Knightdoc do you anticipate bigly WL movement next week??
Okay everyone -- here is next week's projection, courtesy of yours truly:
First off, I have to say this because it isn't said enough around here. You guys really are amazing, and don't give yourselves enough credit because you constantly compare yourselves to the rock stars in the SDN universe.
Over 60,000 people applied this cycle, which makes this one of the most competitive cycles EVER, including going back decades, when there were thousands fewer seats than today. Just getting a single II is an accomplishment in this environment, and multiple IIs even more so.
While some schools don't reject anyone post-II, others do. You know which category your schools fall into, so you know where you should feel proud just to be here on 5/7, having interviewed and still being in the game. Yes, it sucks to not yet have an A, but, it really could be so much worse, and is, for tens of thousands of people who applied alongside you this cycle.
That said, some trends did reveal themselves this week and the end of last. Some schools saw very healthy WL movement while many, unexpectedly, did not. Some school threads are reporting schools either being fully subscribed or even over subscribed.
This does not mean WL movement is going to fall off a cliff next week, but it does signal that this year isn't going to be that different from prior years, despite hopes for an explosion of movement due to virtual interviewing. It turns out a ton of top candidates weren't hogging a bunch of As that were destined to be released around 4/30, and schools' yields did not drop precipitously. In fact, some unexpectedly rose.
Next week, schools that didn't make calls last week but have vacancies will get off their butts and make calls. Some of them will have vacancies created by people who were called off other WLs this week. Others will be from people who received calls this week but turned them down. It looks like it will be the typical pattern. Not less than last year, but, it's not looking like it's going to be more, at least not at most schools.
This is not terrible, and the next few weeks should still see significant movement. Just keep in mind, every seat has to be filled, and no one can fill more than one. Also keep in mind that a record number of people applied this year, and some schools compensated by interviewing more people. At the same time, more seats were not created.
So, more people interviewed, resulting in more people being on WLs, in preparation for a potential decrease in yield that doesn't seem to have manifested. This might make it seem like there is less movement, but there isn't. There just might end up being more people vying to benefit from the same movement.
Time will tell. It isn't over until it's over. A stitch in time save nine. Caveat emptor. YMMV. Most importantly -- have faith in yourselves. You survived a brutal, miserable year, and a brutal, miserable cycle. Hang in for a few more weeks, and allow whatever is destined to happen to happen. GOOD LUCK!!!
