first one, picked again for the second one and voted success, and then voted failure every other time. It is almost a verifiable way to win.
Right now, me are suspicious of rojo. Why? Okay, so me are trying to put myself in the shoes of rojo as if he was a spy. If he was a spy, he would have made himself the only spy in the last group. He would have made himself the person that will continue on from group to group. He then would have pressured each of the subsequent people to have to pick themselves to go along. Why not throw some suspicion on crackerjack, pressure crackerjack to pick himself for the group (as per his argument about FFM), and then when he chooses himself, and it fails, he gets thrown under the bus instead of rojo. He is controlling the mode of thought and me don't like it.
For me, me want everyone that was in the past group EXCEPT rojo. Anyone else that we have any clue about should go in rojo's place. me just don't trust him at all, and will veto any group that has rojo in it.
yous would be assuming correctly 😛. And jojo did bring up one good point about my thought process maybe being a bit better in a more balanced game, and I guess that makes sense. I kind of just wish this was a best out of 7 game, we pretty much don't get enough time to use any really beneficial skills for deduction and its frustrating. All this game takes is 1 mole to vote success twice and it will lead to the down fall of the resistance as then no one from the original group can then be fully trusted.Misuse of the word veto, me are assuming?
He is not controlling the thought....you are the only one that has said that starting from scratch is a good idea. Everyone else has disagreed.
me are not saying that he is absolutely not a spy, but me are inclined to think he isn't...that's all.
If we don't have a mole, we can win.yous would be assuming correctly 😛. And jojo did bring up one good point about my thought process maybe being a bit better in a more balanced game, and me guess that makes sense. me kind of just wish this was a best out of 7 game, we pretty much don't get enough time to use any really beneficial skills for deduction and its frustrating. All this game takes is 1 mole to vote success twice and it will lead to the down fall of the resistance as then no one from the original group can then be fully trusted.
In the future, me hope to see the more missions, as it actually gives us the opportunity to catch speis such that there are multiple in each group, and allows us to use more of a mastermind approach to the game (as in the board game). But that's just my two cents...
me just can't see us winning this game with the set up it currently has.
If me was a spy, that is exactly how me would have played it. me would have voted success in first one, picked again for the second one and voted success, and then voted failure every other time. It is almost a verifiable way to win.
Right now, me are suspicious of rojo. Why? Okay, so me are trying to put myself in the shoes of rojo as if he was a spy. If he was a spy, he would have made himself the only spy in the last group. He would have made himself the person that will continue on from group to group. He then would have pressured each of the subsequent people to have to pick themselves to go along. Why not throw some suspicion on crackerjack, pressure crackerjack to pick himself for the group (as per his argument about FFM), and then when he chooses himself, and it fails, he gets thrown under the bus instead of rojo. He is controlling the mode of thought and me don't like it.
For me, me want everyone that was in the past group EXCEPT rojo. Anyone else that we have any clue about should go in rojo's place. me just don't trust him at all, and will veto any group that has rojo in it.
me kind of agree. What are the odds if we keep 5, throw in Lissa, and pick a random instead of Rojo? He just really seems to be pushing hard to be on this mission and STL's argument seems pretty plausible. me was originally planning on putting myself in, because Rojo said anyone who doesn't is suspicious. But apparently now me look suspicious if me DO include myself. From reading, it's clear it's going to be impossible to make everyone happy this round.
well, let's work this out.... again, making assumptions that no spy has voted success
1 of the 3 from mission one (Lissa, Mad Jack, STL) is a spy.
0 of the 6 from mission two (Rojo, Escalla, Devyn, Cyndia, WS, Hedgei) is a spy.
4 of the 7 left standing (or 5) are speis (dyachei, alleih, wildzoo, sayabear, 98cats, ffm, cracker jack).
So, yeah, me would say the better odds of success is to pick from someone sent on mission 1. Of those 3, most of us trust Lissa the most, so me would also approve of adding Lissa.
sadly nome thinks dyachei is on some good painkillers again
1/3 is lower than 4/7